Stale-Subsidy 0xb046d2…77d3d1
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$69
Hit rate
41.7%
Resolved
16
Trades
440
lifetime
Volume
$4.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$470
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 03:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
58% — —
Other
27% 0% $-0
Sports
13% 40% $-5
Politics
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +276 $216 86¢ $237 +$21 07-20 03:02
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +132 $65 69¢ $91 +$26 07-20 03:01
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -60 $-40 70¢ $-42 $-2 06-25 13:10
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +154 $12 25¢ $39 +$26 07-15 01:09
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -36 $-31 88¢ $-31 $-1 06-25 13:10
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +20 $10 52¢ $11 +$1 06-06 12:25
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 +$0 07-04 02:50
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -17 $-2 26¢ $-4 $-2 07-02 12:35
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-2 34¢ $-2 +$0 07-02 12:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 12:36
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +20 $1 4¢ $1 $-0 06-14 11:40
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +10 $1 5¢ $0 $-1 06-14 11:40