(anonymous) 0xad1389…036839
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Realized P&L
-$24
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
60.8%
Resolved
112
Trades
487
lifetime
Volume
$1.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$25
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 10-05 23:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Politics
60% 53% -$16
Crypto
26% 75% -$8
Other
14% 62% +$0
Sports
1% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -7 -$5 86¢ $-6 -$1 05-24 05:55
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$5 96¢ $-5 $0 05-24 05:56
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -5 -$4 80¢ $-4 $0 05-24 03:50
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -2 -$2 92¢ $-2 $0 05-24 05:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -2 -$2 85¢ $-2 $0 09-03 09:50
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -2 -$1 97¢ $-2 $0 05-01 11:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 -$2 94¢ $-2 $0 10-05 23:59
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 05-24 05:58
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +7 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 09-03 11:37