(anonymous) 0xafaa81…7f3bb4 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
-$29
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved (30d)
241
Trades (30d)
350
718 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8.36K
$15.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$409
22 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-11 11:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
62% 55% -$67
Politics
36% 69% +$242
Tech
2% 60% -$6
Crypto
1% 70% -$24
Sports
0% 100% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? Yes +133 $18 97¢ $130 +$111 11-11 11:14
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October? No +70 $49 68¢ $48 -$1 10-30 15:52
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +36 $27 80¢ $29 +$2 11-10 15:49
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million? No +41 $26 66¢ $27 +$1 11-10 15:50
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.25 million? No +33 $27 80¢ $26 $0 11-10 15:50
Will Malaysia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final? No +81 $27 30¢ $25 -$2 11-08 11:16
Will Cisco say "Quantum" during earnings call? Yes +33 $21 63¢ $21 +$0 11-09 11:34
Will Malaysia win Eurovision Asia 2026? No +53 $23 39¢ $21 -$3 11-10 23:59
Will Applied Materials say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call? No +25 $18 50¢ $13 -$6 11-09 11:34
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 17? Yes +19 $12 55¢ $11 -$1 11-05 21:23
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 13? Yes +12 $10 81¢ $10 $0 11-05 21:23
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 14? Yes +12 $10 80¢ $10 $0 11-05 21:23
Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026? Yes +45 $9 17¢ $8 -$1 11-11 11:21
Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? No +17 $7 44¢ $8 +$1 11-06 20:18
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18? No +7 $4 89¢ $7 +$2 10-19 23:46
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +28 $9 24¢ $7 -$2 11-10 11:11
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 million? No +7 $6 80¢ $6 +$0 11-10 15:50
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 12? Yes +4 $4 81¢ $3 -$1 11-10 11:11
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? Yes +77 $46 1¢ $1 -$45 10-29 11:29
Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 10, 2026? Yes +21 $13 3¢ $1 -$12 11-08 23:53
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 19, 2026? Yes +13 $7 3¢ $0 -$6 10-18 10:45
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 7? Yes +15 $12 1¢ $0 -$12 11-05 21:24