Fixed-Pattern 0xacefdc…755850
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
493
lifetime
Volume
$1.92K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$168
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-10 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
65% 0% $-11
Other
24% 100% +$0
Sports
10% — —
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -42 $-37 88¢ $-37 $-0 06-10 05:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -23 $-23 99¢ $-23 $-0 06-10 05:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -19 $-16 82¢ $-16 $-0 06-10 05:18
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -16 $-13 83¢ $-13 $-0 06-10 05:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -12 $-12 99¢ $-12 $-0 06-10 05:19
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -12 $-12 98¢ $-12 $-0 06-10 05:19
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 72¢ $-11 $-0 06-07 19:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -13 $-11 86¢ $-11 $-0 06-10 05:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 90¢ $-11 $-0 06-10 05:19
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 $-9 87¢ $-9 +$0 06-10 05:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes +21 $8 20¢ $4 $-4 06-05 15:40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -4 $-4 92¢ $-4 $-0 06-03 01:34
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3 $-2 72¢ $-2 $-0 06-10 05:19
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +11 $1 15¢ $2 +$0 06-02 15:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No -15 $-1 9¢ $-1 $-1 06-03 13:17
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +7 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 06-07 14:47