Realized P&L
-$524
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
49.8%
Resolved
2,705
Trades
7,332
lifetime
Volume
$13.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$191
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-01 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
76% 53% -$369
Sports
19% 52% -$73
Politics
5% 52% -$78
Crypto
0% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 253 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +51 $33 70¢ $36 +$3 10-28 14:11
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +24 $20 100¢ $24 +$4 10-14 18:28
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +25 $20 71¢ $17 -$2 10-15 11:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +28 $20 58¢ $16 -$3 10-18 15:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +18 $16 88¢ $16 +$1 10-15 12:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +17 $10 70¢ $12 +$2 09-27 17:06
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 10-06 21:59
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? No +18 $12 58¢ $11 -$1 10-23 12:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-07 11:23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +13 $9 74¢ $10 +$0 09-20 16:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +16 $5 56¢ $9 +$4 10-27 03:33
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $5 68¢ $6 +$0 10-20 22:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +32 $5 16¢ $5 +$0 10-20 20:42
Thunder vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5 Under — +8 $4 53¢ $4 +$0 11-01 00:11
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 +$0 08-23 20:03
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +3 $2 16¢ $1 -$2 08-22 14:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$0 10-15 21:27
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1 $1 24¢ $0 -$1 09-28 08:36
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes -4 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 10-27 07:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +0 -$1 89¢ $0 +$1 09-20 10:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$1 09-29 23:17
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23? Yes +0 $0 42¢ $0 $0 10-23 12:57
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? Yes +7 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 10-29 10:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-25 07:37
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +8 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-15 12:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 08-25 15:36