Realized P&L (7d)
+$16.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.21K
Hit rate
95.6%
Resolved (7d)
20
Trades (7d)
3
1,026 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$43.1K
$428.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$417
Open exposure
$6.38K
18 positions
First seen
2026-09-14
last 11-04 19:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
75% 64% +$1,339
Other
25% 62% -$3,299
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6,563 $5,226 48¢ $3.1K -$2,109 10-19 09:27
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,600 $1,228 65¢ $1.0K -$187 10-08 13:59
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,587 $1,183 66¢ $1.0K -$143 10-12 05:22
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +571 $206 52¢ $297 +$91 09-14 19:24
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,409 $32 4¢ $197 +$165 09-22 15:26
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +191 $159 94¢ $179 +$20 09-15 01:49
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +151 $133 92¢ $139 +$7 09-22 00:09
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +109 $9 99¢ $108 +$99 09-22 12:55
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +99 $37 63¢ $62 +$25 09-22 20:58
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +58 $51 96¢ $56 +$5 09-14 22:11
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +40 $35 97¢ $39 +$4 09-15 10:19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +367 $92 11¢ $39 -$53 09-14 21:51
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +30 $20 90¢ $27 +$7 09-22 01:30
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +344 $162 8¢ $26 -$136 09-21 22:52
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +37 $10 20¢ $7 -$2 09-18 20:55
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +4 $0 99¢ $4 +$4 09-19 22:31
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? No +32 $6 2¢ $1 -$6 09-17 14:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 10-16 00:15