Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 5?
open
Total volume
$443
$6,124 in 24h
Trades
61
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$1,333
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-05
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 18:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $5 | $377 | $371 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | — | $161 | $161 |
| Median | 15 | — | $44 | $44 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 13 | $5 | $136 | $131 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limping-Shape 0x8103…23a1 | Yes | +652 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 15:54 |
| Perfumed-Devastation 0x64f6…15a2 | Yes | +195 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 04:30 |
| Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-05 11:30 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +99 | $98 | $98 | 4 | 05-05 11:45 |
| Foolish-Pledge 0xbda1…827f | Yes | +67 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-04 22:49 |
| Velvety-Mariachi 0x675f…9c60 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 00:54 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +32 | $32 | $32 | 2 | 05-05 16:07 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-05 15:54 |
| Zigzag-Whorl 0x8c99…3ef0 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-05 10:00 |
| Occasional-Pagoda 0x97bb…64d8 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-05 14:22 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-05 09:30 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-05 10:00 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 21:34 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-05 10:00 |
| Defiant-Weasel 0x18a0…19d0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 02:50 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-05 10:00 |
| Yummy-Acorn-Wound 0xc11c…b9b2 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-05 04:04 |
| Memorable-Dignity 0x365a…c6c8 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 00:24 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-05 08:05 |
| Whole-Recession 0xa14a…b750 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 07:30 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 09:31 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 09:31 |
| Spanish-Offramp 0xe115…ace9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 07:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 18:28:12 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x554b5d… |
| 05-05 18:26:56 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xeb4a47… |
| 05-05 16:29:44 | Variable-Disagreement 0xfdec…6093 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x3cadad… |
| 05-05 16:07:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x6ce264… |
| 05-05 15:54:56 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xbb4add… |
| 05-05 15:54:54 | Limping-Shape 0x8103…23a1 | Yes | BUY | 652 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x4b358a… |
| 05-05 15:22:30 | (anonymous) 0x688b…7a24 | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xa46e04… |
| 05-05 15:07:34 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x09bdb4… |
| 05-05 14:22:26 | Occasional-Pagoda 0x97bb…64d8 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x608d36… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xba8739… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ff3b0… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x047e1b… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ca7b1… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6e8470… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdb72eb… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x687431… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc79e59… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38879a… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x99e744… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbda3e4… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfb65f9… |
| 05-05 13:37:10 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1bdef… |
| 05-05 12:56:46 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd52f9… |
| 05-05 12:56:46 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0cd55… |
| 05-05 12:56:46 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b9b29… |
| 05-05 11:51:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x68b88b… |
| 05-05 11:45:26 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xdd4df6… |
| 05-05 11:30:26 | Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x5c7bed… |
| 05-05 10:35:26 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13442b… |
| 05-05 10:00:18 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x272b0f… |
| 05-05 10:00:18 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xf82f80… |
| 05-05 10:00:18 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x41bb6a… |
| 05-05 10:00:18 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x4468f2… |
| 05-05 10:00:16 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1156c7… |
| 05-05 10:00:16 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x70b788… |
| 05-05 10:00:16 | Zigzag-Whorl 0x8c99…3ef0 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x34f365… |
| 05-05 10:00:16 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xa72f28… |
| 05-05 09:31:22 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3eabd0… |
| 05-05 09:31:16 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x7e9a9d… |
| 05-05 09:31:12 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xba0e2f… |
| 05-05 09:31:12 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67c6b4… |
| 05-05 09:30:12 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52fff2… |
| 05-05 09:30:10 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x69f388… |
| 05-05 08:05:14 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb64682… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xec4832… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x54a358… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0dbff2… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x1e6c03… |
| 05-05 07:50:04 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc34a17… |
| 05-05 07:41:10 | Spanish-Offramp 0xe115…ace9 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x13bca4… |
| 05-05 07:30:14 | Whole-Recession 0xa14a…b750 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf2082b… |
| 05-05 04:30:32 | Perfumed-Devastation 0x64f6…15a2 | Yes | BUY | 195 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd19dfa… |
| 05-05 04:04:56 | Yummy-Acorn-Wound 0xc11c…b9b2 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xdda478… |
| 05-05 04:00:32 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x72132c… |
| 05-05 02:50:20 | Defiant-Weasel 0x18a0…19d0 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x6f0f95… |
| 05-05 00:54:52 | Velvety-Mariachi 0x675f…9c60 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4650fe… |
| 05-05 00:24:34 | Memorable-Dignity 0x365a…c6c8 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x003868… |
| 05-04 22:49:54 | Foolish-Pledge 0xbda1…827f | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x899f56… |
| 05-04 22:49:48 | Foolish-Pledge 0xbda1…827f | Yes | BUY | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xac68b6… |
| 05-04 22:49:42 | Foolish-Pledge 0xbda1…827f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa39000… |
| 05-04 21:34:32 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xec158b… |