Dramatic-Mantel — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$545

Unrealized P&L

-$28

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

23 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.80K

$2.80K lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

$420

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$545

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	+360	$171	78¢	$279	+$108	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	+121	$62	100¢	$121	+$59	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	+360	$155	4¢	$16	$-139	05-05 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	+116	$60	4¢	$4	$-56	05-05 22:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$244	480	+480	open	—	05-05 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$233	480	+480	open	—	05-05 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$230	480	+480	Down	+$250	05-04 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$215	480	+480	Up	+$265	05-05 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$212	480	+480	Up	$-212	05-04 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	1	$194	480	+480	Up	+$286	05-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	1	$173	360	+360	open	—	05-05 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$171	338	+338	open	—	05-05 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	1	$171	360	+360	open	—	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$162	360	+360	Down	$-162	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$155	360	+360	open	—	05-05 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$121	236	+236	Up	+$114	05-05 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$106	240	+240	Up	+$134	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$102	179	+179	open	—	05-05 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$74	140	+140	Up	$-74	05-05 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	1	$62	121	+121	open	—	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	1	$60	116	+116	open	—	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$58	120	+120	Down	$-58	05-05 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$27	53	+53	open	—	05-05 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$17	32	+32	open	—	05-05 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	21	+21	open	—	05-05 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$6	13	+13	open	—	05-05 09:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	360	48¢	$171	0x0a04a4…
05-05 22:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	360	43¢	$155	0xd74dc7…
05-05 22:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	121	52¢	$62	0x9eadbb…
05-05 22:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	116	51¢	$60	0xb3c0a3…
05-05 20:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x728697…
05-05 19:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	55¢	$17	0x9293ca…
05-05 18:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2af160…
05-05 18:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x9ab540…
05-05 11:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	480	48¢	$233	0x21fcdd…
05-05 10:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	480	51¢	$244	0x570b10…
05-05 10:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	179	57¢	$102	0xdfbd62…
05-05 10:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	338	51¢	$171	0x613513…
05-05 09:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x3ed42f…
05-05 07:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	360	48¢	$173	0x0889fd…
05-05 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	120	48¢	$58	0xf15948…
05-05 05:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	240	44¢	$106	0x09ba55…
05-05 04:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	360	45¢	$162	0x18ee75…
05-05 02:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	480	40¢	$194	0x8b3e98…
05-05 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	480	45¢	$215	0x4a3b15…
05-05 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	236	51¢	$121	0x733476…
05-05 00:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	140	53¢	$74	0x276132…
05-04 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	480	44¢	$212	0x514e2f…
05-04 23:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	480	48¢	$230	0xc14329…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	21	$6.95K	211	05-05 23:10
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	21	$526	119	05-05 23:10
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	18	$922	112	05-05 23:00
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	17	$4.54K	89	05-05 23:10
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	17	$1.22K	78	05-05 23:10
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	16	$4.88K	137	05-05 23:05
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	16	$867	89	05-05 23:10
Constant-Relation 0x01b7…2eca	15	$931	42	05-05 23:05