(anonymous) 0xac383e…37c04f
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$534
Unrealized P&L
+$159
Hit rate
46.6%
Resolved
54
Trades
1,023
lifetime
Volume
$385.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$376
Open exposure
$133.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-14
last 10-19 14:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
75% 52% -$603
Other
25% 60% +$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +44,407 $29,873 72¢ $31.8K +$1,877 10-18 15:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16,881 $10,788 62¢ $10.6K -$238 10-12 19:16
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +11,000 $9,323 92¢ $10.2K +$852 10-16 02:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +11,000 $9,220 84¢ $9.3K +$75 10-16 20:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +9,618 $8,336 93¢ $8.9K +$609 10-15 01:42
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +12,072 $8,177 70¢ $8.4K +$213 10-19 14:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,750 $6,841 86¢ $7.6K +$728 10-16 03:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +11,549 $7,454 62¢ $7.2K -$236 10-13 17:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,500 $6,705 92¢ $6.9K +$158 10-13 03:55
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,250 $5,726 92¢ $5.7K -$7 10-13 03:50
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6,789 $5,088 78¢ $5.3K +$241 10-19 07:08
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,563 $5,226 74¢ $4.8K -$403 10-19 09:27
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +6,072 $3,643 70¢ $4.2K +$577 10-16 07:54
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,936 $2,055 68¢ $2.0K -$73 09-22 14:11
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,069 $1,825 92¢ $1.9K +$78 10-18 16:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,394 85¢ $1.7K +$297 10-13 20:41
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,700 $1,479 86¢ $1.5K -$17 10-13 17:43
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,587 $1,183 64¢ $1.0K -$159 10-12 05:22
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,600 $1,228 64¢ $1.0K -$205 10-08 13:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +887 $630 76¢ $678 +$49 09-20 16:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +8,661 $5,399 8¢ $650 -$4,750 10-15 13:16
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,250 $350 38¢ $469 +$119 09-22 05:49
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +652 $221 55¢ $361 +$140 09-18 21:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +379 $250 92¢ $348 +$98 09-20 19:17
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +658 $184 38¢ $250 +$66 09-22 05:49
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +571 $206 43¢ $245 +$40 09-14 19:24
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +191 $159 94¢ $179 +$20 09-15 01:49
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +300 $165 56¢ $166 +$1 09-23 12:55
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +228 $139 66¢ $149 +$10 09-28 16:36
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +151 $133 88¢ $132 -$1 09-22 00:09