Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
795
lifetime
Volume
$2.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$123
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 07-07 04:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-11
Other
30% 100% +$0
Sports
9%
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -42 $-37 94¢ $-39 $-3 06-10 05:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -19 $-16 88¢ $-17 $-1 06-10 05:18
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 84¢ $-13 $-2 06-07 19:38
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -16 $-13 84¢ $-13 $-0 06-10 05:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -13 $-11 94¢ $-12 $-1 06-10 05:19
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-10 05:19
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-1 06-10 05:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -5 $-4 76¢ $-4 +$0 06-20 02:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -3 $-2 84¢ $-3 $-1 06-10 05:19