Quarterly-Dueling-Stage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$423

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 06-27 03:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 15% -$144

Tech

14% 43% +$128

Other

9% 10% -$21

Politics

6% 0% -$16

Sports

1% 33% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+66	$10	19¢	$12	+$2	06-15 01:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+33	$5	6¢	$2	-$3	06-11 02:55
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+22	$2	3¢	$1	-$1	06-11 22:25
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	+3	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	06-27 03:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:20 UTC	2	$50	78	0	+78	Down	+$28	06-11 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:35 UTC	2	$30	3,000	0	+3,000	Up	-$30	06-11 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$30	1,500	0	+1,500	Up	-$30	06-11 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:45 UTC	3	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$9	06-11 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:15 UTC	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Up	-$25	06-11 22:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:30 UTC	1	$25	108	0	+108	Down	-$25	06-15 23:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 01:15 UTC	1	$25	35	0	+35	Down	+$10	06-15 01:16
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$25	29	29	+0	No	+$15	06-21 01:48
spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	2	$21	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-12 05:13
Will Solana reach $90 on May 20?	2	$11	257	0	+257	No	-$11	05-20 19:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$10	1,171	0	+1,171	No	-$10	06-11 22:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	1	$10	131	0	+131	No	-$10	05-20 19:04
ethereum up or down on june 12 2026	1	$10	42	0	+42	Up	-$10	06-12 05:14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$10	66	0	+66	open	—	06-15 01:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:50 UTC	2	$10	404	0	+404	Down	-$10	06-11 23:53
solana up or down june 20 2026 9pm et	1	$7	9	0	+9	Down	-$7	06-21 01:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:55 UTC	1	$7	17	0	+17	Down	-$7	06-21 01:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:55 UTC	1	$7	72	0	+72	Down	-$7	06-11 23:58
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	06-27 03:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:50 UTC	1	$5	31	0	+31	Down	-$5	06-11 23:51
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 20?	1	$5	364	0	+364	No	-$5	05-20 19:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$5	250	0	+250	No	-$5	06-11 02:54
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	1	$5	385	0	+385	No	-$5	05-20 19:08
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	1	$5	125	0	+125	Yes	+$120	06-03 02:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$5	33	0	+33	open	—	06-11 02:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$5	33	0	+33	No	-$5	05-20 19:07
Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 20?	1	$5	143	0	+143	No	-$5	05-20 19:03
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	1	$5	298	0	+298	Yes	-$5	06-11 02:56
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 16	1	$3	23	0	+23	No	-$3	06-16 01:06
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	1	$2	49	0	+49	No	-$2	06-11 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 03:10:07	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9e6250…
06-27 03:09:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x96ff3d…
06-27 03:08:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd6b255…
06-27 03:08:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7d85f5…
06-27 03:06:31	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x5342eb…
06-21 01:59:29	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x2de587…
06-21 01:58:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x0786f0…
06-21 01:58:17	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1c0bf9…
06-21 01:57:10	solana up or down june 20 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x53fa3c…
06-21 01:55:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xfc4dbb…
06-21 01:55:17	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 20	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd1cefe…
06-21 01:54:55	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5dfcb4…
06-21 01:48:07	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	68¢	$20	0x701274…
06-16 01:06:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x5f8b05…
06-16 01:06:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 16	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb93974…
06-16 01:05:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x507e39…
06-16 01:04:58	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xeefa62…
06-15 23:32:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0xb998de…
06-15 01:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x314c59…
06-15 01:15:39	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0xb0a31a…
06-12 05:14:58	ethereum up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x866527…
06-12 05:13:46	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xec2abc…
06-11 23:58:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	72	9¢	$7	0x79311c…
06-11 23:53:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	237	2¢	$5	0x2bbb9b…
06-11 23:52:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x34adf8…
06-11 23:51:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x97a828…
06-11 23:49:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:45 UTC	Down	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0x1d13a0…
06-11 23:47:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x90dcc1…
06-11 23:47:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd9053b…
06-11 23:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5f8a9f…
06-11 23:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x5124e9…
06-11 23:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb30598…
06-11 23:40:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x24f47a…
06-11 22:25:43	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x968392…
06-11 22:25:15	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x9cecac…
06-11 22:23:55	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x0857be…
06-11 22:23:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,171	1¢	$10	0x3a7f26…
06-11 22:22:51	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x07d524…
06-11 22:22:07	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5d5a7b…
06-11 22:21:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x0fd559…
06-11 22:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x1d0d56…
06-11 22:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xb96311…
06-11 02:57:03	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xb6c169…
06-11 02:56:19	Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	No	BUY	298	2¢	$5	0xfe30f4…
06-11 02:55:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x196278…
06-11 02:54:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6895e6…
06-03 02:51:06	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	EDward Gaming	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5a4a6a…
06-03 02:50:35	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x618923…
06-03 02:49:34	Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2c33ef…
06-03 02:48:46	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xcd6473…
05-20 19:08:30	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x9488ee…
05-20 19:07:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x66ca30…
05-20 19:06:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xb37992…
05-20 19:04:58	Will Solana reach $90 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	146	4¢	$6	0x7011a6…
05-20 19:04:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x5cf6e6…
05-20 19:03:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	364	1¢	$5	0x5756f2…
05-20 19:03:20	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$5	0x8c2145…
05-20 19:02:31	Will Solana reach $90 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0xee4f78…
05-18 04:39:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xb85e61…
05-18 04:38:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x094d23…
05-18 04:34:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x6dbc10…