Flawless-Olive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$45

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

588

Trades

1,910

lifetime

Volume

$191.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$100

Open exposure

$107

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 09-16 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 45% -$4,059

Other

8% 20% -$5,663

Sports

7% 10% -$6,736

Politics

3% 22% +$1,929

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-655	-$62	16¢	$-107	-$45	06-23 21:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$2.9K	6,239	3,119	+3,119	No	-$871	04-18 00:20
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	8	$2.8K	6,488	0	+6,488	Yes	+$3,717	04-11 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:15 UTC	8	$2.7K	2,003	1,977	+26	Down	+$1,203	03-26 13:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$2.5K	4,436	0	+4,436	Yes	-$2,500	04-16 20:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$2.2K	23,437	0	+23,437	No	-$2,235	04-27 22:11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$2.0K	23,156	0	+23,156	No	-$1,975	07-05 20:01
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$2.0K	48,519	0	+48,519	No	-$1,962	06-29 07:28
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	10	$1.9K	4,588	2,725	+1,863	Yes	+$1,263	03-17 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:00 UTC	10	$1.6K	2,609	944	+1,665	Up	+$624	03-26 22:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:05 UTC	8	$1.5K	4,631	0	+4,631	Down	-$1,500	03-27 16:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 21:10 UTC	13	$1.5K	2,632	409	+2,224	Up	+$883	03-25 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:45 UTC	6	$1.4K	1,162	1,145	+18	Down	+$267	03-25 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:55 UTC	11	$1.4K	3,354	0	+3,354	Up	-$1,390	03-27 16:58
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$1.4K	15,947	0	+15,947	No	-$1,385	04-15 19:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:15 UTC	25	$1.3K	2,655	539	+2,116	Down	+$1,538	03-25 14:17
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$1.2K	48,885	40,135	+8,750	No	-$296	07-09 21:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:15 UTC	8	$1.1K	3,080	0	+3,080	Down	-$1,100	03-27 16:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 14:15 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,827	0	+1,827	Down	+$742	03-21 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 16:30 UTC	22	$1.1K	1,683	755	+928	Down	+$190	03-27 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:35 UTC	13	$977	3,670	0	+3,670	Down	+$1,722	03-27 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:30 UTC	9	$955	2,413	0	+2,413	Up	+$958	03-26 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 15:10 UTC	7	$914	2,071	376	+1,694	Down	+$840	03-25 15:14
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	5	$905	2,260	0	+2,260	Yes	+$1,355	03-22 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:40 UTC	9	$900	1,888	0	+1,888	Up	-$900	03-26 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:20 UTC	12	$892	1,497	334	+1,162	Down	+$585	03-25 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 14:15 UTC	11	$891	3,111	0	+3,111	Down	-$891	03-27 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 23:20 UTC	8	$850	1,771	0	+1,771	Down	-$850	03-20 23:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:40 UTC	3	$846	1,235	557	+678	Up	-$345	03-26 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 18:00 UTC	20	$832	2,238	0	+2,238	Down	+$1,068	03-26 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:05 UTC	8	$825	1,354	1,338	+17	Down	-$244	03-26 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 21:35:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0x1f3403…
09-16 21:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xfc3450…
09-16 21:34:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd8cba9…
09-16 20:59:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	180	56¢	$100	0xbf84aa…
09-11 21:31:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,171	13¢	$150	0x46b572…
09-11 21:31:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,042	24¢	$250	0x61cff5…
09-11 21:30:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,380	36¢	$500	0x4cda7c…
09-11 21:29:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	Yes	BUY	614	5¢	$30	0x74b271…
07-09 21:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x93a317…
07-09 21:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x34a989…
07-09 21:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	341	29¢	$100	0x3ac05f…
07-09 21:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x1967c5…
07-09 21:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x2f7cc4…
07-09 21:38:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xfca223…
07-09 21:38:34	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8,750	0¢	$35	0x5ea38d…
07-09 21:36:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x854452…
07-09 21:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	215	47¢	$100	0x2e135a…
07-09 20:47:02	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,562	6¢	$100	0x0d043c…
07-09 20:37:20	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40,135	1¢	$464	0x40f2d0…
07-07 22:14:19	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,595	6¢	$161	0x89cba4…
07-05 21:45:34	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,778	4¢	$100	0x439b51…
07-05 21:45:28	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,142	4¢	$40	0xfb9af7…
07-05 21:45:28	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	833	4¢	$30	0x95ddf3…
07-05 20:13:44	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,389	7¢	$100	0x6d1801…
07-05 20:12:02	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0xf36e75…
07-05 20:11:47	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,165	8¢	$250	0x8ad75e…
07-05 20:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x4eff52…
07-05 20:02:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x6b8eb4…
07-05 20:02:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x2bc389…
07-05 20:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xba0a64…
07-05 20:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	236	42¢	$100	0x6a6f12…
07-05 20:01:59	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,000	2¢	$150	0x79b4fc…
07-05 20:01:46	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,349	4¢	$100	0xfd8c48…
07-05 20:01:22	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0x08f620…
07-05 20:01:16	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,556	2¢	$100	0x4b854a…
07-03 21:54:49	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,226	3¢	$100	0x5523d9…
07-03 21:54:34	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,542	6¢	$150	0x7d84fd…
07-03 21:54:26	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,885	3¢	$75	0x40d848…
07-03 21:51:26	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	2,250	2¢	$45	0xaeac6b…
07-03 21:51:16	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	1,413	5¢	$65	0x5c94dc…
06-29 07:28:38	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	490	5¢	$25	0x0dad90…
06-29 07:28:11	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	980	5¢	$50	0x094710…
06-29 07:27:59	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,230	6¢	$75	0xa1c0ae…
06-26 21:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x66f67f…
06-26 21:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe88037…
06-26 21:12:50	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,724	6¢	$100	0x5dbfbf…
06-26 21:12:35	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,176	8¢	$100	0xff3a6d…
06-26 21:11:11	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,586	6¢	$150	0x0419ea…
06-26 21:11:04	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,765	8¢	$150	0xc6576d…
06-23 22:01:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x426b0a…
06-23 22:01:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x98e0f1…
06-23 22:01:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x936ae0…
06-23 22:01:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x461bbc…
06-23 22:00:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xdb5eac…
06-23 22:00:05	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3c40eb…
06-23 21:59:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	655	10¢	$62	0x8a36a9…
06-20 17:24:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,900	9¢	$261	0x5d64b4…
06-20 17:21:37	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,556	4¢	$250	0xe833ec…
06-19 07:58:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,351	7¢	$100	0x64ce67…
06-08 07:29:31	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	926	16¢	$150	0x8b0fb6…
06-08 07:29:21	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9,615	3¢	$250	0xd1c632…
06-08 07:28:45	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x9db2d0…
06-08 07:28:18	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	943	11¢	$100	0xe7aa6b…
06-08 07:28:10	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	617	16¢	$100	0xaf5cf9…
06-08 07:27:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0x951db3…
06-07 23:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0xd9ea20…
06-07 23:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xa3f45b…
06-07 05:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc520eb…
06-07 05:31:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x9a3627…
06-07 05:31:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x50f1a4…
06-07 05:30:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	SELL	500	81¢	$405	0xa1a2af…
06-06 18:24:54	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,205	8¢	$100	0xc59589…
06-06 18:24:33	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	617	16¢	$100	0x6b755e…
06-06 18:23:30	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	617	16¢	$100	0x525049…
06-06 18:23:19	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12,500	2¢	$200	0xc43679…
06-06 18:23:06	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0x2f6b5d…
06-06 18:23:00	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,475	10¢	$250	0x22a9e9…
06-04 13:05:37	Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x019d5c…
06-04 13:05:22	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,556	1¢	$50	0xe0ddfd…
06-04 13:04:39	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,064	9¢	$100	0x131c3b…
06-04 13:04:30	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	18,750	2¢	$300	0x8fdc99…
06-03 23:24:46	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	521	10¢	$50	0x7ebd37…
06-03 23:24:40	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x267cba…
06-03 23:04:24	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,083	10¢	$200	0xf943bc…
06-03 23:04:16	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,042	10¢	$100	0xb0458d…
06-03 22:45:54	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,042	10¢	$100	0xcfdea4…
06-01 23:56:37	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,054	4¢	$187	0x182640…
06-01 23:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xc23cd3…
06-01 23:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x5ea8d9…
06-01 23:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xfceeca…
06-01 23:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x2a59dd…
06-01 23:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xbf080f…
06-01 23:49:04	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,453	9¢	$125	0x7fde53…
06-01 23:48:51	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,378	4¢	$125	0x48d87d…
06-01 23:47:34	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,054	4¢	$150	0xa2e270…
06-01 23:46:54	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,596	9¢	$150	0x4cf85b…
06-01 13:15:09	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,778	2¢	$50	0x0a2c71…
06-01 01:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0xc859ce…
06-01 01:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0xb20bd9…
06-01 01:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0xa33c21…