Messy-Kettledrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

831

Trades

859

lifetime

Volume

$4.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

80% 97% -$2

Sports

16% 99% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
Rams vs. Eagles	1	$5	5	0	+5	Rams	+$0	10-04 20:22
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:05
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$5	5	0	+5	Adrian Mannarino	+$0	10-07 06:29
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 3 Winner	3	$5	5	0	+5	Once Upon A Team	+$0	05-28 19:06
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$5	5	0	+5	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$5	5	0	+5	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
cs2 fx keyd 2026 06 27 game2	1	$5	5	0	+5	Fluxo	+$0	06-27 23:52
Fight to Go the Distance?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-10 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6fa5ec…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57f7b8…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe97793…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcf9b6…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x945d33…
10-20 18:39:56	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34d10e…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8e2690…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x725961…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a1dcb…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x64e2b7…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc494a7…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf276a0…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf81635…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x985c64…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b0b01…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96b211…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa12463…
10-10 12:54:21	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa909c6…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf91a59…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd024ec…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe6dd7d…
10-08 07:10:50	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2dd336…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1cd0ff…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb382c9…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc50dc8…
10-04 23:23:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda2f68…
10-04 20:22:59	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x93b36d…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7948e2…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b354e…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c4a3a…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f3638…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb51e94…
10-01 14:13:02	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a17e9…
10-01 12:06:14	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d96f6…
10-01 06:03:18	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ca13c…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e0234…
09-30 23:54:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x14b2c1…
09-30 01:55:50	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc0fc8…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5cb80b…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6a9fa…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7bbe1c…
09-27 20:24:47	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4c272…
09-27 20:13:15	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f617e…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55ec4e…
09-27 12:24:53	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73460a…
09-27 00:28:21	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49e099…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c2fa7…
09-26 16:16:12	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x334f2d…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xabe600…
09-25 10:39:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc77c24…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x98c81d…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf77cde…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4892e5…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfe6814…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51d744…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd4289…
09-20 12:44:51	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x476bb1…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3f463…
09-20 02:45:48	Houston Christian vs. Incarnate Word	Incarnate Word	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66da8e…
09-20 01:32:42	East Carolina vs. Old Dominion	East Carolina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe83a3…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefe836…
09-19 01:39:48	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde6b24…
09-17 19:41:04	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe643d5…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x16b56b…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x300fb5…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf7459…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26c7a2…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6c4df…
09-15 17:50:37	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18c5c0…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92263f…
09-13 20:06:00	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23778e…
09-13 14:59:09	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdabab9…
09-13 02:51:27	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafdca3…
09-12 19:48:07	Oklahoma vs. Michigan	Michigan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0273fa…
09-12 13:10:33	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c2375…
09-12 09:30:40	Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing	Max Basing	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3daf01…
09-12 03:18:52	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f9c38…
09-11 21:06:34	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x987bee…
09-11 20:32:57	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd5e74…
09-11 19:25:48	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x971875…
09-11 02:58:31	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x367f13…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc48669…
09-10 17:31:51	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf381ba…
09-10 01:18:22	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc78b41…
09-09 22:45:55	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5eee4f…
09-09 18:20:07	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb4792…
09-09 07:42:07	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x096ac9…
09-09 04:08:09	Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50d365…
09-09 01:17:55	Over $2M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18d5c0…
09-09 00:17:00	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1245b5…
09-08 23:11:40	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05c4fb…
09-08 20:57:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4fde96…
09-08 14:50:46	Antalya 4: Federica Urgesi vs Miriam Bulgaru	Miriam Bulgaru	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x580527…
09-08 05:01:45	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5045c0…
09-07 21:25:42	wta osaka rybakin 2026 09 07	Elena Rybakina	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea9e0c…
09-07 19:01:55	Seville: Petr Brunclik vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbb9ee…
09-07 17:57:54	US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Qinwen Zheng	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcae15f…
09-05 22:04:42	Will LKP Motor Lublin vs. Legia Warszawa end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc4ba11…
09-05 04:55:15	Andy Ruiz Jr. vs. Damian Knyba	Damian Knyba	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ade2f…
09-04 05:37:10	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0fb228…