Near-Tshirt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$63

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-05 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-1

Politics

41% 100% +$17

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+7	$1	20¢	$1	+$0	06-05 19:10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	+6	$1	15¢	$1	$-0	06-05 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	+3	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	06-05 19:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-18 12:03
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$8	03-01 09:40
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	111	+111	open	—	03-09 23:25
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	4	+4	open	—	03-15 15:28
Will the US strike Cuba next?	1	$1	143	+143	open	—	03-01 09:41
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	100	+100	open	—	02-15 10:39
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	06-05 19:14
will 2025 be the hottest year on record	1	$1	250	+250	open	—	01-11 15:45
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	01-11 15:38
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	1	$1	48	+48	open	—	01-11 15:43
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-16 09:39
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	06-05 19:15
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	01-11 15:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-03 10:13
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	03-15 15:30
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	05-17 10:16
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	23	+23	open	—	01-11 15:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	02-15 10:45
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	06-05 19:15
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 5 10	1	$1	11	+11	open	—	04-18 12:06
will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	13	+13	open	—	02-15 10:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	1	$1	7	+7	open	—	04-03 10:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-03 12:53
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	05-16 09:40
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	14	+14	open	—	02-15 10:40
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	7	+7	open	—	02-15 10:44
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	03-01 09:36
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	01-11 15:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$1	9	+9	open	—	03-09 23:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	01-11 15:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 19:15:10	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcefc86…
06-05 19:15:03	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xaea20d…
06-05 19:14:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8d6ec0…
06-05 19:14:28	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xba27c9…
06-05 19:10:45	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x30318a…
06-05 19:10:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x38d0f4…
05-17 10:16:53	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcf6082…
05-16 09:40:14	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2fc80b…
05-16 09:39:39	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0a2c70…
05-16 09:39:15	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf9a7e2…
05-16 09:38:27	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1e5bf7…
05-16 09:38:08	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xad2d24…
05-02 13:31:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x416bc8…
04-28 20:36:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa60be0…
04-18 12:06:42	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by 5 10	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7e55f3…
04-18 12:03:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5825da…
04-10 21:58:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa881a4…
04-10 21:57:35	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xda2010…
04-10 21:56:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xddcaf6…
04-03 10:13:05	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3e7a57…
04-03 10:12:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x59e6f8…
04-03 10:12:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd43548…
03-22 15:19:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xebf113…
03-22 15:14:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x08e4a6…
03-22 15:13:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x85e9b1…
03-15 15:30:59	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf2e050…
03-15 15:30:37	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xec91a2…
03-15 15:29:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xff0a80…
03-15 15:28:33	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc33765…
03-09 23:25:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9c940e…
03-09 23:25:11	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xeb091a…
03-03 12:53:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9f52e1…
03-01 16:03:43	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe4c4da…
03-01 16:02:47	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x31eed3…
03-01 09:44:03	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x528cba…
03-01 09:42:39	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfe9f93…
03-01 09:41:27	Will the US strike Cuba next?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xa4f7a9…
03-01 09:40:01	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9c0824…
03-01 09:38:37	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcfa906…
03-01 09:36:27	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfbf3e5…
02-15 10:52:09	will f1 win best visual effects at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x84c198…
02-15 10:51:13	will one battle after another win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x55acc5…
02-15 10:49:13	will ryan coogler win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x7523b1…
02-15 10:47:37	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa2f8a3…
02-15 10:45:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x56079e…
02-15 10:44:45	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x16f916…
02-15 10:44:19	spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb9cd82…
02-15 10:43:01	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1fce3b…
02-15 10:41:29	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x880f2a…
02-15 10:40:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc4a6ba…
02-15 10:39:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x803e6d…
01-11 15:45:26	will 2025 be the hottest year on record	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf25c43…
01-11 15:44:40	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe82529…
01-11 15:43:06	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x123f1f…
01-11 15:42:02	another us strike on venezuela by january 17	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbf849a…
01-11 15:41:48	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x977c25…
01-11 15:39:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcddf62…
01-11 15:39:34	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x43a580…
01-11 15:39:18	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x9f2154…
01-11 15:39:06	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x70f581…
01-11 15:38:54	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x22216b…
01-11 15:38:48	us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd05f29…
01-11 15:38:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa45c15…