Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

7.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

48 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$95 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-02

last 10-29 02:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

50% 37% +$9

Other

45% 50% -$11

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	No	+3	$3	94¢	$3	+$0	10-04 07:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	10-26 05:22
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	+6	$2	28¢	$2	$0	10-04 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$8	24	0	+24	Yes	-$8	10-11 05:21
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-11 03:01
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	1	$5	450	0	+450	Yes	-$5	09-19 13:33
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	2	$4	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-11 03:01
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$4	14	0	+14	No	-$4	10-11 05:22
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	2	$4	20	20	+0	No	-$2	10-16 11:16
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	2	$4	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 03:25
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	2	$3	7	7	+0	No	-$3	10-22 16:35
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	10-09 07:12
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	-$3	10-02 03:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	10-19 04:03
Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	10-02 03:58
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	10-04 08:20
will iran target an arab country by september 11 2026	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	09-02 17:30
US recession by end of 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	10-04 07:07
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	1	$3	27	0	+27	No	+$24	09-02 18:31
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	2	$3	29	29	+0	No	-$1	10-29 02:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	09-19 11:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$2	9	9	+0	open	—	10-29 02:27
Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 12:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	10-15 04:51
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	10-15 14:22
Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	2	$2	50	0	+50	Yes	-$2	09-02 18:40
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	10-04 09:32
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-05 12:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	10-26 05:22
will iran target saudi arabia by october 31 2026	2	$1	3	3	+0	open	—	10-28 04:52
Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	-$1	09-29 03:58
Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-19 15:10
Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-05 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:29:11	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xc062d8…
10-29 02:27:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xa331e4…
10-28 04:52:55	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xcc9bcd…
10-26 05:22:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x8d1e0d…
10-22 16:35:26	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x9b2ef8…
10-19 04:03:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x31b90d…
10-16 11:16:13	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xb0d0ee…
10-15 14:22:50	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe24d09…
10-15 04:51:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4e19c6…
10-12 07:18:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x8192d5…
10-11 05:22:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x576329…
10-11 05:21:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0xf6ff3b…
10-11 03:01:51	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0xb966b0…
10-11 03:01:23	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xdaeb80…
10-09 07:12:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xf0500f…
10-09 06:18:34	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x07f92a…
10-04 12:29:16	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x901b43…
10-04 09:32:38	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x522b12…
10-04 08:22:25	Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x7080ef…
10-04 08:20:37	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x40ef70…
10-04 07:07:11	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x477a7a…
10-03 05:05:05	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x242655…
10-02 03:58:39	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xcf450d…
10-02 03:57:57	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xd9a1d6…
10-02 03:27:27	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x88602a…
10-02 03:27:02	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfaa121…
09-29 03:58:42	Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xc9a520…
09-29 03:25:12	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x4c61cd…
09-25 07:13:47	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xaf3d2f…
09-19 15:52:02	Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x80fea7…
09-19 15:50:50	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6b1363…
09-19 15:48:20	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf33fe2…
09-19 15:47:32	will iran target saudi arabia by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa6c0ee…
09-19 15:43:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x16fca7…
09-19 15:10:17	Will Iran target Bahrain by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1bcd1f…
09-19 15:01:18	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd8ba0a…
09-19 13:56:30	Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf9f26f…
09-19 13:33:14	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	450	1¢	$5	0x9cd01b…
09-19 11:11:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x2c7aa1…
09-05 12:33:43	Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x78d23a…
09-05 12:18:22	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xfa73b4…
09-05 11:03:58	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3ae577…
09-02 18:40:24	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9ca2d6…
09-02 18:39:52	Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x95fde1…
09-02 18:31:12	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x464847…
09-02 18:25:48	Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd74dbb…
09-02 17:30:34	will iran target an arab country by september 11 2026	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x89b9cf…
09-02 09:20:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe700c7…