Awful-Skylight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$558

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

794

Trades

920

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$23

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 08-30 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

96% 88% -$566

Crypto

4% 96% +$7

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-11	-$10	99¢	$-10	-$1	05-18 16:12
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-10	-$10	84¢	$-9	+$1	05-18 16:12
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	-10	-$8	40¢	$-4	+$4	05-18 16:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 6?	4	$336	176	176	+0	Yes	+$16	05-06 18:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?	3	$305	155	155	+0	No	+$5	05-01 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?	6	$282	289	105	+184	Yes	-$96	05-05 16:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?	3	$230	272	0	+272	No	-$230	05-10 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 10?	2	$204	104	104	+0	No	+$4	05-10 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 30?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-30 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 7?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-06 18:03
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 30?	4	$198	110	110	+0	Yes	-$18	04-30 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 6?	2	$198	101	101	+0	No	+$4	05-06 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?	3	$174	185	0	+185	Yes	+$11	05-08 15:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?	1	$166	200	0	+200	Yes	+$34	05-08 14:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	1	$155	158	0	+158	Yes	+$3	05-04 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?	4	$145	137	51	+86	No	+$12	05-07 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 1?	2	$144	72	72	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 21:11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?	3	$144	147	0	+147	Yes	+$3	05-07 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 5?	4	$142	147	0	+147	No	+$6	05-04 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 6?	3	$134	68	68	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 10?	3	$127	151	100	+51	No	-$87	05-10 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 5?	1	$122	124	0	+124	No	+$2	05-04 05:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?	2	$118	68	68	+0	No	+$18	05-01 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 5?	2	$113	123	0	+123	No	+$10	05-04 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5?	2	$103	53	53	+0	No	+$3	05-05 16:04
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 8?	1	$100	102	0	+102	Yes	+$2	05-08 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?	1	$100	108	0	+108	Yes	+$8	05-09 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?	1	$100	118	0	+118	No	-$100	05-10 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 4?	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	05-03 20:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 8?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-07 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 1?	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	04-30 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 3?	3	$98	123	26	+97	Yes	+$5	05-03 14:41
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 17:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x71b3b8…
08-30 17:24:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C or higher on September 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8cd9b7…
08-30 17:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 1?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae769d…
06-10 18:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 11?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x224ee4…
06-10 18:01:54	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6cdda1…
06-10 18:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfedd3d…
06-10 18:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4033b0…
06-10 17:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01471e…
06-10 17:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8cf4ac…
06-10 17:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x390ea1…
06-10 17:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3935c6…
06-10 17:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xceaac3…
06-10 17:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x97eaf9…
06-10 17:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x34e0d4…
06-10 17:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf8481b…
06-10 17:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x0386bc…
06-10 17:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf08b4a…
06-10 17:55:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3c404d…
06-10 17:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0ac1a…
06-10 17:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6c7283…
06-10 17:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd78717…
06-10 17:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0f4f65…
06-10 17:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdbf1bd…
06-10 17:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x2762a4…
06-10 17:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xaa21d0…
06-10 17:51:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on June 11?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7c90ea…
06-10 17:50:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on June 11?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf13b2c…
06-10 17:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb8df12…
06-10 17:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5c4f0e…
06-10 17:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 42°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xaf24c3…
06-10 17:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4ba930…
06-10 17:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4a7a7e…
06-10 17:47:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdebdfe…
06-10 17:47:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbc0cba…
06-10 17:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3340aa…
06-10 17:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x28b650…
06-10 17:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa5bd6d…
06-10 17:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb0cb14…
06-10 17:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xeb039c…
06-10 17:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb40f0e…
06-10 17:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 11?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x31c735…
06-10 17:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 11?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x87673d…
06-10 17:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x8b3e54…
06-10 17:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9a0d95…
06-10 17:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 11?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x934355…
06-10 17:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x3b9504…
06-10 17:37:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 11?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x629d0e…
06-10 17:37:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 11?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x1c3e4b…
06-10 17:35:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 10?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x026f50…
06-09 17:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 10?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x3a1510…
06-09 17:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 10?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x22c98b…
06-09 17:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 10?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x74134d…
06-09 17:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 10?	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xbac078…
06-09 17:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 10?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x91c612…
06-09 16:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 10?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x24bd44…
06-09 16:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 10?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x5c6910…
06-09 16:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x8aeb48…
06-09 16:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x6ee057…
06-09 16:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9?	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x09aa1f…
06-09 16:52:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd2eef4…
06-09 16:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 10?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x42b709…
06-09 16:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x8d3dba…
06-09 16:50:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbd550b…
06-09 16:50:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 10?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xedc26a…
06-09 16:49:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x56edbc…
06-08 19:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfb98a5…
06-08 19:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x923210…
06-08 19:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 9?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x808e7c…
06-08 19:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe3b6f3…
06-08 19:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xd152cf…
06-08 18:59:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 9?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x72032b…
06-08 18:58:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 9?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xf6d393…
06-08 18:58:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 9?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xb25371…
06-08 18:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xe69b8b…
06-08 18:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xdbadbf…
06-08 18:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 9?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x3d30ba…
06-08 18:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 9?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc21643…
06-08 18:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 9?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x522493…
06-08 18:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 9?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdb6282…
06-08 18:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 8?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x958d57…
06-08 18:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x455f47…
06-08 18:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x029f37…
06-08 18:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x613009…
06-08 18:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xe13c56…
06-08 18:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x12bd2e…
06-08 18:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xf94582…
06-08 18:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 9?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xab02ea…
06-08 18:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xaffa49…
06-08 18:48:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x64cef1…
06-08 18:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x4003de…
06-08 18:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xdd96b4…
06-08 18:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xff6036…
06-08 18:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 8?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x35b71b…
06-08 18:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 10?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x3cfcf0…
06-08 18:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 10?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xad86a0…
06-08 18:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 10?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x6a2ce2…
06-08 18:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf64dce…
06-08 18:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x598a44…
06-08 18:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 9?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3b83b0…
06-08 18:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 9?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x114b7e…