Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
44.8%
Resolved
32
Trades
49
lifetime
Volume
$98
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$7
5 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 11-07 10:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
51% 36% +$7
Other
43% 50% -$11
Crypto
3% 100% +$0
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 10-04 07:07
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +13 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 10-04 08:20
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +6 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 10-04 09:32
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $3 6¢ $1 -$2 11-07 10:55
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? Yes +18 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-04 08:22