Outstanding-Naturalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,818

lifetime

Volume

$17.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-22 05:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 94% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	07-09 15:28
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	07-14 15:35
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 05:05
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:10
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	3	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	$-0	05-07 11:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
lol c9 fur 2026 03 04 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-05 00:55
cs2 mw mag 2026 03 15 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-16 01:56
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vexa - Map 2 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	Vexa	+$0	05-13 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
lol jdg blg 2026 03 04 game3	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-04 12:34
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	Noskova	+$0	05-09 11:37
cs2 alkaa chama 2026 07 15 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	07-16 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 05:25:07	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc00fcc…
07-21 20:20:37	cs2 pcy alkaa 2026 07 21 game1	ALKA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x272efb…
07-21 15:29:12	atp doubles herbkra paulseg 2026 07 21	Herbert/Krawietz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbc177…
07-21 11:30:49	cs2 cyb g2a 2026 07 21	G2 Ares	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3b05e…
07-21 10:48:15	itf spirido meersch 2026 07 21	Martin Van Der Meerschen	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0bc168…
07-21 10:48:03	itf spirido meersch 2026 07 21	Martin Van Der Meerschen	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd1a110…
07-21 05:45:39	wnba min sea 2026 07 20	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x614ad5…
07-21 04:01:07	wnba min sea 2026 07 20 total 174pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1621f9…
07-21 04:00:40	wnba min sea 2026 07 20 total 173pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0a884…
07-21 02:07:01	mlb wsh col 2026 07 20 f5 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00a83e…
07-20 20:19:55	swe org dju 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a7d29…
07-20 16:10:15	atp gadamau meza 2026 07 20 completed match	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82d9a8…
07-20 14:13:25	npb han yok 2026 07 20	Yokohama BayStars	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ff667…
07-20 11:02:36	cs2 biga ent2 2026 07 20	Entropy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6b9cb…
07-19 22:51:18	mlb sf sea 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01a2b8…
07-19 22:14:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1885b0…
07-19 22:14:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc6196…
07-19 18:37:36	mlb cws tor 2026 07 19	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03adfa…
07-19 16:20:34	swe hif deg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Hammarby IF	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x85b699…
07-19 14:22:48	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	Gen.G	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd90fd4…
07-19 14:03:45	cs2 ent2 hon1 2026 07 19	Entropy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9e854…
07-19 13:10:00	cs2 kos ltu 2026 07 19	Lithuania	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9ff5b…
07-19 11:43:24	cs2 rgg innerc 2026 07 19 game1	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd237ad…
07-19 09:29:00	itf zyl cirotte 2026 07 19	Astrid Cirotte	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab82b8…
07-19 02:49:57	nwsl roy pri 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb1335…
07-19 00:47:09	ufc alb10 tom15 2026 07 18 go the distance	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28db30…
07-19 00:26:18	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f9a6d…
07-19 00:25:06	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54e98e…
07-19 00:23:16	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7193d8…
07-19 00:15:39	mlb tb bos 2026 07 18	Boston Red Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecfbc8…
07-19 00:04:48	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Jose Miguel Delgado	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde8349…
07-18 23:18:16	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf602a0…
07-18 19:03:04	nor vik san 2026 07 18 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x071c91…
07-18 17:59:46	nor mol bra 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	Molde FK	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd06735…
07-18 17:08:51	nor lil kfu 2026 07 18 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba800d…
07-18 16:06:33	nor ik rbk 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1bb6e…
07-18 14:00:22	npb chi fuk 2026 07 18	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x980878…
07-18 11:34:25	itf dudeney bains 2026 07 18	Alicia Dudeney	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4260a5…
07-18 03:07:51	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea1756…
07-18 02:30:49	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe17a06…
07-18 02:30:46	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x174de1…
07-17 19:13:10	swe mja vas 2026 07 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba1853…
07-17 18:38:19	cs2 pdaf grmioe 2026 07 17 game1	Patins da Ferrari	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf03166…
07-17 15:56:58	cs2 mana1 benche 2026 07 17	Benched gods	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56676e…
07-17 10:56:18	itf malova kalyaki 2026 07 17	Maria Kalyakina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4034d9…
07-17 08:15:52	cs2 justpl ruby1 2026 07 17 game1	Just Players	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2657ab…
07-17 08:15:49	cs2 justpl ruby1 2026 07 17 game1	Just Players	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x40e414…
07-17 02:41:34	cs2 thunde mf 2026 07 16	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8db9f9…
07-16 21:30:46	cs2 imp11 fxw7 2026 07 16 game2	Imperial	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x937163…
07-16 20:24:46	uel zil haj 2026 07 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec87a2…
07-16 20:04:17	col zal op 2026 07 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0d8c6…
07-16 19:14:49	col pai heg 2026 07 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0a919…
07-16 19:05:04	col mil vel 2026 07 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x844b0e…
07-16 14:28:52	npb toh ori 2026 07 16	Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ea752…
07-16 14:28:28	kbo kia ssg 2026 07 16	SSG Landers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x259e34…
07-16 14:12:17	atp rublev pellegr 2026 07 15 set 2 winner Rublev vs Pellegrino	Pellegrino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeed874…
07-16 01:36:34	cs2 alkaa chama 2026 07 15 map handicap away 1pt5	BORRACHEIROS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78c8b7…
07-15 17:46:08	atp draxl trotter 2026 07 14	Liam Draxl	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbd6fe…
07-15 16:40:11	cs2 wc1 m8 2026 07 15 game1	Gentle Mates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa85104…
07-15 15:52:31	atp travagl navone 2026 07 15 set handicap away 1pt5	Travaglia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67f476…
07-15 15:51:31	val edg1 tyloo 2026 07 15	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bbb13…
07-15 11:38:44	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f67d6…
07-15 10:15:34	itf radojic bilozer 2026 07 16	Nikita Bilozertsev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9f0d4…
07-15 03:01:11	itf tsao stevens 2026 07 15	Chia Yi Tsao	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1f0d3…
07-14 21:55:20	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x370cb9…
07-14 21:08:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65db8a…
07-14 21:06:26	will william saliba score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9622be…
07-14 19:29:04	wta sakella tona 2026 07 14	Miriana Tona	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd7908…
07-14 18:47:07	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game1	Honvéd	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1dc663…
07-14 15:59:38	wta krejcik tomova 2026 07 13 set 2 winner Krejcikova vs Tomova	Krejcikova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89dd05…
07-14 15:35:23	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x48eb0b…
07-14 15:33:02	atp muller shevche 2026 07 13 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1eb1ff…
07-14 15:29:41	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37b46d…
07-14 13:23:52	cricshpageeza ban mis 2026 07 09	Mis-e-Ainak Knights	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe15de9…
07-14 13:05:37	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14 game2	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2baf0…
07-14 13:05:05	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4860e6…
07-14 12:42:44	auc alf ppf 2026 07 14 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b0819…
07-14 09:51:32	atp nagal cretu 2026 07 13	Sumit Nagal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa909d5…
07-13 18:54:34	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x656110…
07-13 14:47:50	will abnb dip to 144 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cdcf9…
07-13 09:44:02	atp sonego schwaer 2026 07 13 first set winner Sonego vs Schwaerzler	Sonego	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8d095…
07-12 21:21:44	bra2 ber cui 2026 07 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79bbd6…
07-12 19:05:56	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5d6df…
07-12 17:46:38	nor bra ik 2026 07 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53a169…
07-12 17:41:49	val clk sge 2026 07 12	Eintracht Frankfurt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4acb09…
07-12 15:37:08	itf estevez zarate 2026 07 12	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7aa52…
07-12 03:59:52	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x848ee1…
07-12 03:59:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fd152…
07-12 03:51:56	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f4a61…
07-12 03:03:55	mlb tor sd 2026 07 11 total 14pt5	Over	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8cbba5…
07-12 03:03:34	mlb tor sd 2026 07 11 total 14pt5	Over	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe5fe29…
07-12 02:29:31	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11 totals 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaaf661…
07-11 23:30:44	ufc kai2 luk12 2026 07 11	Luke Riley	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08e347…
07-11 23:08:31	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Wang Cong	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb29930…
07-11 19:27:50	cs2 tricks theboy 2026 07 11 game1	TheBoys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ee647…
07-11 17:39:28	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x283197…
07-10 14:57:26	cs2 gz1 lvg 2026 07 10 map handicap home 1pt5	Lynn Vision	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c5df4…
07-10 14:50:59	cs2 faze bb3 2026 07 10 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45ef8f…
07-09 19:49:13	cs2 lph theboy 2026 07 09 game1	LPH Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x808381…
07-09 15:28:07	wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9a7dfe…