Runny-Activist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

601

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 05:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Crypto

38% 100% +$19

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	01-14 20:50
over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	4	$512	514	0	+514	open	—	01-10 15:28
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 0 39	1	$508	508	0	+508	open	—	01-05 21:10
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 440 459	1	$507	508	0	+508	open	—	01-04 15:18
bitcoin above 92k on january 9	1	$507	514	0	+514	open	—	01-09 16:52
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 340 359	1	$507	507	0	+507	open	—	01-03 09:08
nflx above 80 on january 2 2026	1	$506	507	0	+507	open	—	01-02 10:19
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?	1	$505	506	0	+506	open	—	01-01 03:10
bun ein dor 2026 01 09 dor	1	$504	504	0	+504	open	—	01-09 21:22
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	1	$503	507	0	+507	open	—	01-08 19:22
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 420 439	6	$501	503	0	+503	open	—	01-08 08:34
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 70 79	2	$500	502	0	+502	open	—	01-06 19:44
bitcoin above 90k on january 7	1	$446	446	0	+446	open	—	01-07 16:42
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	2	$401	202	202	+0	open	—	05-23 23:36
aapl up or down on march 4 2026	24	$356	198	198	+0	open	—	03-04 20:55
will paradex launch a token on march 5	2	$264	142	142	+0	open	—	03-04 16:23
coin up or down on march 6 2026	4	$195	180	100	+80	open	—	03-06 14:34
Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?	5	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 13:19
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	8	$192	150	150	+0	open	—	02-23 14:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$190	96	96	+0	open	—	04-21 18:21
will company b be accused of insider trading	7	$175	110	110	+0	open	—	02-26 11:41
bitcoin above 78k on february 24	3	$169	85	85	+0	open	—	02-22 13:34
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	2	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	04-23 06:39
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	1	$156	156	0	+156	open	—	05-29 19:52
highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	16	$153	77	77	+0	open	—	04-12 00:37
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$147	100	100	+0	open	—	03-08 22:01
pltr up or down on march 3 2026	2	$147	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 20:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	2	$139	71	71	+0	open	—	05-25 13:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	05-27 09:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	05-21 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 05:31:03	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	23	54¢	$13	0x1b6bfb…
06-07 17:14:52	will nvda dip to 192 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x67b7e4…
06-02 05:58:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x7ae07f…
06-01 21:23:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xfa7796…
06-01 14:25:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x939f16…
05-29 19:52:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x187da7…
05-29 14:18:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xf63f97…
05-28 18:50:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x218d60…
05-28 17:31:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xed3398…
05-28 15:10:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb0109a…
05-28 00:16:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0xe10835…
05-28 00:16:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x81648f…
05-27 09:05:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x0d38ef…
05-26 15:35:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0xca20f4…
05-26 13:22:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xe4854f…
05-26 12:23:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	No	SELL	178	0¢	$0	0x033e11…
05-26 06:35:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xd0d3f4…
05-26 06:32:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1c09a7…
05-25 13:59:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$70	0x9f2436…
05-24 18:39:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xc07791…
05-24 18:34:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0xca47dd…
05-24 18:09:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x1446e4…
05-24 18:09:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xfcc339…
05-24 17:59:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xc83e7f…
05-24 15:13:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0xd61c16…
05-23 23:36:35	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	202	99¢	$201	0x0dfcef…
05-23 09:28:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	No	BUY	188	2¢	$4	0xc9413e…
05-22 15:11:42	Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x998259…
05-22 13:38:24	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7085c6…
05-21 08:44:05	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x6e81b9…
05-21 07:16:28	Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x382f0a…
05-21 00:14:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xbbefcf…
05-18 10:47:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0x0e66ad…
05-18 07:38:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xbd8c24…
05-15 14:04:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0xd1af00…
05-15 13:45:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xd6c46c…
05-13 15:39:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x5f170e…
05-13 13:48:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x63fc15…
05-11 22:20:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0xdefa3a…
05-11 14:35:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xaec8b6…
05-09 08:45:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x7f1941…
05-09 07:00:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x731301…
05-07 14:49:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x0fbeda…
05-07 14:10:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x7c98a3…
05-06 22:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	109	30¢	$33	0x045efc…
05-06 22:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x8248e8…
05-06 05:53:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xb8e781…
05-03 15:27:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	65	94¢	$61	0x3c5045…
05-03 15:01:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x63e394…
04-30 18:05:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0x322b2b…
04-30 10:25:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xa3b698…
04-28 06:47:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0xd1d3ae…
04-28 06:44:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb5f28a…
04-26 10:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x3d586e…
04-23 17:26:58	bitcoin above 80k on april 24	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x0225e8…
04-23 14:12:14	bitcoin above 80k on april 23	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb0ad04…
04-23 10:36:10	highest temperature in madrid on april 23 2026 22corbelow	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc1989b…
04-23 06:39:42	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	81	98¢	$80	0x97e783…
04-22 20:41:52	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x94440a…
04-22 19:34:34	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 exact score 3 1	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x02c6bb…
04-22 19:34:02	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 exact score 3 3	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x402cc5…
04-22 19:33:40	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 halftime result home	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x61b9fa…
04-22 08:00:28	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0x311728…
04-21 22:59:12	Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd4910f…
04-21 18:21:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x5730f1…
04-21 11:13:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x537406…
04-20 20:26:28	bitcoin above 80k on april 23	No	BUY	62	91¢	$56	0x25d762…
04-20 14:58:58	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xac9872…
04-19 21:36:44	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 21corbelow	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x667572…
04-19 21:36:12	highest temperature in madrid on april 19 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x42f91a…
04-19 14:09:44	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	No	BUY	61	89¢	$54	0x35fd74…
04-19 13:04:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x4e1403…
04-18 11:29:50	highest temperature in madrid on april 18 2026 31c	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x0a0fc8…
04-15 21:38:48	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 26c	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0cdba8…
04-15 20:06:50	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 3 2	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62e733…
04-15 20:06:46	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread home 2pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x674697…
04-15 19:58:54	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 exact score 2 2	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x53f479…
04-15 15:39:52	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	56	93¢	$52	0xbb3b3e…
04-15 14:58:52	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x3bc413…
04-13 14:46:05	highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 18c	No	BUY	87	100¢	$86	0xa028f0…
04-12 16:32:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xe95f0a…
04-12 16:30:41	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xba8348…
04-12 00:37:57	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd14bc9…
04-12 00:37:43	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x731727…
04-12 00:26:39	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3e64d5…
04-12 00:26:39	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2f3a27…
04-12 00:26:39	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x091560…
04-12 00:22:35	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf606d7…
04-12 00:22:35	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc475d3…
04-12 00:22:35	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6e1821…
04-12 00:22:35	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x300cfd…
04-12 00:22:35	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x26af7c…
04-12 00:18:37	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd49b2f…
04-12 00:18:37	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x440fff…
04-12 00:18:31	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4358a1…
04-11 18:31:29	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x35c0b8…
04-11 18:31:05	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x0dbe91…
04-11 18:30:07	highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 19c	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xadefea…
04-11 12:07:27	highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 23corhigher	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x2dd85b…
04-11 12:02:25	highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 23corhigher	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb923ff…