Necessary-Siding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$17.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$262

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-09 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% — —

Sports

33% 56% +$54

Politics

22% 100% +$80

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+304	$193	70¢	$211	+$18	06-09 16:21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes		-198	$-36	26¢	$-51	$-15	06-04 21:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$1.4K	917	917	+0	open	—	05-12 19:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$715	450	450	+0	open	—	05-30 08:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	7	$671	487	487	+0	open	—	05-16 05:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	7	$660	400	400	+0	open	—	05-06 16:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$643	432	432	+0	open	—	06-06 21:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$624	620	316	+304	open	—	06-09 16:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	7	$565	300	400	-100	open	—	05-25 10:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$556	350	350	+0	No	+$80	04-29 09:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	3	$555	344	344	+0	open	—	04-27 18:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	10	$493	429	627	-198	open	—	06-05 10:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$479	268	268	+0	open	—	04-23 09:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	7	$443	438	128	+310	open	—	04-26 10:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$437	300	300	+0	open	—	05-01 14:00
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)	3	$433	281	277	+4	open	—	04-26 03:37
UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	6	$361	154	250	-96	open	—	05-30 13:09
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	5	$329	200	200	+0	open	—	05-28 10:57
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	13	$328	385	75	+310	open	—	05-14 17:50
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	4	$321	292	292	+0	open	—	05-30 12:28
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	3	$309	199	199	+0	Sean Brady	+$89	05-10 06:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	6	$306	270	270	+0	open	—	05-04 10:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$301	242	242	+0	open	—	05-01 14:00
ufc yun jei 2026 06 06	2	$275	162	162	+0	open	—	06-06 21:53
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	3	$274	175	175	+0	open	—	05-02 12:19
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	7	$254	882	142	+741	open	—	04-30 20:49
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)	2	$226	127	127	+0	open	—	05-30 11:37
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	5	$223	232	232	+0	open	—	05-30 11:32
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$222	122	122	+0	open	—	05-02 11:23
UFC Fight Night: Marwan Rahiki vs. Ollie Schmid (Featherweight, Main Card)	2	$217	117	117	+0	open	—	05-02 13:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$215	155	155	+0	open	—	06-09 08:00
UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)	2	$211	111	111	+0	Ateba Gautier	+$11	05-10 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:21:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	316	68¢	$215	0x9cd7fa…
06-09 08:00:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	155	69¢	$107	0xb47cc4…
06-09 07:35:58	btc updown 5m 1780990500	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x7403ea…
06-08 16:38:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x25b87d…
06-07 19:53:55	another gta vi trailer released by june 15	No	SELL	116	90¢	$105	0x51103f…
06-07 14:32:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x07d9fa…
06-07 14:29:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	148	70¢	$103	0xa17771…
06-07 11:30:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	150	69¢	$103	0xda73d8…
06-07 01:47:04	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Brendan Allen	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x5e3766…
06-07 01:08:24	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06 go the distance	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xda6e6d…
06-07 00:28:15	ufc bry1 san6 2026 06 06	Bryce Mitchell	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xc3dc5b…
06-06 23:48:39	ufc jun4 iwo 2026 06 06	Iwo Baraniewski	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x289f8d…
06-06 23:07:09	ufc mar42 joh41 2026 06 06	Marcus McGhee	BUY	61	77¢	$47	0x63ec20…
06-06 21:56:13	ufc joa4 jor10 2026 06 06	Joanderson Brito	BUY	250	61¢	$152	0xd096a7…
06-06 21:53:54	ufc yun jei 2026 06 06	Jeisla Chaves	SELL	162	100¢	$161	0x524592…
06-06 21:23:45	ufc yun jei 2026 06 06	Jeisla Chaves	BUY	162	70¢	$113	0xcd799f…
06-06 21:20:39	ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06	Ketlen Souza	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0xf604a4…
06-06 21:10:31	ufc ari1 ket1 2026 06 06	Ketlen Souza	BUY	116	76¢	$88	0x7e5f97…
06-06 21:10:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	104	85¢	$88	0x295aa8…
06-05 20:58:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8a748a…
06-05 11:04:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x22f0aa…
06-05 10:06:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x530d02…
06-05 09:46:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x63f453…
06-05 08:37:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x976d61…
06-05 02:22:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	150	66¢	$99	0xdfe61e…
06-04 21:08:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	328	83¢	$272	0x2c33af…
06-04 21:07:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	127	36¢	$46	0x97ac37…
06-03 12:02:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	127	49¢	$63	0xff5156…
06-03 11:55:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x4da0aa…
06-02 15:43:39	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0x776ee2…
06-02 14:00:17	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$0	0xe249be…
06-02 11:40:42	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xf2e390…
06-02 08:42:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	300	30¢	$91	0xbe394e…
06-01 21:59:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x779ef2…
06-01 21:57:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xf28eb7…
06-01 21:55:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x352389…
06-01 21:52:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x60aea9…
06-01 19:56:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xbd79ac…
06-01 09:01:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x23af35…
06-01 06:17:43	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x215c1e…
06-01 05:53:27	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0452dd…
05-31 21:41:25	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x5a7831…
05-31 04:33:07	Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$5	0x7e6af3…
05-30 18:24:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x5ee628…
05-30 18:24:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x145b9b…
05-30 18:23:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbc741c…
05-30 18:23:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x45817a…
05-30 18:23:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9b8d4b…
05-30 15:56:39	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	250	7¢	$17	0x958052…
05-30 13:09:56	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x56c41b…
05-30 13:05:42	UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Zhang Mingyang	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x30ba7b…
05-30 12:31:34	UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tallison Teixeira	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x609da4…
05-30 12:28:03	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xa44636…
05-30 11:39:04	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x2c14d7…
05-30 11:39:03	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	58	72¢	$42	0x4c8469…
05-30 11:38:59	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xcbedbd…
05-30 11:38:00	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xce664b…
05-30 11:37:53	UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Cody Haddon	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0xc31384…
05-30 11:37:19	UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Cameron Smotherman (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kai Asakura	BUY	85	72¢	$61	0x38b21c…
05-30 11:32:18	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sumudaerji	SELL	118	49¢	$58	0x1cf1cf…
05-30 11:25:11	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Sumudaerji	BUY	118	71¢	$84	0xe3c221…
05-30 11:23:53	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alex Perez	SELL	114	13¢	$15	0x20396d…
05-30 11:14:19	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	124	46¢	$57	0x5b4bfa…
05-30 11:07:38	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0x9ef1a7…
05-30 11:02:11	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alex Perez	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x9bfa65…
05-30 11:01:16	UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alex Perez	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x3414fd…
05-30 10:15:06	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xfd628d…
05-30 10:14:40	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ding Meng	SELL	196	38¢	$75	0x849eb0…
05-30 09:34:16	UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Cody Haddon	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xa6d702…
05-30 09:27:46	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ding Meng	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x81fcac…
05-30 08:42:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	450	100¢	$449	0xe2620d…
05-29 16:34:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0xb7f149…
05-29 14:33:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	275	64¢	$176	0x15627f…
05-28 10:57:36	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x5ec76d…
05-27 12:18:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	141	57¢	$80	0xb3d93d…
05-27 11:38:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4eefa3…
05-25 15:11:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	197	60¢	$118	0xf4d680…
05-25 14:20:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x7734ae…
05-25 13:44:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x9b62ef…
05-25 10:25:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	400	90¢	$360	0xa62e02…
05-24 02:00:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$51	0x6d419e…
05-24 02:00:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	88	16¢	$14	0x1d23a2…
05-23 22:08:08	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc07411…
05-23 20:48:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x355068…
05-22 22:06:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x61b352…
05-22 16:41:21	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xf94a2a…
05-22 16:22:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xbdbe19…
05-22 07:50:52	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x5c0718…
05-21 23:01:16	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0xca5b28…
05-21 23:01:12	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x226c30…
05-21 22:46:08	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	94	10¢	$9	0x13860a…
05-21 22:45:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2ba515…
05-21 22:35:39	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xe4bffb…
05-21 02:24:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xfa1af0…
05-21 02:24:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x02ce08…
05-21 02:24:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0x00b3d8…
05-21 02:11:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xe953f5…
05-17 03:34:07	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	134	19¢	$25	0xe9547a…
05-17 03:16:09	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Diaz	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x242dea…
05-17 03:03:49	UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ketlen Vieira	SELL	55	100¢	$54	0x929e5e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	64	$74.2K	901	06-09 16:25
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	52	$238.1K	23,218	06-10 05:16
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	48	$114.1K	1,097	06-10 03:28
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	47	$40.7K	11,347	06-10 04:02
Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4	44	$448.9K	3,060	06-08 22:31
Understated-Opossum 0x7a5d…54db	42	$121.5K	503	06-07 02:07
Tidy-Minute 0x7a68…98ae	42	$4.01K	42	06-06 10:04
Weak-Sculpting 0xe0b5…a0d7	42	$3.46K	79	06-07 01:54