Drafty-Heaven — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

32 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$101

$2.86K lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-20 06:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 100% +$4

Other

39% 91% -$2

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	2	$473	384	90	+294	No	+$1	01-25 11:00
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$363	363	0	+363	No	+$0	02-03 06:16
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$344	344	0	+344	No	+$0	06-07 13:00
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	1	$337	337	0	+337	No	+$0	05-10 10:56
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$337	338	0	+338	No	+$1	04-10 15:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$335	336	0	+336	No	+$1	03-04 13:17
will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	1	$235	235	0	+235	No	+$0	07-13 12:44
will bnb dip to 100 in august	1	$128	128	0	+128	No	+$0	08-02 13:21
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$86	86	0	+86	No	+$0	01-25 11:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	10-12 12:51
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	09-04 09:05
will rick devens be voted off survivor season 50 this week 452	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	03-15 12:34
Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-16 08:57
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	10-20 06:40
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-07 13:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-19 10:37
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-22 09:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	07-13 12:45
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-27 07:42
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-04 09:06
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-10 10:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	08-02 13:21
white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 160 179	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-10 15:46
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-04 13:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-21 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	08-02 13:22
will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-04 13:15
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by at least 35	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-03 06:17
will nsc be part of the next government of the netherlands	1	$5	0	5	-5	No	$0	01-11 06:10
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	06-07 13:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 06:40:43	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ca7b7…
10-12 12:51:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xb400ab…
09-04 09:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x30011b…
09-04 09:05:43	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x54c50e…
08-02 13:22:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01041c…
08-02 13:21:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc63b52…
08-02 13:21:05	will bnb dip to 100 in august	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x91fff9…
07-13 12:45:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd8c1e5…
07-13 12:44:07	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x2b66b5…
06-22 09:23:44	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x462ad0…
06-07 13:06:12	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa08e6c…
06-07 13:05:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cdc92…
06-07 13:00:51	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	344	100¢	$344	0x08a5d0…
05-21 12:38:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d34c4…
05-19 10:37:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x820778…
05-10 10:56:38	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	337	100¢	$337	0x307526…
05-10 10:56:09	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf998d4…
04-27 07:42:56	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb76fa6…
04-16 08:57:04	Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x798f07…
04-10 15:47:37	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$337	0x99f753…
04-10 15:46:45	white house of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 160 179	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x4d04ff…
03-15 12:34:29	will rick devens be voted off survivor season 50 this week 452	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x35dcb1…
03-04 13:18:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfec8fa…
03-04 13:17:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	336	100¢	$335	0x86dd5c…
03-04 13:15:47	will the peoples party pple win 180 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c9b30…
02-03 06:17:36	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by at least 35	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4dc736…
02-03 06:16:42	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0x7ef378…
01-25 11:00:48	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x4d9754…
01-25 11:00:12	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xa56231…
01-11 06:12:28	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x839d63…
01-11 06:11:22	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	384	100¢	$383	0x8dec47…
01-11 06:10:32	will nsc be part of the next government of the netherlands	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x82321d…