Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?
No won
Total volume
$1,516
Trades
102
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-01
First seen
2026-10-02
last 10-30 19:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-13.6¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $326
vs crowd: 14% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $87 | $315 | $228 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 20 | $76 | $661 | $585 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $16 | $116 | $100 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $2 | $51 | $49 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $0 | $325 | $325 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $2 | $261 | $259 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 2 | $8 | $64 | $57 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $13 | $53 | $40 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 8 | $51 | $79 | $28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 11 | $106 | $350 | $244 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +494 | $63 | $63 | 9 | 10-28 19:51 |
| Glum-Hive 0xd06f…d4a6 | No | +296 | $273 | $273 | 3 | 10-13 00:29 |
| Cheery-Science 0x3089…92f6 | No | +200 | $189 | $189 | 1 | 10-24 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | +146 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-25 12:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x7afc…ea2c | No | +144 | $144 | $144 | 1 | 10-30 19:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +133 | $111 | $111 | 4 | 10-08 07:38 |
| Bumpy-Conscience 0x4d02…2ad3 | No | +76 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 10-02 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +70 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-02 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-30 19:55 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-30 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 10-28 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +40 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-08 08:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +40 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-08 08:45 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +31 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-24 17:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +28 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-02 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | +23 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-02 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +21 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-02 14:58 |
| Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | +21 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-02 21:09 |
| Agreeable-Appreciation 0x51ae…ce30 | No | +21 | $18 | $45 | 4 | 10-14 07:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-02 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-02 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2fe…25d6 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-02 10:56 |
| NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-16 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2fe…25d6 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-02 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-02 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-02 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-02 09:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-30 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf085…02af | Yes | +20 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 10-18 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 10-25 11:35 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 10-24 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x468b…68a5 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-24 17:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-24 17:08 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-30 19:55 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-30 19:55 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-25 00:09 |
| Plastic-Sequence 0xe193…466e | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-02 16:13 |
| Plastic-Sequence 0xe193…466e | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-02 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x977a…4b41 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-13 14:15 |
| Glum-Hive 0xd06f…d4a6 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-30 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | +5 | $8 | $12 | 5 | 10-25 12:22 |
| Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-30 19:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:55:58 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa421d4… |
| 10-30 19:55:58 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa421d4… |
| 10-30 19:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x7afc…ea2c | No | BUY | 144 | 100¢ | $144 | 0xa421d4… |
| 10-30 19:55:58 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa421d4… |
| 10-30 19:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa421d4… |
| 10-30 19:55:58 | Glum-Hive 0xd06f…d4a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa421d4… |
| 10-30 19:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xf94d…cfe1 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa421d4… |
| 10-30 19:53:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe80619… |
| 10-30 19:53:43 | Purple-Warlock 0xd064…c4d1 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe80619… |
| 10-28 19:51:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc08460… |
| 10-28 19:51:32 | (anonymous) 0x5768…3bae | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xc08460… |
| 10-25 12:22:05 | (anonymous) 0x843c…0734 | Yes | BUY | 146 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9fd6b0… |
| 10-25 12:22:05 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 146 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9fd6b0… |
| 10-25 11:35:42 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb8f02… |
| 10-25 11:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb8f02… |
| 10-25 11:04:39 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x90123b… |
| 10-25 11:04:39 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x90123b… |
| 10-25 00:09:29 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x21bec7… |
| 10-25 00:09:29 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x21bec7… |
| 10-25 00:09:29 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x21bec7… |
| 10-24 17:23:47 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | Yes | BUY | 180 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xfa9f86… |
| 10-24 17:23:47 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xfa9f86… |
| 10-24 17:23:47 | Cheery-Science 0x3089…92f6 | No | BUY | 200 | 94¢ | $189 | 0xfa9f86… |
| 10-24 17:08:44 | (anonymous) 0xef13…63d9 | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xfeabb2… |
| 10-24 17:08:44 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xfeabb2… |
| 10-24 17:08:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xfeabb2… |
| 10-24 17:08:32 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2f75fd… |
| 10-24 17:08:32 | (anonymous) 0x468b…68a5 | No | BUY | 18 | 93¢ | $17 | 0x2f75fd… |
| 10-21 02:55:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x16b2b8… |
| 10-21 02:55:44 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | SELL | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x16b2b8… |
| 10-18 21:58:30 | (anonymous) 0xf085…02af | Yes | SELL | 0 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x65fff5… |
| 10-18 21:58:30 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | No | SELL | 0 | 68¢ | $0 | 0x65fff5… |
| 10-18 21:58:30 | Perfect-Neighbourhood 0x8d85…726f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x76f1b4… |
| 10-18 21:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x3ded…aa2d | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x76f1b4… |
| 10-16 03:52:31 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe42bd1… |
| 10-16 03:52:31 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xe42bd1… |
| 10-16 01:59:46 | (anonymous) 0xf085…02af | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x62cfd6… |
| 10-16 01:59:46 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x62cfd6… |
| 10-16 01:08:19 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xc55d6e… |
| 10-16 01:08:19 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xc55d6e… |
| 10-14 07:51:17 | Agreeable-Appreciation 0x51ae…ce30 | No | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x853480… |
| 10-14 07:51:17 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | No | SELL | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x853480… |
| 10-14 05:54:19 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x16f4f7… |
| 10-14 05:54:19 | Agreeable-Appreciation 0x51ae…ce30 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x16f4f7… |
| 10-13 14:15:50 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x6eec50… |
| 10-13 14:15:50 | (anonymous) 0x977a…4b41 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x6eec50… |
| 10-13 00:48:00 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe3f971… |
| 10-13 00:48:00 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 14 | 91¢ | $12 | 0xe3f971… |
| 10-13 00:29:21 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xddb66e… |
| 10-13 00:29:21 | Glum-Hive 0xd06f…d4a6 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xddb66e… |
| 10-13 00:04:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x53c2e9… |
| 10-13 00:04:14 | (anonymous) 0xa742…9856 | No | BUY | 20 | 79¢ | $16 | 0x53c2e9… |
| 10-12 18:09:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x737158… |
| 10-12 18:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xe661…f84a | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x737158… |
| 10-08 08:45:41 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x67bbb7… |
| 10-08 08:45:41 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x67bbb7… |
| 10-08 08:45:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xe63542… |
| 10-08 08:45:40 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xe63542… |
| 10-08 07:38:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 70 | 93¢ | $65 | 0x6242a4… |
| 10-08 07:38:19 | (anonymous) 0xac0c…b324 | No | SELL | 70 | 93¢ | $65 | 0x6242a4… |
| 10-08 05:34:11 | Angelic-Craw 0xbe74…a70e | No | SELL | 23 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x69830a… |
| 10-08 05:34:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 23 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x69830a… |
| 10-08 01:06:29 | Glum-Hive 0xd06f…d4a6 | No | BUY | 52 | 93¢ | $48 | 0xeb3cef… |
| 10-08 01:06:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xeb3cef… |
| 10-08 00:06:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 224 | 7¢ | $16 | 0xec98e0… |
| 10-08 00:06:05 | Glum-Hive 0xd06f…d4a6 | No | BUY | 224 | 93¢ | $209 | 0xec98e0… |
| 10-02 21:09:48 | Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x0e627d… |
| 10-02 21:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xac0c…b324 | No | BUY | 70 | 73¢ | $51 | 0x0e627d… |
| 10-02 21:09:48 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x0e627d… |
| 10-02 21:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 27¢ | $9 | 0x0e627d… |
| 10-02 16:13:38 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xcb766f… |
| 10-02 16:13:38 | Plastic-Sequence 0xe193…466e | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x358963… |
| 10-02 16:13:38 | Plastic-Sequence 0xe193…466e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xcb766f… |
| 10-02 16:13:38 | Agreeable-Appreciation 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x358963… |
| 10-02 16:13:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x358963… |
| 10-02 16:08:30 | Agreeable-Appreciation 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x46b81f… |
| 10-02 16:08:30 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x46b81f… |
| 10-02 14:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 32¢ | $11 | 0x9e3c73… |
| 10-02 14:58:18 | Agreeable-Appreciation 0x51ae…ce30 | No | SELL | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x9e3c73… |
| 10-02 14:58:18 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 32¢ | $0 | 0x9e3c73… |
| 10-02 14:58:18 | Bumpy-Conscience 0x4d02…2ad3 | No | BUY | 76 | 68¢ | $52 | 0x9e3c73… |
| 10-02 14:58:18 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x9e3c73… |
| 10-02 12:31:05 | (anonymous) 0xe2a3…8e01 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 35¢ | $8 | 0x54fe2d… |
| 10-02 12:31:05 | Angelic-Craw 0xbe74…a70e | No | BUY | 23 | 65¢ | $15 | 0x54fe2d… |
| 10-02 12:29:09 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xe9a1d1… |
| 10-02 12:29:09 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xe9a1d1… |
| 10-02 12:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x9389a3… |
| 10-02 12:29:08 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x9389a3… |
| 10-02 12:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xba365d… |
| 10-02 12:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0xba365d… |
| 10-02 10:56:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x7d3143… |
| 10-02 10:56:57 | (anonymous) 0xd2fe…25d6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x7d3143… |
| 10-02 10:21:11 | Agreeable-Appreciation 0x51ae…ce30 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0xf3344b… |
| 10-02 10:21:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 33¢ | $7 | 0xf3344b… |
| 10-02 09:58:57 | (anonymous) 0xd2fe…25d6 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6fa2af… |
| 10-02 09:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6fa2af… |
| 10-02 09:58:57 | Agreeable-Appreciation 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xcfe729… |
| 10-02 09:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xcfe729… |
| 10-02 09:58:57 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 67¢ | $13 | 0x6fa2af… |
| 10-02 09:58:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 33¢ | $20 | 0x6fa2af… |