Menacing-Camel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$64.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$312

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-27 05:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-2

Sports

45% 0% $-1

Crypto

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$6.6K	3,303	3,303	+0	open	—	03-19 17:34
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	4	$4.4K	2,221	2,221	+0	open	—	03-23 06:40
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$4.2K	2,120	2,120	+0	No	$-2	03-24 13:00
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	6	$3.6K	1,819	1,819	+0	open	—	04-08 07:53
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$2.9K	1,473	1,473	+0	open	—	03-04 04:51
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	03-25 15:28
will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.2K	1,125	1,125	+0	open	—	03-19 23:39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2.2K	1,116	1,116	+0	open	—	03-25 23:30
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$2.2K	1,086	1,086	+0	open	—	02-05 09:11
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,068	1,068	+0	open	—	03-25 21:19
Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$2.1K	1,064	1,064	+0	open	—	03-20 21:02
will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.1K	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	03-23 10:27
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.1K	1,032	1,032	+0	open	—	02-24 07:27
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,030	1,030	+0	open	—	03-21 18:15
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.0K	1,026	1,026	+0	open	—	03-22 11:46
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	11	$1.7K	867	867	+0	open	—	04-13 09:11
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.7K	867	867	+0	open	—	04-17 02:52
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.6K	778	778	+0	open	—	03-09 09:27
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	771	771	+0	open	—	03-05 18:55
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.5K	750	750	+0	open	—	02-18 06:13
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	9	$1.4K	726	725	+0	open	—	03-01 04:57
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.4K	720	720	+0	open	—	03-16 07:26
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$1.4K	757	678	+79	open	—	03-04 05:18
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.3K	655	655	+0	No	$-1	04-14 08:28
nba bos mia 2026 04 01	4	$1.2K	3,513	0	+3,513	open	—	04-01 05:22
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$994	498	498	+0	open	—	01-20 23:24
will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$861	0	867	-867	open	—	02-26 05:17
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	1	$335	335	0	+335	open	—	05-22 16:45
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$293	147	147	+0	open	—	04-07 07:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	1	$262	263	0	+263	open	—	05-27 05:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 05:06:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x82d106…
05-22 16:45:04	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$335	0x6969da…
04-17 02:52:06	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	867	100¢	$863	0x39c471…
04-17 01:32:00	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	867	100¢	$863	0x242e06…
04-14 08:28:05	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	655	100¢	$653	0x5c19a8…
04-14 07:24:29	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	655	100¢	$653	0x3c3180…
04-13 09:11:43	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x98f781…
04-13 09:06:25	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xeddb6e…
04-13 09:05:49	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xec703c…
04-13 09:05:49	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8c979f…
04-13 09:05:31	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xf6c980…
04-13 09:04:37	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x46bdd1…
04-13 08:58:23	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf44270…
04-13 08:57:55	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x889960…
04-13 08:56:25	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	287	100¢	$286	0x18e2a5…
04-13 08:52:15	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	341	100¢	$339	0x0315cf…
04-13 07:24:13	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	867	100¢	$864	0xda64b3…
04-08 07:53:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x9d242a…
04-08 03:31:27	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x38091a…
04-07 07:24:27	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x8f8e9d…
04-07 03:19:11	Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0x095a5c…
04-03 03:29:33	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x17f82f…
04-01 05:22:01	nba bos mia 2026 04 01	Heat	BUY	309	35¢	$108	0x85b9d6…
04-01 05:21:59	nba bos mia 2026 04 01	Heat	BUY	1,618	35¢	$566	0xc6fcfd…
04-01 05:21:59	nba bos mia 2026 04 01	Heat	BUY	1,486	35¢	$520	0x6e3328…
04-01 05:20:57	nba bos mia 2026 04 01	Heat	BUY	99	35¢	$35	0x33595c…
03-28 13:07:55	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb3847c…
03-25 23:30:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,116	99¢	$1,111	0xde895d…
03-25 22:32:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,116	100¢	$1,112	0x6ddf45…
03-25 21:19:23	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,068	100¢	$1,062	0x13cec1…
03-25 19:04:35	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,063	0xd503c6…
03-25 15:28:15	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,145	100¢	$1,140	0xa54103…
03-25 14:20:13	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,145	100¢	$1,141	0x44c559…
03-25 12:43:25	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1,079	100¢	$1,076	0x7d5d92…
03-25 10:31:09	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1,079	100¢	$1,077	0x574828…
03-24 13:00:37	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,014	100¢	$1,010	0xb73636…
03-24 11:54:47	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,014	100¢	$1,011	0xf36b87…
03-23 10:27:19	will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,034	100¢	$1,030	0x543289…
03-23 08:49:03	will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,034	100¢	$1,031	0x479562…
03-23 06:40:07	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,061	99¢	$1,054	0x0757fd…
03-23 05:21:09	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,055	0xfde6b8…
03-22 11:46:53	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,026	100¢	$1,023	0xc749c2…
03-22 10:15:49	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,026	100¢	$1,024	0x48cf0d…
03-21 18:15:45	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,030	100¢	$1,026	0x5974e1…
03-21 17:29:01	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,027	0x374aaf…
03-21 14:33:17	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,160	99¢	$1,153	0xde4f8d…
03-21 12:27:09	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,160	99¢	$1,155	0x570605…
03-21 07:04:01	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,106	100¢	$1,102	0xe73c40…
03-21 05:08:43	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,104	0xa01071…
03-20 21:02:03	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	1,064	100¢	$1,062	0xdf6fbb…
03-20 18:45:47	Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,063	0xe02d53…
03-19 23:39:47	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,125	100¢	$1,120	0xea9d65…
03-19 22:32:35	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,125	100¢	$1,121	0x477768…
03-19 17:34:51	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,077	99¢	$1,071	0x7d3e16…
03-19 14:33:19	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,072	0x47f47d…
03-19 12:16:17	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,117	99¢	$1,110	0x7640e0…
03-19 10:45:21	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,117	100¢	$1,111	0x30b90f…
03-16 07:26:31	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	720	99¢	$714	0xad1009…
03-16 06:43:49	btc updown 5m 1773643200	Up	SELL	166	50¢	$83	0x6c3e34…
03-16 06:42:03	btc updown 5m 1773643200	Up	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0x1edf95…
03-16 06:40:19	btc updown 5m 1773643200	Down	SELL	95	66¢	$63	0xf048b3…
03-16 06:40:17	btc updown 5m 1773643200	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x8213e2…
03-16 06:38:27	btc updown 5m 1773643200	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x048198…
03-16 06:37:23	btc updown 5m 1773642900	Up	SELL	104	70¢	$72	0xc1c53e…
03-16 06:37:23	btc updown 5m 1773642900	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xa61e84…
03-16 06:37:23	btc updown 5m 1773642900	Up	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xa5631d…
03-16 06:37:23	btc updown 5m 1773642900	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x9953e3…
03-16 06:36:49	btc updown 5m 1773642900	Up	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x4523e8…
03-16 06:25:49	btc updown 5m 1773642300	Up	SELL	41	60¢	$25	0x9fc0bb…
03-16 06:24:15	btc updown 5m 1773642300	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xff3ebf…
03-16 06:23:37	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Down	SELL	71	36¢	$25	0xd1a913…
03-16 06:23:05	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xf318d2…
03-16 06:21:13	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0xfd8712…
03-16 06:21:13	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xf563ee…
03-16 06:21:13	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xd63876…
03-16 06:21:13	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x3cd336…
03-16 06:21:13	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x238841…
03-16 06:21:13	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x199e91…
03-16 06:21:13	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0ade1e…
03-16 06:21:11	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	SELL	104	50¢	$52	0x75d3c7…
03-16 06:21:11	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x6b4ce5…
03-16 06:20:33	btc updown 5m 1773642000	Up	BUY	177	28¢	$50	0xaadd3e…
03-16 05:53:21	btc updown 5m 1773640500	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x7ff2fc…
03-16 05:27:47	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	SELL	200	71¢	$141	0x60ddfb…
03-16 05:25:29	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xf5301d…
03-16 05:25:29	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe4d98e…
03-16 05:25:29	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe2bb62…
03-16 05:25:29	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x56bb01…
03-16 05:25:29	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x4bd6f8…
03-16 05:25:29	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0x0e6ca9…
03-16 05:25:29	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0x0c69cd…
03-16 05:25:27	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x3b370b…
03-16 05:25:27	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2e1f0b…
03-16 05:25:27	btc updown 5m 1773638700	Down	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0x24c9e5…
03-16 05:24:17	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	720	99¢	$715	0x9bfce0…
03-16 05:22:33	btc updown 5m 1773638400	Down	SELL	37	50¢	$19	0xe9a23b…
03-16 05:22:33	btc updown 5m 1773638400	Down	SELL	23	50¢	$12	0x57570c…
03-16 05:21:05	btc updown 5m 1773638400	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x2965b6…
03-16 05:19:01	btc updown 5m 1773638100	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x70fea1…
03-16 05:18:29	btc updown 5m 1773638100	Up	SELL	164	43¢	$71	0x666a40…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	45	$307.6K	4,236	04-02 01:32
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	41	$406.9K	28,325	04-22 01:55
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	39	$37.4K	639	05-10 19:34
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	36	$4.35M	55,705	04-28 09:54
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	36	$50.3K	1,013	04-07 14:31
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	35	$8.83K	8,986	04-27 02:24
Supportive-Gene 0x214c…6378	34	$147.6K	1,569	05-16 10:05
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$122.4K	1,879	05-30 14:17