Smooth-Eyestrain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$208

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

228

Trades

784

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$232

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 11-02 00:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

98% 94% -$208

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes		+304	$215	76¢	$232	+$17	11-02 00:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 6?	8	$298	151	150	+1	No	+$3	05-06 20:14
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$215	304	0	+304	open	—	11-02 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 6?	5	$148	75	74	+1	No	+$1	05-06 16:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?	4	$99	50	50	+1	No	+$1	05-06 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 10?	4	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-10 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 12?	5	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-12 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 11?	3	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-11 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 12?	3	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-12 18:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 10?	4	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-10 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 10?	4	$83	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-10 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10?	3	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-10 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 12?	3	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-12 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	6	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-12 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 10?	3	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-10 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?	3	$82	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 11?	3	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-11 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 11?	3	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-11 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 11?	3	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-11 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 11?	3	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-11 18:20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 12?	4	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-12 13:05
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 9?	4	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-09 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 11?	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-11 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 10?	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-10 06:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 9?	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-09 13:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 10?	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-10 20:18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 9?	4	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-09 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 12?	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-12 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 11?	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-11 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 12?	4	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-12 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 11?	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-11 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 00:22:16	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	304	71¢	$215	0x641752…
05-12 19:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 12?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa6f692…
05-12 18:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 12?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xfa6c7c…
05-12 18:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe73126…
05-12 18:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb2ddb0…
05-12 18:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6b8aae…
05-12 18:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 12?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8d52b4…
05-12 18:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x049c98…
05-12 18:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc7cbca…
05-12 18:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf06603…
05-12 18:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3bf87b…
05-12 18:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 12?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb6458b…
05-12 18:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xaf005c…
05-12 17:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 12?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x83576a…
05-12 16:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 12?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x2cc618…
05-12 16:26:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x780db3…
05-12 16:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xedd3f4…
05-12 15:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x55921b…
05-12 15:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 12?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x824884…
05-12 14:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x1c298c…
05-12 14:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xc22c52…
05-12 14:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xde8737…
05-12 14:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x25f9a0…
05-12 13:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 12?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xb3bc01…
05-12 12:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 12?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1575e1…
05-12 12:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 12?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xde6f05…
05-12 10:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 12?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xf56ecb…
05-12 09:54:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 12?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x4252e1…
05-12 09:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 12?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xc5e0f0…
05-12 09:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 12?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xaea07e…
05-12 08:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 12?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x8dad4c…
05-12 08:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x387169…
05-12 07:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfeedaa…
05-12 07:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf3c42d…
05-12 07:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf26055…
05-12 07:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xda9e18…
05-12 07:36:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xca85d6…
05-12 07:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd77a6f…
05-12 07:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcc59f1…
05-12 07:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa91776…
05-12 07:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x671823…
05-12 07:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x550e4f…
05-12 07:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x255c3b…
05-12 07:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x068462…
05-12 07:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 12?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x4af436…
05-12 06:27:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 12?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb35dc8…
05-12 06:27:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xde5db6…
05-12 06:27:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c4e01…
05-12 06:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 12?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbbacda…
05-12 06:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x9dca87…
05-12 06:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 12?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6d045f…
05-12 06:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x01fb2b…
05-12 06:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x919ba1…
05-12 06:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x021a1c…
05-12 06:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x964c2b…
05-12 05:53:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 12?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x04e1ac…
05-12 05:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65154d…
05-12 05:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2a17f7…
05-12 05:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 12?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x1b3cff…
05-12 05:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 12?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3d986b…
05-12 05:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x023d7e…
05-12 05:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 12?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x9aef4c…
05-12 05:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xaee832…
05-12 05:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 12?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x779f2f…
05-12 05:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xde3be8…
05-12 05:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x843ce1…
05-12 05:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x49eed7…
05-12 05:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 12?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xc3b8e9…
05-12 05:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x856663…
05-12 05:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x0653a3…
05-12 05:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 12?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x347d03…
05-12 05:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x1766ea…
05-12 04:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x89bbf8…
05-12 04:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5b397f…
05-12 04:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 12?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xc310d9…
05-12 04:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x620266…
05-12 03:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 12?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x0f05d2…
05-12 02:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 37°C on May 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x65c201…
05-12 02:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 12?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x91cf78…
05-12 02:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on May 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8bd6c2…
05-12 02:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 12?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x7dce14…
05-12 02:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 12?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x02a427…
05-12 02:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf0ed00…
05-12 01:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xe36c98…
05-12 01:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on May 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc0b363…
05-12 01:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 12?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xfad193…
05-12 01:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xe68e31…
05-12 01:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 12?	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x37fa82…
05-12 00:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 12?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x5a4293…
05-12 00:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 12?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2fab5c…
05-12 00:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x492f7a…
05-12 00:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5ca0f6…
05-12 00:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x941f0e…
05-12 00:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1acb1b…
05-12 00:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 12?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x82f1b8…
05-12 00:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on May 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x79eee6…
05-12 00:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on May 12?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x56a6c2…
05-12 00:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 12?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xcea6f6…
05-12 00:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa33f95…
05-12 00:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 12?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x94c2ca…