(anonymous) 0xafaa81…7f3bb4 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$185
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved (90d)
406
Trades (90d)
693
725 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$15.7K
$15.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$436
20 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 11-13 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
62% 55% -$55
Politics
36% 69% +$234
Tech
2% 60% -$6
Crypto
1% 70% -$24
Sports
0% 100% +$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? Yes +133 $18 94¢ $125 +$107 11-11 11:14
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +75 $36 65¢ $49 +$13 11-13 20:16
Will Philippines win the public vote for Eurovision Asia 2026? No +49 $27 57¢ $28 +$1 11-13 16:18
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6.25 million? No +33 $27 80¢ $26 $0 11-10 15:50
Will Malaysia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final? No +81 $27 32¢ $26 -$1 11-08 11:16
Will Malaysia win Eurovision Asia 2026? No +53 $23 46¢ $24 +$1 11-10 23:59
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 5.5 million? No +41 $26 56¢ $23 -$4 11-10 15:50
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 15? Yes +24 $20 81¢ $19 -$1 11-13 20:16
Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026? Yes +45 $9 37¢ $17 +$8 11-11 11:21
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 15? Yes +16 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 11-06 20:18
Will Caedrel say "Int / Inting" on stream? Yes +22 $11 60¢ $13 +$3 11-13 16:18
Will "Victorian Psycho" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? Yes +19 $10 68¢ $13 +$2 11-13 20:16
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15? Yes +27 $7 48¢ $13 +$6 11-10 15:49
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 14? Yes +12 $10 94¢ $12 +$1 11-05 21:23
Israel military action against Lebanon on November 17? Yes +19 $12 55¢ $11 -$1 11-05 21:23
Will Gintautas Kindurys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? No +17 $7 44¢ $8 +$1 11-06 20:18
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18? No +7 $4 93¢ $7 +$3 10-19 23:46
Will the 2026 League of Legends World Championship peak concurrent viewers be at least 6 million? No +7 $6 80¢ $6 $0 11-10 15:50
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? Yes +77 $46 2¢ $1 -$44 10-29 11:29
Will Ukraine target Moscow on November 10, 2026? Yes +21 $13 1¢ $0 -$13 11-08 23:53