Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$126
$235 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,302
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 04:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $3 | $99 | $96 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $19 | $16 |
| Median | 6 | — | $52 | $52 |
| Below median | 6 | $0 | $12 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our-Pronoun 0x7efd…caed | Yes | +41 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 09:41 |
| French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-11 23:03 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-11 10:56 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-12 02:03 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-11 10:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c97…6d28 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 00:55 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 17:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xae0d…d398 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd73…ec44 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:33 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 15:27 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 22:11 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 00:10 |
| Coordinated-Prelude-Styling 0xc9f7…72bc | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 02:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 09:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 04:38:58 | (anonymous) 0xae0d…d398 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfb46cc… |
| 05-12 02:18:39 | Coordinated-Prelude-Styling 0xc9f7…72bc | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xdeaf70… |
| 05-12 02:03:46 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x09f43c… |
| 05-12 02:03:46 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xca6078… |
| 05-12 00:33:25 | (anonymous) 0xbd73…ec44 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5cc82d… |
| 05-12 00:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x16b6…72c9 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x274248… |
| 05-12 00:08:32 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0f3859… |
| 05-12 00:02:23 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xc6c692… |
| 05-11 23:03:52 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x9db1a3… |
| 05-11 21:53:17 | Active-Runway 0xf14a…86d2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c9cd6… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2147ac… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x006d16… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe4fdb1… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x063775… |
| 05-11 17:34:08 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5a34db… |
| 05-11 10:56:03 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xaa8834… |
| 05-11 10:21:25 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x085440… |
| 05-11 10:18:02 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2964e6… |
| 05-11 09:15:01 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf10e95… |
| 05-11 08:35:45 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe5532d… |
| 05-11 00:55:42 | (anonymous) 0x2c97…6d28 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x19104f… |
| 05-11 00:10:37 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xbbeaf5… |
| 05-10 22:11:05 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf546a7… |
| 05-10 15:27:01 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2e93e1… |
| 05-10 09:44:20 | Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xcf2af0… |
| 05-10 09:41:57 | Our-Pronoun 0x7efd…caed | Yes | BUY | 41 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xf7b362… |