(anonymous) 0xaf1fb3…c14af9
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$492
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
2,679
Trades
7,320
lifetime
Volume
$13.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$272
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-31 00:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
76% 53% -$364
Sports
19% 51% -$75
Politics
5% 55% -$48
Crypto
0% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +51 $33 72¢ $37 +$4 10-28 14:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +26 $18 99¢ $26 +$8 10-13 20:41
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +26 $20 99¢ $26 +$5 10-28 00:15
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +24 $20 98¢ $24 +$4 10-14 18:28
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +19 $15 100¢ $19 +$3 10-27 21:54
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25 $20 72¢ $18 -$2 10-15 11:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +28 $20 57¢ $16 -$3 10-18 15:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +18 $16 86¢ $16 +$0 10-15 12:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +17 $10 70¢ $12 +$1 09-27 17:06
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +11 $9 100¢ $11 +$2 10-26 11:33
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-06 21:59
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? No +18 $12 58¢ $11 -$1 10-23 12:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-07 11:23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +13 $9 78¢ $10 +$1 09-20 16:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +16 $5 56¢ $9 +$4 10-27 03:33
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 68¢ $6 +$0 10-20 22:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +32 $5 16¢ $5 +$0 10-20 20:42
Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5 Over +10 $5 17¢ $2 -$3 10-30 12:42
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 08-23 20:03
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5 Under +2 $1 52¢ $1 $0 10-31 00:57
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +3 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 08-22 14:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$0 10-15 21:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1 $1 23¢ $0 -$1 09-28 08:36
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +21 $15 1¢ $0 -$15 10-08 19:50
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes -4 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 10-27 07:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +0 -$1 86¢ $0 +$1 09-20 10:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$1 09-29 23:17
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? Yes +0 $0 42¢ $0 $0 10-23 12:57
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +7 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 10-29 10:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-25 07:37