Untidy-Bit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-14 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

40% 42% -$4

Politics

28% 47% +$0

Sports

14% 36% $0

Crypto

13% 58% +$1

Tech

5% 60% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	6	$256	132	132	+0	No	$0	02-18 13:42
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$173	87	87	+0	No	$0	03-09 12:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$172	87	87	+0	No	$0	04-10 12:17
trump out as president by march 31	4	$172	87	87	+0	No	$0	03-27 14:49
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$152	76	76	+0	open	—	05-05 13:21
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	4	$147	74	74	+0	No	-$1	05-26 14:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$144	72	72	+0	No	$0	06-02 11:35
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	2	$89	44	44	+0	No	+$0	01-07 13:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$89	45	45	+0	No	+$0	01-08 14:59
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	2	$89	46	46	+0	No	$0	01-26 11:52
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$88	46	46	+0	No	-$1	01-09 15:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$88	44	44	+0	No	$0	02-27 15:00
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	03-04 12:07
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	02-28 12:35
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$88	45	45	+0	Gold	+$1	01-24 14:56
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	2	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	01-31 07:03
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$88	44	44	+0	No	$0	03-06 15:13
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	01-13 12:09
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	$0	03-08 15:10
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$87	45	45	+0	No	$0	01-14 11:54
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$1	02-25 16:18
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	$0	03-10 14:22
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	03-18 11:39
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	$0	03-14 15:37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	$0	03-12 13:23
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$0	03-15 12:52
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$87	45	45	+0	Yes	+$0	01-18 14:25
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$87	43	43	+0	No	$0	03-20 14:39
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	$0	01-19 13:14
will trump visit greenland by march 31	2	$87	43	43	+0	No	+$0	03-29 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 14:00:16	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x553ada…
06-14 13:54:04	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb75cfb…
06-12 03:17:16	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x23e32e…
06-12 03:08:45	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xf8478a…
06-10 12:50:55	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xb25d17…
06-10 12:46:06	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xeab78e…
06-09 00:57:07	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xf607f4…
06-09 00:54:16	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x99b188…
06-03 14:02:51	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x6a6fe7…
06-03 13:30:51	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xa58942…
06-02 11:37:43	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x1e383d…
06-02 11:35:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x34760f…
06-01 14:39:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xb21bf7…
06-01 14:36:58	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x21faa6…
05-31 00:16:28	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xfbf86f…
05-31 00:14:26	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x0f0fae…
05-29 15:57:07	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7b1eaa…
05-29 14:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xe03573…
05-28 15:45:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x093ed1…
05-28 15:40:27	Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x68609e…
05-26 15:04:13	Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x7372ec…
05-26 14:57:30	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x66c767…
05-26 14:00:06	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xab7e75…
05-26 13:54:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xc3afd2…
05-24 14:28:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x727eca…
05-23 15:22:37	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x5019e7…
05-23 15:17:42	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$37	0x4fc9b2…
05-22 18:32:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0xe91a54…
05-22 18:29:53	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x633479…
05-21 16:31:39	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x236416…
05-21 16:25:13	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x8cc4e7…
05-20 23:47:41	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xebeed2…
05-20 23:45:45	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x03eea0…
05-20 00:01:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x689a67…
05-19 23:57:02	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x247f33…
05-18 23:12:55	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xd6c2e8…
05-18 23:11:24	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x1d4511…
05-17 23:57:03	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x513b39…
05-17 23:50:08	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0x692d1b…
05-15 00:06:04	Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x608d71…
05-14 23:07:20	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x11e405…
05-13 00:32:47	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb9f8f3…
05-13 00:31:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x408ffd…
05-12 00:10:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xefbfee…
05-12 00:09:21	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xbcbf92…
05-10 14:17:01	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xf4f1cf…
05-10 13:56:06	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x0ccec8…
05-08 15:25:54	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xc2ec36…
05-08 15:23:57	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xe71dd2…
05-07 15:11:00	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x05f302…
05-07 15:08:45	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x251ba8…
05-05 13:32:26	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc579c0…
05-05 13:21:48	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x7af29d…
05-04 16:06:10	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xcc6282…
05-04 16:02:14	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xafcd5b…
05-04 00:23:12	Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x00d8c8…
05-04 00:21:04	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x4adf4f…
05-02 15:22:24	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x88cd73…
05-01 15:42:52	Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x24274f…
05-01 15:39:50	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x2a6074…
04-29 12:23:28	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xdd2a88…
04-29 12:20:36	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x3f86c3…
04-28 15:20:12	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x6ccf3c…
04-28 15:17:12	Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x8a06d9…
04-27 14:40:34	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x2c3f17…
04-26 15:18:06	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x81751c…
04-24 16:11:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$38	0xc47c08…
04-23 14:06:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$38	0x624960…
04-23 13:13:22	Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	No	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0x52e66d…
04-21 15:11:06	Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xa4b80c…
04-21 15:06:40	Will Google dip to $220 in April?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$42	0x45b888…
04-19 00:37:28	Will Google dip to $220 in April?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0x21d567…
04-16 13:42:18	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x7bd1bc…
04-15 13:06:36	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x469734…
04-15 13:04:12	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x3ed036…
04-13 12:17:51	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x30aa9f…
04-13 12:12:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x4718e3…
04-10 12:20:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x821f82…
04-10 12:17:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x8e9147…
04-09 14:07:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xafc758…
03-30 14:21:47	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x5f4246…
03-29 10:29:08	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x9e956d…
03-29 10:27:32	will trump visit greenland by march 31	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x519413…
03-27 14:50:41	will trump visit greenland by march 31	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x9cdb0f…
03-27 14:49:13	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xb186c7…
03-26 13:41:39	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xe27712…
03-26 13:28:19	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	44	100¢	$43	0x82ab05…
03-25 14:55:39	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x0f583e…
03-25 14:53:35	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xa84d12…
03-23 13:57:55	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xb7d7a9…
03-23 13:53:51	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x07c13b…
03-22 14:31:17	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xc79af7…
03-20 15:12:17	will akron win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x380dc8…
03-20 14:39:53	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xeecf50…
03-19 13:23:29	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xb31075…
03-18 11:39:57	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$43	0x236b4b…
03-16 14:12:59	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$43	0xcf2374…
03-15 12:52:09	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x2523fb…
03-14 15:45:23	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xb56a07…
03-14 15:37:13	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	44	100¢	$43	0xee9ba5…