Perfumed-Object — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 09-22 05:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

82% 50% +$26

Politics

13% 0% —

Crypto

5% 100% +$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No		+3	$3	92¢	$3	$0	09-22 05:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$938	480	480	+0	No	+$0	05-07 07:45
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	2	$915	470	470	+0	No	+$1	05-03 05:15
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	2	$899	483	483	+0	open	—	07-19 03:05
will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	2	$894	473	473	+0	No	-$5	07-19 05:13
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	2	$840	457	457	+0	open	—	07-29 04:52
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	2	$810	450	450	+0	open	—	07-29 05:58
will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	2	$725	390	390	+0	open	—	06-28 05:10
will russia enter stavky by june 30	2	$722	380	380	+0	No	+$0	06-28 06:53
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	3	$476	255	255	+0	open	—	06-19 08:46
Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	1	$470	489	0	+489	National Bank of Egypt Club	+$19	05-07 07:58
Spread: Casa Pia AC (-2.5)	1	$461	485	0	+485	CD Tondela	+$24	05-03 05:20
mex nec maz 2026 04 03 spread away 1pt5	1	$200	210	0	+210	Club Necaxa	+$10	04-03 06:59
another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	4	$154	965	965	+0	No	+$0	08-05 02:45
will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	3	$113	945	945	+0	No	+$0	08-05 03:22
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	09-22 05:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	27	27	+0	open	—	08-09 06:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 05:24:12	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd61609…
08-09 06:03:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x041746…
08-09 05:50:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x0886d4…
08-05 03:22:53	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	945	6¢	$57	0x878445…
08-05 02:49:24	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	488	6¢	$29	0x657b66…
08-05 02:49:03	will there be houthi military action against israel by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	457	6¢	$27	0xbaf0d6…
08-05 02:45:51	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	Yes	SELL	477	8¢	$38	0x3fcbfa…
08-05 02:45:44	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	Yes	SELL	488	8¢	$39	0x6a7dea…
08-05 01:55:17	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	Yes	BUY	488	8¢	$39	0x01e616…
08-05 01:54:51	another nato article 4 invocation by august 31 2026 20260726214511852	Yes	BUY	477	8¢	$38	0xb54e4d…
07-29 05:58:06	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	SELL	450	90¢	$405	0x27a60c…
07-29 05:00:24	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	BUY	450	90¢	$405	0xa98a81…
07-29 04:52:12	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	SELL	457	91¢	$416	0x6a8f1e…
07-29 04:20:09	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	No	BUY	457	93¢	$425	0xba05e3…
07-19 05:13:00	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	473	94¢	$445	0xa6a495…
07-19 03:38:00	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	473	95¢	$449	0x5f38bc…
07-19 03:05:01	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	483	93¢	$450	0x4ca094…
07-19 02:23:42	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	483	93¢	$450	0x0710f9…
06-28 06:53:22	will russia enter stavky by june 30	No	SELL	380	95¢	$361	0xfff5ce…
06-28 06:05:34	will russia enter stavky by june 30	No	BUY	380	95¢	$361	0xa72d2c…
06-28 05:10:07	will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	No	SELL	390	92¢	$359	0x219c90…
06-28 02:06:52	will russia capture sloviansk by december 31	No	BUY	390	94¢	$367	0x2eed4e…
06-19 08:46:13	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xd34a72…
06-19 08:45:50	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	245	93¢	$229	0xb1efef…
06-19 06:45:43	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	255	93¢	$238	0xe472de…
05-07 07:58:20	Spread: Ismaily SC (-1.5)	National Bank of Egypt Club	BUY	489	96¢	$470	0x8e1eb9…
05-07 07:45:56	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	480	98¢	$469	0x00f38a…
05-07 07:09:03	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	480	98¢	$469	0xa1c4f6…
05-03 05:20:24	Spread: Casa Pia AC (-2.5)	CD Tondela	BUY	485	95¢	$461	0x9225dc…
05-03 05:15:22	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	470	97¢	$458	0x41f08e…
05-03 03:06:18	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	470	97¢	$457	0xee7df8…
04-03 06:59:49	mex nec maz 2026 04 03 spread away 1pt5	Club Necaxa	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x6a8595…