Wobbly-Commerce — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

9 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$9 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 03:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% — —

Other

45% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes		+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	05-13 01:18
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+4	$1	22¢	$1	$-0	05-12 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 03:06:46	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf6a7d9…
05-14 03:05:50	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x50cba2…
05-14 02:22:09	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x499ef5…
05-14 02:20:12	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7f074f…
05-13 01:18:47	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x803252…
05-13 00:35:56	Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar	Alastair Gray	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x698205…
05-12 03:04:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb1da1c…
05-06 02:14:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f29bb…
05-06 02:03:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa02766…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 03:06
Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-14 02:22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-12 03:04
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on May 6?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 02:14
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-13 01:18
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 02:03
Bengaluru 2: Alastair Gray vs Manish Sureshkumar	1	$1	0	1	-1	Manish Sureshkumar	+$1	05-13 00:35