Outstanding-Naturalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,677

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-01 08:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 94% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 05:05
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:10
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	LPH Gaming	+$0	05-10 14:38
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	3	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	$-0	05-07 11:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
cs2 leo2 brute 2026 04 07 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 18:04
wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 17:07
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
cs2 mw mag 2026 03 15 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-16 01:56
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 20:20
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 22:03
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:11
cs2 bbp 8s 2026 03 16	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-16 17:58
cs2 imp11 yaw 2026 03 28 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-28 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:38:59	will noble launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x191ea4…
07-01 04:01:11	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31a676…
07-01 02:18:37	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6303a4…
07-01 01:11:58	mlb tb kc 2026 06 30 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa21236…
06-30 18:01:02	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x250e93…
06-30 11:08:28	atp hanfman perrica 2026 06 29 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53a3e6…
06-30 10:12:47	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc27d58…
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08a16f…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x554106…
06-29 19:15:13	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe55ea0…
06-29 14:13:55	cs2 ast sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe19dd9…
06-29 13:52:38	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13d640…
06-29 11:08:37	wta bencic stojsav 2026 06 29 first set winner Bencic vs Stojsavljevic	Bencic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0c712…
06-28 17:22:13	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28	Yawara Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa37729…
06-28 17:05:23	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb20aea…
06-28 04:00:25	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x456609…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd61a7c…
06-28 02:03:22	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56a391…
06-27 23:22:13	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 assists jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0a0e7…
06-27 20:38:17	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x409e20…
06-27 20:00:17	Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde313f…
06-26 18:41:58	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa48256…
06-26 18:41:53	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8863bb…
06-26 11:53:58	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb13f10…
06-26 00:56:19	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x043899…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1834b9…
06-25 02:00:14	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2246c8…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca24e6…
06-25 00:05:53	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6bbd7…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9ae9e…
06-24 16:52:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a9510…
06-24 00:55:52	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdafd2c…
06-24 00:55:32	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x05eabe…
06-23 20:00:59	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd72222…
06-23 18:25:10	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52ff37…
06-23 17:40:55	cs2 fokus og1 2026 06 23 game1	FOKUS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcadafe…
06-21 18:13:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30d3ca…
06-21 18:01:35	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe9f26e…
06-21 18:01:35	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5ac06d…
06-20 22:09:08	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cb6df…
06-20 21:42:02	es2 alm mal 2026 06 20 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93a164…
06-20 21:07:25	wnba sea phx 2026 06 20 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66fefe…
06-20 20:06:43	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66690a…
06-20 19:13:19	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddf01b…
06-20 19:06:47	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals crysencio summerville gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27e22e…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfacab…
06-20 02:55:20	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c7ebf…
06-20 01:49:04	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9af3d…
06-19 15:45:28	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16c0f0…
06-19 15:36:19	r6siege allgam tyloo 2026 06 19	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x250c38…
06-19 14:35:02	cs2 inf6 ruby1 2026 06 19 map handicap home 1pt5	ex-RUBY	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62b0ba…
06-19 01:55:11	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 18 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd741f…
06-18 23:47:11	r6siege m80 c9 2026 06 18	M80	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf027a7…
06-18 22:59:25	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96280a…
06-17 20:57:26	mlb tb lad 2026 06 17 f5 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x539f39…
06-17 19:26:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bbedd…
06-17 19:25:29	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98563c…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac7765…
06-17 19:04:17	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe30e87…
06-17 18:09:13	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x029fca…
06-17 16:10:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa4481…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5f9cc…
06-17 16:06:26	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88d939…
06-17 03:10:43	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x605247…
06-16 13:45:53	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9cfc8…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbefd36…
06-16 00:27:57	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 corners team away 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c924e…
06-16 00:16:13	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x31580f…
06-16 00:16:10	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe00d92…
06-16 00:16:07	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f0ad6…
06-15 18:27:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf79a02…
06-15 18:10:21	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa39215…
06-15 12:41:36	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x743022…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c5fb3…
06-15 00:28:04	chi1 cuc cu1 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce6d95…
06-14 22:06:42	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bc9f9…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf46079…
06-14 19:21:48	mlb mia pit 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xace20b…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x230ac2…
06-13 09:23:22	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfb2dd…
06-13 08:59:12	cs2 all saab 2026 06 13 game2	Alliance	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf339f5…
06-13 01:55:04	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa38d06…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e2079…
06-12 20:27:00	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96e05e…
06-12 20:18:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x362905…
06-12 20:17:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2b613…
06-12 13:30:18	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf376d2…
06-12 10:42:21	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad5c75…
06-12 10:42:03	cs2 ruby1 g2a 2026 06 12 game2 round handicap ruby1 6pt5	G2 Ares	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb06d56…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd6c1f…
06-11 21:13:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb7d43…
06-11 16:53:31	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d619a…
06-11 16:03:33	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09f814…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbd521…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x192ff7…
06-10 12:09:03	atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08 set handicap away 1pt5	Boogaard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48d433…
06-10 08:26:04	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10 game3	Geek Fam ID	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b4f39…
06-09 12:20:12	itf khayndr aydemir 2026 06 09	Defne Aydemir	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe77922…
06-09 03:24:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa44043…
06-09 00:21:15	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6d7f1…