Greedy-Sky — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.19K

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$28.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$1.31K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-13 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

78% 55% +$1,098

Other

16% 58% +$466

Crypto

5% 75% -$346

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+600	$590	99¢	$592	+$2	10-13 06:49
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-232	-$225	100¢	$-231	-$6	05-23 03:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+228	$121	57¢	$130	+$9	09-24 12:27
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?	Yes	-102	-$92	97¢	$-99	-$8	05-23 03:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+228	$109	43¢	$98	-$11	09-24 12:27
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+100	$94	90¢	$90	-$4	09-24 12:28
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+40	$38	96¢	$39	+$0	09-24 12:24
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	+22	$22	99¢	$22	+$0	09-24 12:22
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	No	+13	$11	94¢	$12	+$1	05-07 08:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	44	$5.5K	9,112	17,608	-8,496	Yes	+$1,219	05-23 04:30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	28	$3.0K	4,497	3,546	+951	No	-$358	05-09 17:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	123	$2.5K	24,379	24,379	+0	Yes	-$180	07-24 16:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	09-12 13:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$1.8K	2,156	156	+2,000	No	+$473	07-24 02:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$1.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	09-24 09:06
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$1.4K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	-$1	10-09 04:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$7	06-12 16:32
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	6	$1.0K	1,569	1,569	+0	No	-$6	07-01 02:08
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	19	$782	2,432	1,548	+884	Yes	+$4	05-09 16:59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	27	$657	1,613	3,200	-1,587	No	+$217	05-09 17:24
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	37	$602	5,769	9,982	-4,212	Yes	+$188	05-09 17:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$590	600	0	+600	open	—	10-13 06:49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$452	603	0	+603	Yes	-$452	05-07 08:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	6	$447	500	500	+0	Yes	-$3	05-09 16:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$377	241	241	+0	No	+$51	05-23 03:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$354	200	200	+0	open	—	07-24 02:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	12	$348	467	467	+0	Yes	+$2	05-09 14:54
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$308	155	155	+0	No	+$2	03-31 13:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	16	$250	526	526	+0	No	+$2	05-09 17:24
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$248	303	0	+303	Yes	+$54	04-17 08:39
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$230	456	0	+456	open	—	09-24 12:27
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$225	0	232	-232	open	—	05-23 03:55
trump out as president by march 31	1	$200	0	200	-200	No	$0	03-31 13:14
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$155	155	0	+155	Yes	+$0	01-30 17:49
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	3	$141	300	300	+0	open	—	10-09 13:38
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	5	$136	1,431	1,431	+0	No	+$7	06-12 11:25
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	7	$124	358	358	+0	Yes	+$9	06-12 14:30
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	3	$119	300	300	+0	No	-$1	06-30 16:54
Will Natus Vincere Junior Win Emea Challengers Stage	4	$116	280	280	+0	No	-$2	06-30 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 06:49:05	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	600	98¢	$590	0xae3948…
10-09 13:38:25	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	23¢	$69	0xa73cc5…
10-09 13:16:31	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xe76c55…
10-09 13:14:34	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	24¢	$69	0x7d0040…
10-09 12:08:39	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x0d9516…
10-09 12:04:27	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	33¢	$18	0x2db68c…
10-09 11:47:27	Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x38eaf8…
10-09 11:47:21	Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0xf90a94…
10-09 09:50:31	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	SELL	300	6¢	$18	0x0358ba…
10-09 05:37:00	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x27e0c4…
10-09 05:16:41	Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	39¢	$27	0x3832a2…
10-09 05:01:00	Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x6c87a9…
10-09 05:00:13	Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xf5a813…
10-09 04:50:42	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1d185a…
10-09 04:25:42	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa6ba1a…
10-09 04:25:19	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x440c0c…
10-09 04:24:34	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0xac21ae…
10-09 04:17:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	700	14¢	$100	0x2cecb2…
10-09 04:17:33	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	700	86¢	$599	0x233bb6…
09-24 12:29:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	700	44¢	$306	0x1eaa24…
09-24 12:29:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	700	56¢	$395	0x8a1189…
09-24 12:28:34	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xb0c96c…
09-24 12:27:21	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	228	53¢	$121	0xca6ce2…
09-24 12:27:13	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	48¢	$109	0x57b339…
09-24 12:26:40	Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	150	65¢	$97	0xefa0c1…
09-24 12:24:21	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x117d8d…
09-24 12:22:34	Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xecb5eb…
09-24 09:06:36	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2,000	34¢	$680	0xbe158a…
09-12 13:30:51	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2,000	51¢	$1,020	0xc9ed26…
09-04 12:13:24	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2,000	51¢	$1,020	0x59a7dd…
09-04 12:13:16	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2,000	49¢	$980	0xaf28c9…
09-04 09:31:27	OKX IPO in 2026?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x3ade3d…
09-04 09:31:19	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xab5103…
07-24 16:35:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	130	2¢	$3	0x2a45c4…
07-24 16:25:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	432	2¢	$7	0xe33db5…
07-24 16:24:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	130	2¢	$3	0xae2f6d…
07-24 15:57:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	313	2¢	$8	0x1ef881…
07-24 15:56:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	297	2¢	$7	0x0764da…
07-24 15:30:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	776	2¢	$19	0x8d7151…
07-24 15:17:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	921	2¢	$20	0xad199a…
07-24 15:10:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	242	2¢	$5	0x12ad92…
07-24 15:10:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	800	2¢	$12	0x5609d8…
07-24 15:06:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	2,000	2¢	$40	0xc9c95e…
07-24 15:00:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1,005	2¢	$23	0x82e23c…
07-24 15:00:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	325	2¢	$8	0x64fe12…
07-24 14:39:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	426	4¢	$17	0xc9513c…
07-24 14:38:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,200	3¢	$36	0x00cf45…
07-24 14:26:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,300	4¢	$52	0x96ad69…
07-24 14:09:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	380	5¢	$19	0x103deb…
07-24 14:08:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4c4210…
07-24 14:08:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	615	5¢	$31	0x838f3f…
07-24 14:07:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	58	7¢	$4	0xf9a7d8…
07-24 14:00:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	927	6¢	$56	0x0bd011…
07-24 13:52:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	58	6¢	$4	0xb53a06…
07-24 13:34:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	802	5¢	$40	0xbfdd64…
07-24 13:11:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x355223…
07-24 12:47:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x897305…
07-24 12:45:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0xd6c8a1…
07-24 12:41:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7ee6df…
07-24 12:36:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	935	5¢	$47	0x956753…
07-24 12:32:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	328	4¢	$13	0xf2467f…
07-24 12:30:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,195	5¢	$60	0xab5369…
07-24 12:30:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x965889…
07-24 12:29:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	700	6¢	$42	0x766a42…
07-24 12:29:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	728	7¢	$51	0xd78ae2…
07-24 12:25:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1,664	6¢	$100	0x737a94…
07-24 11:55:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	826	5¢	$41	0xc42721…
07-24 11:55:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	374	5¢	$19	0xba03db…
07-24 11:55:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,200	5¢	$60	0xe2a99e…
07-24 11:44:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	779	5¢	$39	0x7d63f5…
07-24 11:43:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	886	5¢	$44	0x0d1b01…
07-24 11:13:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1,110	4¢	$44	0x4bd84e…
07-24 10:58:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	552	5¢	$28	0x47e5a5…
07-24 10:57:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x7ebbc4…
07-24 10:57:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0x4e9da9…
07-24 10:57:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0xffd347…
07-24 10:57:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf9f8cc…
07-24 10:57:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x5f97b4…
07-24 10:13:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	600	5¢	$30	0x87d549…
07-24 10:08:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,199	6¢	$72	0xd94dc6…
07-24 10:08:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x1ebdc5…
07-24 10:03:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	400	7¢	$28	0x72c7d2…
07-24 10:02:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	727	6¢	$44	0x9e1e71…
07-24 10:02:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x73c479…
07-24 09:57:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	251	6¢	$15	0x3446a8…
07-24 09:56:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xff1a86…
07-24 09:56:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1,149	6¢	$69	0x5c20c4…
07-24 08:47:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	500	5¢	$25	0x56f198…
07-24 08:45:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x23944c…
07-24 08:43:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	1,200	6¢	$72	0x143e47…
07-24 08:42:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0xa7984e…
07-24 08:41:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	976	6¢	$59	0x04609e…
07-24 08:38:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	167	6¢	$10	0xf33043…
07-24 08:32:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xd83fd7…
07-24 08:02:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xb9dab8…
07-24 08:01:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x497dd8…
07-24 08:01:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xcd2c2f…
07-24 08:01:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x47f4dc…
07-24 08:01:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0xfc4750…
07-24 08:01:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x4c1761…