Creative-Colony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

1,069

Trades

3,562

lifetime

Volume

$418.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-26 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

85% 83% +$4,143

Sports

14% 85% +$7,725

Crypto

1% 90% -$27

Politics

1% 50% -$7

Tech

0% 100% +$28

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-26).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes		-55	-$6	5¢	$-3	+$3	05-26 17:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	17	$13.5K	11,900	7,100	+4,800	Michigan Wolverines	-$268	03-21 17:44
Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	9	$7.2K	7,246	0	+7,246	Yes	+$87	05-10 10:21
spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	20	$6.5K	6,520	0	+6,520	Up	+$13	03-13 19:39
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	12	$5.8K	5,833	0	+5,833	Over	+$14	05-03 15:45
bkligend bil la 2026 01 17	15	$5.8K	5,784	0	+5,784	Bilbao Basket	+$7	01-18 17:21
will sp 500 spx close over 6700 on the final trading day of february 2026	1	$5.6K	5,644	0	+5,644	Yes	+$6	02-27 21:09
Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	1	$5.2K	5,201	0	+5,201	No	+$5	05-23 09:30
nba tor bos 2026 04 05	9	$4.9K	4,011	1,999	+2,012	Celtics	+$17	04-05 21:46
bkligend la for 2026 01 10	2	$4.8K	4,822	0	+4,822	Forca Lleida CE	+$5	01-11 18:47
nflx up or down on march 6 2026	26	$4.7K	4,999	0	+4,999	Down	+$285	03-06 21:20
ndx up or down on january 30 2026	12	$4.5K	2,645	2,157	+488	Down	+$6	01-30 20:23
bkligend rea bas2 2026 02 01	13	$4.4K	4,402	0	+4,402	Real Madrid	+$7	02-05 11:53
cl hit 42 low jan 2026	2	$4.3K	4,269	0	+4,269	No	+$4	01-31 10:00
epl ars mun 2026 01 25 spread home 1pt5	20	$4.2K	4,232	0	+4,232	Manchester United FC	+$4	01-25 20:13
cbb troy nebr 2026 03 19	15	$4.1K	21,087	0	+21,087	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-$60	03-19 18:29
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19 total 135pt5	23	$4.0K	4,887	3,493	+1,395	Over	-$28	03-19 15:50
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	10	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$40	05-09 20:23
cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19 total 163pt5	15	$3.9K	4,111	4,000	+111	Under	-$59	03-19 19:13
bkligend bil jov 2026 01 31	1	$3.8K	3,763	0	+3,763	Bilbao Basket	+$4	01-31 21:55
lal lev vil 2025 12 14 vil	95	$3.8K	4,256	3,180	+1,076	Yes	+$413	02-11 11:12
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	21	$3.7K	4,083	2,083	+2,000	Purdue Boilermakers	+$0	03-22 18:07
bkligend sas bas 2026 03 22	2	$3.6K	3,585	0	+3,585	Saski Baskonia	+$7	03-22 18:18
will nvda dip to 192 in march	3	$3.5K	3,542	0	+3,542	Yes	+$37	03-01 21:22
spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	43	$3.4K	8,362	1,980	+6,382	Down	-$21	03-06 14:04
lal rso mad 2026 01 04 btts	21	$3.3K	1,520	1,769	-250	Yes	$0	01-06 17:03
cbb howrd mich 2026 03 19 spread home 31pt5	14	$3.0K	3,080	3,080	+0	Howard Bison	-$21	03-19 15:28
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$3.0K	3,023	0	+3,023	Yes	+$17	05-03 19:23
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	4	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	04-10 13:10
cbb hofst ala 2026 03 20	12	$2.9K	7,999	999	+7,001	Alabama Crimson Tide	-$25	03-20 21:22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	17	$2.9K	5,834	0	+5,834	Yes	+$29	05-10 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 17:04:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xeda5f5…
05-26 17:04:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x446844…
05-26 17:04:14	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in May?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xcdd1d1…
05-26 17:04:10	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x02d933…
05-26 17:04:02	Will Getafe qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x49de4e…
05-26 17:03:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xcd389e…
05-26 17:03:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe9ef29…
05-26 17:03:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	220	12¢	$26	0x783df9…
05-26 17:02:32	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	55	11¢	$6	0xc63ebf…
05-26 17:01:12	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0xc64504…
05-24 11:19:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xc68a3e…
05-24 10:47:24	Will Getafe qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x21160b…
05-23 16:30:00	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	70	54¢	$38	0x396261…
05-23 14:56:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x6f1ff1…
05-23 14:55:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x9b53e6…
05-23 14:40:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	28	54¢	$15	0x368adc…
05-23 14:39:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x99d5a0…
05-23 11:48:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x43870d…
05-23 11:40:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xfabc14…
05-23 11:34:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x087685…
05-23 09:42:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x6d8fbe…
05-23 09:35:59	Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x67e254…
05-23 09:33:58	Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x3be696…
05-23 09:30:37	Will Igor Thiago be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	No	BUY	5,201	100¢	$5,196	0x88a4c6…
05-23 08:48:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd5ea42…
05-22 20:01:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x030d29…
05-22 20:00:16	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x041201…
05-22 20:00:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x5368d5…
05-22 20:00:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x221387…
05-22 20:00:02	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xe3face…
05-22 19:44:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2e794d…
05-22 19:43:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xebc931…
05-22 19:30:10	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc97c9d…
05-22 19:19:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	1,200	2¢	$22	0xbc8e3d…
05-22 19:13:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x0af58b…
05-22 19:02:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	344	98¢	$337	0x9ef80d…
05-22 19:02:09	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1,008	98¢	$989	0x6dc4bf…
05-22 19:02:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	453	98¢	$444	0x6c9cd0…
05-22 19:01:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	195	98¢	$191	0x775d9b…
05-22 18:58:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x01daf3…
05-22 18:49:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5d6c61…
05-20 21:05:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0xf2c821…
05-20 20:24:32	Will Alavés be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2f48e5…
05-20 20:19:40	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x7d40e0…
05-20 20:05:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0x327590…
05-20 19:54:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdfeea9…
05-20 19:48:17	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0xdb09aa…
05-20 19:28:18	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xb308be…
05-20 19:20:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x842982…
05-20 19:18:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd03288…
05-20 19:17:59	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5f28a5…
05-20 19:17:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x308288…
05-20 18:23:42	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xda7eac…
05-20 18:23:42	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9762d4…
05-20 18:23:40	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xec29ec…
05-20 18:23:40	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc838c5…
05-20 18:23:30	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xce82aa…
05-20 18:23:30	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x07e9c0…
05-20 18:11:41	Will Alavés be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	1,086	100¢	$1,085	0x911c31…
05-20 18:06:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6309b8…
05-20 18:04:44	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	110	96¢	$105	0x5c62e3…
05-20 18:04:22	Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0x1dd083…
05-17 17:56:52	Will Osasuna qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb9013f…
05-17 17:56:33	Will Osasuna qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd05cb5…
05-17 07:31:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x5defc6…
05-16 22:58:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	32¢	$16	0xeb5d3e…
05-16 20:04:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x8cec2a…
05-16 14:51:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x686a6a…
05-16 14:51:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	146	32¢	$46	0x7c7d05…
05-16 09:57:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xef6662…
05-16 02:03:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	83	32¢	$26	0x325970…
05-15 19:55:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 15?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x27167f…
05-15 19:55:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x10e168…
05-15 19:43:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $235?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x58faac…
05-15 19:42:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	No	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x21f35c…
05-15 19:33:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x59270d…
05-15 19:24:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e4a9e…
05-15 19:02:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xfdae3a…
05-15 19:00:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x655c69…
05-15 18:26:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xc6997e…
05-15 18:25:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xe74d5e…
05-15 18:21:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x789b51…
05-15 18:09:28	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 11 above $60?	Yes	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0xb0bb14…
05-15 18:02:46	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x6b04c3…
05-15 18:01:02	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $397.50 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$77	0x443af6…
05-15 17:12:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe731b2…
05-15 17:12:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x070f1b…
05-13 18:07:52	Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	2,000	62¢	$1,240	0xe81380…
05-13 18:07:41	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	66	72¢	$48	0xb19989…
05-13 18:07:22	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xdc9e82…
05-13 18:07:01	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	17	72¢	$12	0x22796f…
05-13 18:06:35	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	36	72¢	$26	0x113e44…
05-13 18:06:07	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	127	72¢	$92	0x0bea3c…
05-13 18:06:05	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	127	72¢	$92	0x538e5a…
05-13 18:05:44	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x3282cf…
05-13 18:05:14	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x5d1412…
05-13 18:05:07	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x976e01…
05-13 18:05:04	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0x801a92…
05-13 18:04:51	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	SELL	41	35¢	$14	0x913afc…
05-13 18:01:18	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	41	34¢	$14	0xf945ce…