Fond-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$408

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-11 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 35% $-42

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$20

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$20	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	4	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$12	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 16:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$10	47	0	+47	open	—	04-22 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$10	118	18	+100	Up	+$4	05-09 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$8	32	4	+29	open	—	04-30 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	5	$8	9	7	+2	Up	$-0	05-08 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$7	23	0	+23	Down	$-7	05-08 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	11	$6	56	4	+52	open	—	04-30 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$6	10	3	+7	open	—	04-30 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$6	5	4	+1	open	—	05-01 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$5	104	4	+100	Up	$-1	05-08 15:49
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$5	25	0	+25	Sean Strickland	+$20	05-09 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	$-5	05-10 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-10 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	04-30 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 18:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa6c9bd…
05-11 18:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d4552…
05-11 18:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x39036d…
05-11 18:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x058520…
05-11 17:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1be579…
05-11 17:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe7b932…
05-11 17:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x696e6a…
05-11 17:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x88b611…
05-11 17:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x83d8c2…
05-11 17:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0b8344…
05-11 17:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xd85f98…
05-11 17:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x41b704…
05-11 17:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4b3083…
05-11 17:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5b734a…
05-11 17:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc4c298…
05-11 17:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9a8bf…
05-10 22:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7e845c…
05-10 22:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb17458…
05-10 22:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x620d36…
05-10 21:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31ccce…
05-10 21:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0xe38205…
05-10 21:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc01cdb…
05-10 17:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa08f1d…
05-10 17:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe87a01…
05-10 17:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0be077…
05-10 17:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x5244c9…
05-10 17:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc3036c…
05-10 16:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7aca65…
05-10 16:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xfb1391…
05-10 16:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xebaae2…
05-10 16:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcdce08…
05-10 15:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x22280e…
05-10 15:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x093e77…
05-10 15:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6a117f…
05-10 15:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7602dc…
05-10 15:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1ccd02…
05-10 15:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x805119…
05-10 15:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x6dc103…
05-10 15:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x66e3b8…
05-10 15:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3a7085…
05-10 15:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd06efc…
05-09 22:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xdcadae…
05-09 22:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x263eaa…
05-09 22:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x337c7c…
05-09 22:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdf8bce…
05-09 22:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x799690…
05-09 22:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x47e2ed…
05-09 22:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb72d80…
05-09 22:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xfc4ae1…
05-09 22:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1d4fd2…
05-09 22:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xdcaca4…
05-09 22:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0bc4cd…
05-09 22:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd58f37…
05-09 22:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x86aee8…
05-09 22:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd28faa…
05-09 22:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8eddd9…
05-09 22:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaecea9…
05-09 20:22:10	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xaf65cc…
05-09 19:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xd6f831…
05-09 19:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfa5767…
05-09 19:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xe21e92…
05-09 19:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x944c86…
05-09 19:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa220b5…
05-09 19:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x92448e…
05-09 19:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x68096f…
05-09 19:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb5055f…
05-09 19:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x2d38e5…
05-09 19:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa9162a…
05-09 19:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd4c7f9…
05-09 19:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0342ed…
05-09 19:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8cd598…
05-09 19:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7c3fb4…
05-09 18:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x15f605…
05-09 17:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1dfbc2…
05-09 17:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd8965b…
05-09 17:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x17c99e…
05-09 09:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2cbc8d…
05-09 09:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7e688…
05-09 09:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7ae39a…
05-09 09:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdcc4cf…
05-09 09:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc4239a…
05-09 09:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x93852c…
05-09 08:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x128c1f…
05-09 08:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x536553…
05-08 21:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9e97fc…
05-08 21:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc29830…
05-08 18:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1cfefa…
05-08 18:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x20630f…
05-08 18:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x3e9ead…
05-08 18:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe63c0b…
05-08 18:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4ff856…
05-08 17:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa16a78…
05-08 17:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xa1a229…
05-08 17:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcdc69c…
05-08 16:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xf39cfe…
05-08 16:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0xcf5287…
05-08 16:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x4231f0…
05-08 16:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x9d44a4…
05-08 16:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x758eb9…
05-08 16:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb56802…