Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

151 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$728

$5.68K lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-11

last 10-21 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Other

74% 60% +$6

Politics

21% 75% -$2

Tech

6% 50% -$79

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the social reckoning score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261012	2	$297	205	205	+0	No	+$2	09-30 08:23
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$290	194	194	+0	No	-$5	10-01 14:21
Will "Digger" score at least 53 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$239	200	200	+0	No	-$58	10-01 15:23
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?	2	$224	133	133	+0	No	+$12	09-25 10:49
Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	2	$219	124	124	+0	No	+$21	10-21 06:54
will patient zero hit 70m first week streams	2	$213	126	126	+0	No	+$31	09-26 15:25
will patient zero hit 60m first week streams	2	$211	122	122	+0	No	+$21	09-27 18:00
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	2	$208	127	127	+0	open	—	10-21 06:54
will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 400k	3	$199	113	113	+0	No	+$19	09-27 18:00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	2	$198	118	118	+0	Yes	+$29	10-21 06:54
Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?	2	$188	119	119	+0	No	+$7	09-26 17:37
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	4	$174	100	100	+0	No	+$6	10-21 06:55
will verity score at least 48 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$171	120	120	+0	No	+$8	10-01 05:28
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	2	$154	125	125	+0	No	-$16	09-23 02:40
Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	2	$144	92	92	+0	open	—	10-21 06:54
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	5	$123	75	75	+0	No	+$10	09-24 06:23
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?	2	$116	69	69	+0	No	+$6	09-18 09:28
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?	2	$116	70	70	+0	No	+$14	10-08 07:38
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	2	$114	71	71	+0	No	-$1	10-01 16:27
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?	2	$113	71	71	+0	No	-$3	10-21 06:55
will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt85 in october	2	$110	61	61	+0	No	+$9	10-04 13:58
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?	2	$109	68	68	+0	No	+$11	09-20 15:33
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	2	$109	167	167	+0	Yes	-$91	09-24 02:29
will yabloko win at least one seat in the next russian state duma election	2	$104	60	60	+0	No	+$4	09-18 08:21
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	2	$100	60	60	+0	No	+$6	09-26 17:37
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	3	$99	74	74	+0	No	-$7	10-21 06:55
saudi airspace closed by october 31 2026	4	$97	58	58	+0	No	+$7	09-20 17:30
will the next claude opus model be released by september 27 2026	2	$94	125	125	+0	Yes	+$4	09-17 11:36
Will Salles win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	3	$83	48	48	+0	No	+$3	09-22 11:55
dwts 35 week 4 elimination ciamil	1	$81	101	0	+101	Yes	-$81	10-02 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 06:55:29	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	No	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x9511fa…
10-21 06:55:26	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?	No	SELL	94	7¢	$7	0x3c83b9…
10-21 06:55:23	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	77¢	$55	0x128f04…
10-21 06:55:17	Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0xf9cfe5…
10-21 06:55:14	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xada4a6…
10-21 06:55:11	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xcf62f4…
10-21 06:55:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	86¢	$58	0x9f3e37…
10-21 06:54:59	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xc8eb98…
10-21 06:54:53	Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	SELL	92	78¢	$72	0x6e0bb0…
10-21 06:54:50	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	No	SELL	127	86¢	$109	0xeb7cf7…
10-21 06:54:45	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	SELL	118	96¢	$113	0xbf6724…
10-21 06:54:38	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	No	SELL	124	97¢	$120	0xe9c5a5…
10-19 19:14:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x962506…
10-19 19:14:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x80d6f4…
10-11 09:41:15	Will Garry Purewal win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x6abfa0…
10-11 08:18:40	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0x116019…
10-11 08:13:54	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0x449dc1…
10-11 07:58:51	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0x913761…
10-11 07:57:49	Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xb548f7…
10-10 06:45:37	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x2d6eff…
10-10 05:50:10	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0xd26139…
10-09 18:36:16	Will Simon peak at Category 5?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x4c4f6a…
10-09 18:07:13	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc7ad3e…
10-08 13:40:11	Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x45f161…
10-08 10:46:50	Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xdee219…
10-08 09:45:41	Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?	Yes	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x6eb9db…
10-08 09:31:02	Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?	No	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0xc364db…
10-08 09:14:48	Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?	Yes	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xc8ae40…
10-08 08:28:11	Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?	Yes	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x02cb8a…
10-08 08:10:52	Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane?	No	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x5a421e…
10-08 08:05:49	Will Tyler Cameron be eliminated in week 5 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0x19bc96…
10-08 08:04:46	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb69470…
10-08 07:48:04	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x497bf2…
10-08 07:38:19	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0x6242a4…
10-06 12:53:25	Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x055487…
10-06 12:20:18	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026?	No	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0xdfa995…
10-06 09:19:36	Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	49	77¢	$38	0x391295…
10-05 09:59:31	will trump say si 5 during his midterm rally in nebraska october 5	No	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0x82e814…
10-05 06:58:04	will jynxzi ron and los beat the minecraft challenge by october 8 20261004	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xc60c7a…
10-04 13:58:34	will the 10 year treasury yield dip below 4pt85 in october	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xe868f6…
10-03 17:06:02	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of November 2026?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x1b032b…
10-03 06:20:45	Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?	No	BUY	74	72¢	$53	0x4f257f…
10-03 03:17:57	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?	No	BUY	94	67¢	$63	0x83ee9a…
10-02 21:09:48	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?	No	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0x0e627d…
10-02 19:44:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	No	BUY	61	83¢	$51	0xfa8e5d…
10-02 19:01:03	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	81¢	$58	0xca588f…
10-02 18:52:44	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	No	BUY	118	72¢	$85	0x5c16b3…
10-02 18:50:45	Will Kendrick Lamar be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	BUY	92	78¢	$72	0x2b5f73…
10-02 16:20:17	Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?	No	BUY	124	80¢	$99	0xdb751e…
10-02 14:25:24	Clavicular charges dropped by October 31?	No	BUY	89	81¢	$72	0xdb6f65…
10-02 13:24:26	Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31?	No	BUY	127	78¢	$99	0x6491a4…
10-02 00:42:54	dwts 35 week 4 elimination ciamil	No	BUY	101	80¢	$81	0x5f52f9…
10-01 23:40:20	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by october 31 2026	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x795535…
10-01 16:27:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	71	79¢	$57	0x8761e0…
10-01 16:10:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	81¢	$58	0x293008…
10-01 15:23:03	Will "Digger" score at least 53 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x46d18b…
10-01 14:21:47	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	194	74¢	$143	0x0096ab…
10-01 13:12:42	Will "Digger" score at least 53 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x250212…
10-01 11:40:09	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x74643c…
10-01 05:28:05	will verity score at least 48 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	120	74¢	$89	0xef6f77…
09-30 23:38:05	will verity score at least 48 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	BUY	120	68¢	$82	0x525c9e…
09-30 08:23:53	will the social reckoning score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261012	No	SELL	205	73¢	$150	0x20d917…
09-30 07:50:42	will the social reckoning score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261012	No	BUY	205	72¢	$148	0xbc5183…
09-30 06:27:45	will other mommy score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20261012	No	BUY	194	76¢	$148	0x9f90c4…
09-29 09:26:24	Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xa18f55…
09-29 00:05:35	Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xea515c…
09-28 10:15:26	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x4c8f38…
09-28 07:41:12	Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x391695…
09-28 05:58:38	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xd05282…
09-28 05:43:41	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x044bd2…
09-28 05:43:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x88ccb7…
09-28 05:43:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xcdfab8…
09-28 05:42:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xb468da…
09-27 18:24:39	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?	No	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0xbae60a…
09-27 18:00:20	will patient zero hit 60m first week streams	No	SELL	122	95¢	$116	0x8578af…
09-27 18:00:11	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 400k	No	SELL	93	97¢	$89	0x1dff35…
09-27 18:00:00	Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x69628c…
09-27 14:34:14	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 400k	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xcdaf76…
09-27 05:40:48	will patient zero hit 60m first week streams	No	BUY	122	78¢	$95	0x58c224…
09-26 21:38:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 30%-35%?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x63784d…
09-26 17:44:14	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x5a085e…
09-26 17:37:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0xd042a8…
09-26 17:37:33	Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?	No	SELL	119	82¢	$97	0x39319a…
09-26 15:25:33	will patient zero hit 70m first week streams	No	SELL	126	97¢	$122	0x7797db…
09-26 09:40:36	Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?	No	BUY	119	76¢	$91	0x565ac3…
09-26 05:36:12	will patient zero hit 70m first week streams	No	BUY	126	72¢	$91	0x4ee2f3…
09-26 03:07:47	Will Anna Wintour attend Khaite?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x277b68…
09-26 01:35:38	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 400k	No	BUY	113	80¢	$90	0xa86bc4…
09-25 18:32:20	Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x15d87d…
09-25 18:31:06	Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$9	0xf8ae74…
09-25 18:31:02	Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x968d33…
09-25 18:30:57	Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?	No	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0x9d927d…
09-25 12:46:00	Will Anna Wintour attend Khaite?	No	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0x895f29…
09-25 12:46:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x205699…
09-25 10:49:36	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?	No	SELL	133	89¢	$118	0x297282…
09-25 08:53:11	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xc4a1e6…
09-25 08:53:11	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x58bff2…
09-25 08:53:11	Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x565c2f…
09-25 08:53:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x2fce46…
09-25 08:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x7b9c58…