Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
150
lifetime
Volume
$40.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$271
Open exposure
$1.34K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-08 00:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
51%
Politics
39%
Crypto
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -664 $-574 88¢ $-581 $-7 06-08 00:48
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -1,211 $-459 38¢ $-466 $-7 06-05 08:26
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -200 $-132 66¢ $-131 +$1 06-05 08:27
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 06-05 04:02
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -50 $-47 94¢ $-47 +$0 06-05 04:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -19 $-19 99¢ $-19 $-0 06-05 03:55