Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

Trades

678

lifetime

Volume

$497

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$50

8 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 10-29 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

56% 38% -$22

Other

39% 26% -$22

Tech

4% 0% -$1

Sports

2% 75% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	+71	$15	38¢	$27	+$12	10-23 12:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+11	$9	86¢	$9	+$0	08-26 08:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+6	$5	80¢	$5	$0	10-27 14:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+5	$4	94¢	$5	+$0	10-29 17:31
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+11	$2	14¢	$2	$0	08-26 10:35
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	07-01 14:03
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+2	$1	68¢	$1	+$0	10-27 14:50
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	$0	10-29 17:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	96	$71	46	40	+6	open	—	10-27 14:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	65	$62	35	30	+5	open	—	10-29 17:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	56	$49	45	23	+22	No	-$1	09-16 17:58
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	100	$28	22	22	+0	open	—	10-27 02:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	50	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	10-28 11:51
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	12	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-14 21:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	15	$15	71	0	+71	open	—	10-23 12:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	17	$13	104	104	+0	No	-$1	09-01 09:46
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	12	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	08-05 11:21
cs2 furia fut 2026 08 22	26	$9	10	8	+2	FUT Esports	-$1	08-22 14:22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	9	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	08-26 08:56
Iran leadership change by December 31?	11	$8	15	4	+11	open	—	08-26 10:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	10	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	10-29 21:32
Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31?	12	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	09-24 11:43
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs	8	$8	8	8	+0	Team Spirit	$0	08-23 12:27
Fed rate hike in 2026?	5	$7	4	3	+1	Yes	+$0	09-16 14:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	7	$7	142	0	+142	Yes	-$7	09-18 22:22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	10	$6	4	2	+2	No	$0	09-16 14:35
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	09-21 08:32
Will Ryan Robertson win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	6	$6	1,431	0	+1,431	No	-$6	08-29 05:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	10	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	10-27 13:04
Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	6	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	08-29 16:00
dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	4	$5	7	4	+3	Team Liquid	-$1	08-21 09:12
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	5	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-09 08:23
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-29 12:36
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	9	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	08-03 08:00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-24 01:32
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-27 21:51
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	8	$4	9	9	+0	open	—	10-02 18:48
Iran leadership change by November 30?	8	$3	18	18	+0	open	—	10-22 01:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:32:19	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x387ed4…
10-29 17:43:47	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe38d05…
10-29 17:31:17	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3937ea…
10-29 17:31:14	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x03c645…
10-29 14:22:40	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xb3a644…
10-29 12:36:40	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9c9953…
10-29 09:37:07	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2e09c0…
10-29 00:57:13	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8cddfc…
10-29 00:41:11	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x36ab2b…
10-28 11:51:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x3ea6be…
10-28 11:43:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x89eeca…
10-28 08:53:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x56e156…
10-27 21:51:21	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe6eb75…
10-27 21:49:42	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x70b529…
10-27 20:57:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf0309c…
10-27 14:50:05	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1efdef…
10-27 14:46:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x8c874e…
10-27 14:46:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x7e83b8…
10-27 14:23:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9a8f12…
10-27 14:12:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x02e997…
10-27 13:15:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xcd7595…
10-27 13:07:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa13df4…
10-27 13:04:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2a591e…
10-27 12:44:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x88379a…
10-27 12:28:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x223bc9…
10-27 12:22:20	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5f25b6…
10-27 12:21:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xb4b97c…
10-27 12:19:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8770f4…
10-27 12:17:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xdd7c27…
10-27 11:58:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0x690ee6…
10-27 11:46:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc1022d…
10-27 11:34:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x5042a5…
10-27 11:34:11	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x4f00df…
10-27 11:33:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xe137f3…
10-27 10:47:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7f9687…
10-27 10:46:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0x165163…
10-27 10:46:24	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x099c27…
10-27 10:41:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x9c9149…
10-27 10:41:00	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3d17f0…
10-27 10:40:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xf5bbde…
10-27 10:40:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x70010c…
10-27 10:40:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x6c3efd…
10-27 10:40:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x16c094…
10-27 10:40:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x7badf5…
10-27 09:59:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x83b248…
10-27 08:44:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xcdeec6…
10-27 08:15:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc6140e…
10-27 02:21:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0xff2bc7…
10-27 02:20:18	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x2af45b…
10-26 20:35:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x5ae983…
10-26 20:23:27	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x84e0b6…
10-26 20:23:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x24c19d…
10-26 20:23:11	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x285291…
10-26 20:22:47	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x096629…
10-26 18:17:29	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x948419…
10-26 17:50:00	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x011350…
10-26 16:57:47	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xef2964…
10-26 16:57:47	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x39e419…
10-26 16:41:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xeef94b…
10-26 15:38:45	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x879dce…
10-26 14:43:35	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xa045b3…
10-26 14:42:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x6f8a61…
10-26 14:26:48	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x5bfa39…
10-26 13:51:15	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x8be8c4…
10-26 12:22:50	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xa1c0f1…
10-26 11:43:39	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x5d772c…
10-26 11:43:36	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xcf707d…
10-26 11:43:36	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x64f51a…
10-26 09:49:51	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x5e3183…
10-26 06:51:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x794b7d…
10-26 04:21:15	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xae32ba…
10-25 21:19:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xe77742…
10-25 19:57:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3028b2…
10-25 19:56:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb4a12e…
10-25 18:02:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x2070c0…
10-25 14:14:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x6f365c…
10-25 12:27:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xfb8fcf…
10-25 12:26:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x42bba9…
10-25 12:19:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	71¢	$0	0x560eea…
10-25 10:29:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x8c96a5…
10-25 07:33:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x81272c…
10-25 07:32:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xa98d87…
10-25 07:09:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x63e4da…
10-25 07:06:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x273fba…
10-25 07:05:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x5e6c49…
10-25 06:41:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x596fea…
10-25 06:39:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xecf741…
10-25 06:39:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x9ac777…
10-25 06:38:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x2294ac…
10-25 06:35:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x865e20…
10-25 06:27:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xac3c8f…
10-24 17:08:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xfea6c7…
10-24 16:44:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xf4e706…
10-24 16:44:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x7c9553…
10-24 16:33:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x8554ca…
10-24 16:33:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xf499e4…
10-24 16:33:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xb1e7f7…
10-24 16:29:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x5fa503…
10-24 16:11:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x0135f4…
10-24 15:43:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0c9baf…