Petty-Feature — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

Trades

259

lifetime

Volume

$9.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-22 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

34% 75% +$11

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes		+24	$2	6¢	$2	$-0	06-22 09:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	15	$584	594	594	+0	No	+$2	05-10 15:28
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	8	$559	287	287	+0	open	—	03-30 21:53
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	8	$359	184	184	+0	open	—	04-26 23:40
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	5	$340	180	180	+0	open	—	04-12 08:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$335	174	174	+0	open	—	05-05 18:57
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$326	166	166	+0	open	—	04-07 07:19
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	7	$324	354	354	+0	open	—	03-20 07:09
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	5	$312	159	159	+0	open	—	04-03 01:15
will ethereum reach 2800 in march 2026	9	$239	288	288	+0	open	—	03-26 01:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	8	$197	389	389	+0	open	—	05-11 22:39
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	6	$186	255	255	+0	open	—	04-26 05:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$185	108	108	+0	No	+$9	05-06 12:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$180	91	91	+0	open	—	04-29 14:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	4	$179	182	182	+0	No	$-0	05-03 18:11
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	2	$177	93	93	+0	open	—	04-24 17:36
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$176	89	89	+0	open	—	05-07 02:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$172	89	89	+0	open	—	05-08 12:34
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$171	87	87	+0	open	—	04-09 02:04
will chris gotterup win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$171	86	86	+0	open	—	04-11 03:26
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$171	224	224	+0	open	—	04-12 14:22
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$170	254	254	+0	open	—	04-06 11:34
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	2	$170	90	90	+0	open	—	03-26 15:50
will xrp reach 1pt8 in march 2026	2	$169	86	86	+0	open	—	03-25 19:00
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	4	$163	83	83	+0	open	—	04-30 21:09
Will France strike Iran by April 30?	3	$162	82	82	+0	open	—	04-24 04:27
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	3	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	04-25 03:07
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	4	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	03-29 03:33
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	2	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	03-28 22:05
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$157	82	82	+0	open	—	03-27 00:05
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	2	$156	81	81	+0	open	—	03-23 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:25:58	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$2	0xee2279…
06-08 08:24:30	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xeed705…
05-19 05:23:56	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x3b17d6…
05-18 22:25:17	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xd1d21f…
05-18 22:25:17	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x07c92c…
05-13 10:57:39	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0xffacbc…
05-13 10:57:39	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x28826f…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x1eb8b4…
05-13 03:05:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	97	3¢	$3	0xf85a50…
05-13 03:05:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0x1b3398…
05-13 00:46:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xaa98a3…
05-13 00:46:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x6ccadd…
05-13 00:46:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x3330c8…
05-12 10:56:53	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	204	6¢	$11	0x6905f7…
05-12 09:30:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	89	5¢	$5	0x5fd23d…
05-12 09:30:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	115	5¢	$6	0x32ec52…
05-11 22:39:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0xbf79a3…
05-11 22:39:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x45a594…
05-11 22:38:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	3¢	$3	0xb3d9c9…
05-11 22:38:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	3¢	$2	0x688887…
05-11 19:13:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	295	3¢	$8	0x89695b…
05-11 11:18:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$63	0x310b89…
05-11 11:18:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x15d2ab…
05-11 10:08:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xa7762b…
05-10 15:28:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x189129…
05-10 15:27:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x63f5e3…
05-10 10:54:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x8202f7…
05-10 10:54:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x515cee…
05-10 05:17:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xabe888…
05-10 05:17:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x9bb75a…
05-10 04:14:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0xbbc30d…
05-10 01:03:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x164e9a…
05-09 18:06:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xe940e3…
05-09 16:10:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0x1beeee…
05-09 11:44:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xa7854d…
05-09 11:44:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	4¢	$3	0x96f623…
05-09 11:44:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	4¢	$3	0x648270…
05-09 11:44:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x09b99b…
05-09 09:24:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$8	0x2f330c…
05-08 21:17:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	1¢	$0	0xaa8d6a…
05-08 21:17:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	1¢	$2	0x1f31be…
05-08 18:28:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x85c7b3…
05-08 18:28:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$2	0x706d00…
05-08 12:34:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	89	96¢	$86	0x39ad76…
05-08 10:18:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	89	96¢	$86	0x87d439…
05-07 22:18:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	176	4¢	$7	0x27ab33…
05-07 20:44:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	4¢	$7	0xa59ba1…
05-07 02:23:37	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xe1844c…
05-07 02:23:37	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x2b61d4…
05-06 21:10:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7dfec4…
05-06 21:10:10	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x0bb419…
05-06 12:14:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	108	90¢	$97	0x35d34c…
05-06 09:47:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	108	82¢	$88	0x639302…
05-05 18:57:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	91	96¢	$88	0xf07a39…
05-05 16:06:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	91	96¢	$88	0x105152…
05-05 06:54:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0xc3398a…
05-05 04:26:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0xb92c53…
05-03 18:11:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	2¢	$1	0x680dd3…
05-03 16:46:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$1	0x0803c3…
05-02 00:54:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	93	94¢	$88	0xf0b0d0…
05-01 23:00:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	93	95¢	$88	0x8494f2…
05-01 14:10:32	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	1¢	$3	0x222bdd…
05-01 11:25:44	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0xe2c690…
05-01 11:25:44	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x292a52…
05-01 11:25:42	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x09c5b8…
04-30 21:09:24	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	62	98¢	$60	0xf7f632…
04-30 18:12:34	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xffea14…
04-30 15:15:08	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0xeb3c87…
04-30 15:15:08	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x7142e4…
04-30 08:49:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	1¢	$2	0x48bbe5…
04-30 07:44:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$1	0x68f9e4…
04-30 07:44:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$1	0x04ef17…
04-29 14:26:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xd3b20d…
04-29 12:46:12	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x51fb44…
04-28 02:04:24	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x0d6814…
04-27 18:57:30	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	102	4¢	$4	0xb35376…
04-27 18:49:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	47	3¢	$2	0xdbeb44…
04-27 18:49:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xc23d36…
04-27 18:49:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x6bffa9…
04-27 07:59:56	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$1	0x6e19ad…
04-27 04:16:26	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	1¢	$2	0x615a83…
04-27 03:05:36	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$3	0x0a34fd…
04-26 23:40:50	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0xcb8992…
04-26 23:40:50	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x63df51…
04-26 19:23:24	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$81	0xd0a9d2…
04-26 17:20:26	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x7e2390…
04-26 15:01:36	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf1e75d…
04-26 05:40:14	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0x99554c…
04-26 05:40:14	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	2¢	$2	0x31379d…
04-26 03:39:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	2¢	$3	0x408de9…
04-26 03:39:24	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	2¢	$1	0x1f6a2a…
04-26 01:54:06	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0x6a4850…
04-25 23:55:20	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x891c65…
04-25 20:51:30	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x02fbec…
04-25 17:48:38	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x1ce12c…
04-25 03:07:14	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x34f751…
04-25 03:07:14	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x18d924…
04-24 22:21:48	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0xaab71a…
04-24 17:36:30	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	93	95¢	$89	0x469149…
04-24 17:35:44	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	93	95¢	$89	0x565564…