Tasty-Dial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.46K

Unrealized P&L

-$590

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

134

Trades

1,092

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$463

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 09-25 03:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

64% 22% -$1,285

Sports

14% 100% +$128

Tech

11% 33% +$234

Politics

10% 8% -$513

Crypto

2% 10% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	+3,363	$451	8¢	$286	-$165	08-01 03:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+5,801	$482	2¢	$119	-$363	08-28 02:05
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+1,400	$93	4¢	$50	-$43	09-06 08:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+2,297	$27	0¢	$8	-$19	09-25 03:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	120	$4.1K	37,585	35,824	+1,762	No	-$14	08-01 11:52
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	4	$3.1K	1,956	1,956	+0	Argentina	+$117	07-12 01:11
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	74	$3.0K	1,958	1,958	+0	Yes	+$38	07-12 01:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	28	$1.9K	4,845	4,845	+0	open	—	07-14 19:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	32	$1.4K	16,624	10,824	+5,801	open	—	08-28 02:05
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	5	$1.1K	829	829	+0	No	+$332	06-23 23:26
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	13	$917	1,350	574	+775	Yes	-$92	07-01 14:42
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	5	$824	500	500	+0	France	+$44	07-09 20:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	6	$753	1,670	1,670	+0	No	+$14	07-20 12:03
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17 371 741 936	17	$626	1,632	1,632	+0	Yes	+$78	06-30 22:57
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?	80	$595	655	655	+0	Yes	-$71	07-02 22:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$591	2,222	2,222	+0	No	+$471	06-20 13:29
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	11	$584	1,350	0	+1,350	Spain	-$584	07-14 19:41
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	6	$555	954	953	+1	No	+$207	06-27 19:38
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	1	$510	600	0	+600	Yes	+$90	07-05 23:33
kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	5	$451	3,363	0	+3,363	open	—	08-01 03:04
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	7	$438	400	400	+0	No	+$14	07-04 10:45
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?	140	$422	19,953	4,542	+15,411	No	-$265	07-24 10:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$297	726	726	+0	No	+$21	06-17 18:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	9	$271	758	758	+0	No	+$237	09-21 15:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	5	$270	4,030	0	+4,030	No	-$270	07-31 21:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	52	$244	35,770	0	+35,770	No	-$244	07-10 21:51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$201	28,743	28,743	+0	Yes	-$86	06-17 11:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$190	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-26 22:27
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?	13	$131	369	369	+0	No	+$90	07-23 14:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$100	06-13 18:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$100	33,333	0	+33,333	No	-$100	06-13 18:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$100	33,333	0	+33,333	No	-$100	06-13 18:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	15	$94	2,565	2,365	+200	No	-$9	07-26 23:23
New pandemic in 2026?	8	$93	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	09-06 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 03:53:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,297	1¢	$30	0xa91932…
09-24 14:25:33	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0xe4ce40…
09-24 14:25:14	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5740b3…
09-24 14:22:55	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xd8d8b7…
09-24 14:22:53	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	191	0¢	$0	0x700143…
09-24 14:04:04	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfe0ef5…
09-24 13:59:07	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1a7ca6…
09-24 13:12:51	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x7dbc31…
09-24 13:10:30	will trump say oil during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	188	14¢	$26	0xdafc6e…
09-24 13:04:05	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xf25a34…
09-24 13:01:36	Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xdc3f79…
09-24 12:55:20	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x47d042…
09-24 12:55:17	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	112	6¢	$7	0x073712…
09-24 12:50:54	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa69dd8…
09-24 12:46:35	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	SELL	89	5¢	$4	0xdb2297…
09-24 12:40:35	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x777c78…
09-24 12:36:46	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	142	10¢	$14	0xb21703…
09-24 12:25:00	Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0x4bf827…
09-24 12:21:10	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	185	4¢	$8	0xd27fce…
09-24 12:20:52	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	258	10¢	$26	0xddadf1…
09-24 02:05:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc603cb…
09-23 22:15:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$2	0xcfbc9a…
09-23 22:09:50	Will Trump say "Boeing" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xc2482b…
09-23 22:09:11	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	183	3¢	$5	0x8c8bb3…
09-23 21:25:07	Will Trump say "Boeing" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	193	5¢	$10	0x5e04d4…
09-23 19:43:28	Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x8eb7b3…
09-23 19:24:32	will trumps remarks not air xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0xbf2424…
09-23 18:39:07	will trump say oil during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x4e9a5a…
09-23 18:39:05	will trump say oil during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x7f5664…
09-23 18:39:05	will trump say oil during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	51	17¢	$9	0x3b9473…
09-23 18:39:05	will trump say oil during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x067dd8…
09-23 18:39:01	will trump say oil during xi jinpings state arrival	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x08634f…
09-23 15:40:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xf24da8…
09-23 12:09:56	bitcoin above 94k on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0xdc774e…
09-23 10:20:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	79	5¢	$4	0x7ded3b…
09-23 10:18:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x604b6a…
09-23 10:11:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa21df7…
09-23 10:10:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x427ab5…
09-23 10:08:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3d3f71…
09-23 10:07:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa41672…
09-23 08:58:01	bitcoin above 94k on september 29 2026	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x7cee13…
09-23 08:53:56	bitcoin above 94k on september 29 2026	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x0682da…
09-22 14:35:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	499	7¢	$35	0x72b0a0…
09-22 14:30:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	300	8¢	$24	0x92e293…
09-21 15:39:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x714773…
09-21 15:36:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	370	37¢	$137	0xb65cdf…
09-21 15:36:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x4fb763…
09-21 15:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x88e789…
09-21 15:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	Yes	SELL	370	30¢	$111	0x7cb3fc…
09-19 21:31:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x059f62…
09-15 14:46:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xdc5bb1…
09-15 14:44:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x188e65…
09-15 14:42:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xfa8f7c…
09-15 14:37:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xd592a7…
09-15 10:49:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x007dce…
09-15 08:52:01	bitcoin above 86k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x32d3f9…
09-15 08:46:13	bitcoin above 86k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9779ff…
09-15 08:03:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x8f76ab…
09-15 07:35:06	bitcoin above 86k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x703340…
09-15 07:35:03	bitcoin above 86k on september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	750	2¢	$16	0xf23eba…
09-14 14:50:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0x529c6d…
09-14 12:59:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xc8f846…
09-14 09:35:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	259	1¢	$2	0xce0800…
09-13 04:20:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3a4c16…
09-12 13:00:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0xd0e7a3…
09-12 09:49:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0xe8d1d5…
09-12 03:30:46	bitcoin above 68k on september 17 2026	No	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x90907f…
09-12 03:30:24	bitcoin above 68k on september 17 2026	No	BUY	897	1¢	$10	0x0d4d25…
09-12 02:27:36	bitcoin above 68k on september 17 2026	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf1afa9…
09-11 20:24:27	bitcoin above 68k on september 17 2026	No	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x68cf14…
09-06 08:02:39	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x62833f…
09-06 08:01:57	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	536	6¢	$32	0x7fcf4c…
08-28 02:05:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,934	4¢	$72	0xa23d06…
08-25 17:06:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	760	2¢	$17	0xe49bf1…
08-25 17:04:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	4¢	$18	0xafe357…
08-18 12:05:40	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	310	3¢	$11	0x5326f0…
08-11 14:22:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	450	2¢	$9	0xee943d…
08-11 12:15:06	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x0fa53e…
08-10 16:30:06	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xd07529…
08-10 15:11:06	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x809136…
08-08 10:08:07	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	109	0¢	$0	0xecca63…
08-08 10:08:03	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	111	0¢	$0	0x4b5dce…
08-08 09:26:27	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	587	0¢	$1	0x8ffb86…
08-08 09:25:55	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	281	0¢	$0	0xba9773…
08-01 11:52:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xa6610a…
08-01 08:50:23	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	527	7¢	$37	0xf31ba8…
08-01 07:37:53	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	7¢	$19	0x2c0158…
08-01 03:04:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	BUY	581	15¢	$87	0x5cb81c…
07-31 21:47:50	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	BUY	205	14¢	$29	0xbdb106…
07-31 21:22:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by december 31 20260730004337418	Yes	BUY	2,574	13¢	$335	0xc56c5a…
07-31 21:21:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	Yes	BUY	3,349	7¢	$234	0x71edf3…
07-31 20:21:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	3,399	5¢	$163	0x6f3577…
07-31 20:08:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	34	5¢	$2	0x012844…
07-31 19:36:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	505	5¢	$24	0x25ea8f…
07-31 19:00:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	262	5¢	$13	0x950554…
07-31 18:45:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xf5e04a…
07-31 18:45:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x106f60…
07-31 18:45:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x03f84a…
07-31 18:45:14	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xc2cfa6…
07-31 18:45:14	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x2de399…