Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$190

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved (90d)

147

Trades (90d)

226

1,463 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.81K

$13.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-22

last 09-02 05:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

69% 45% -$153

Politics

18% 29% -$31

Tech

7% 44% -$2

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 86% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes		+0	-$2	44¢	$0	+$2	07-31 16:35
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes		+0	-$1	16¢	$0	+$1	07-24 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	23	$1.1K	850	850	+0	open	—	08-16 22:38
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	32	$717	608	608	+0	open	—	08-16 21:19
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	17	$404	437	437	+0	open	—	08-07 06:47
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260715004553749	3	$341	200	200	+0	Yes	+$3	07-27 04:29
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	12	$296	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	07-22 20:27
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	12	$270	200	200	+0	open	—	08-04 05:25
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	6	$266	155	155	+0	open	—	08-03 15:32
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	6	$262	150	150	+0	open	—	08-05 13:01
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	3	$244	150	150	+0	open	—	08-05 14:31
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$236	240	240	+0	No	-$15	08-10 09:06
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	5	$229	150	150	+0	No	+$2	08-01 03:15
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?	6	$224	150	150	+0	No	+$3	07-30 22:42
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	12	$215	233	233	+0	open	—	08-03 21:05
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$208	150	150	+0	open	—	08-03 03:12
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	4	$202	120	120	+0	open	—	08-08 15:20
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$200	120	120	+0	open	—	07-29 11:22
will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	11	$196	160	160	+0	open	—	08-03 11:29
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	10	$192	140	140	+0	No	+$2	07-30 05:25
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	3	$190	120	120	+0	No	+$2	08-03 03:30
will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	5	$190	120	120	+0	open	—	08-08 15:56
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$180	120	120	+0	No	+$2	07-30 16:48
us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	7	$179	140	140	+0	Yes	-$35	08-21 07:37
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	4	$178	120	120	+0	open	—	08-04 11:31
will josh hawley vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926667	5	$177	109	109	+0	open	—	08-05 02:55
will keith kellogg visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126053	8	$176	120	120	+0	Yes	-$10	08-10 14:49
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	5	$174	160	160	+0	open	—	08-16 20:54
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	3	$173	120	120	+0	No	+$2	08-01 19:12
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	8	$172	125	125	+0	Yes	+$2	08-01 03:15
Will Joe Burrow finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing touchdowns?	4	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	07-22 09:25
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	6	$166	120	120	+0	No	-$8	08-03 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 05:07:51	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	No	SELL	155	2¢	$3	0x9bf043…
09-02 05:02:22	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	No	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x817be4…
09-01 03:47:46	Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x52785a…
09-01 03:47:27	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x8c58d9…
09-01 03:47:07	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xe19853…
09-01 03:07:09	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	No	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0xf1d149…
09-01 03:06:58	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x887612…
09-01 03:06:57	Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x37773c…
09-01 03:06:55	Will Israel recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc7f9d3…
09-01 03:06:54	Will Sudan make Eric Adams a citizen?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xf62556…
09-01 03:06:52	Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be at least 5m square kilometers?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7b9ecc…
09-01 03:06:51	Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x41ddde…
09-01 03:06:48	Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe7f024…
09-01 03:06:46	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xd89e11…
09-01 03:06:45	Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x8181bd…
08-26 18:21:27	Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?	Yes	SELL	37	22¢	$8	0x876d00…
08-26 02:33:48	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x0afcba…
08-26 02:33:48	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x043603…
08-26 02:06:37	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xdf3bc5…
08-26 01:53:21	Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x638fbe…
08-25 05:57:19	Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x9b4ed5…
08-25 05:57:15	Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xa5e2cb…
08-25 05:57:12	Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xb8c745…
08-25 05:57:07	Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x33af47…
08-22 16:53:30	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0xd57a95…
08-22 14:16:00	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x380ed7…
08-22 01:13:54	Will Brian Shortsleeve win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xd0430b…
08-21 07:37:34	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	SELL	46	44¢	$20	0x0053d3…
08-20 20:59:40	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	SELL	77	52¢	$40	0x94e00b…
08-20 16:37:03	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0xb5f72e…
08-20 08:55:06	Will Kelly Ayotte win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xdcd2b2…
08-19 15:02:22	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0xad5c55…
08-18 10:02:15	Will Michael Minogue win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x1cdb7b…
08-18 07:32:54	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x0e99ef…
08-18 01:41:00	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	85	40¢	$34	0xe89807…
08-17 23:31:49	will the florida special 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827333	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x8d42bd…
08-17 23:17:24	will the nebraska 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827329	No	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0xb56ae8…
08-17 10:33:40	Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?	No	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x44b113…
08-17 06:31:16	No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0x85f4a2…
08-16 22:38:21	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	No	SELL	118	76¢	$90	0x9121be…
08-16 21:19:33	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x76375a…
08-16 21:15:25	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	55¢	$40	0x7851cd…
08-16 20:54:57	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	120	46¢	$55	0xb9d8dc…
08-16 18:22:48	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$11	0x3d659b…
08-16 18:22:40	Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$11	0xede9ed…
08-15 20:58:16	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	SELL	49	45¢	$22	0xad92e1…
08-15 03:21:18	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xc3d8e5…
08-13 11:38:10	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x9b1afd…
08-13 04:00:46	will the north carolina 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827334	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x7cccb3…
08-12 23:36:43	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x634fa6…
08-12 23:33:33	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xab659f…
08-12 20:43:49	MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xf9f27c…
08-12 20:34:15	untitled market 1 20260626201135715	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x299365…
08-12 12:23:00	will the nebraska 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827329	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xde4992…
08-12 12:22:31	will the new hampshire 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827328	No	SELL	120	46¢	$55	0x9e8aa2…
08-12 02:23:31	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x706126…
08-11 22:11:46	Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xae76e3…
08-11 00:00:39	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0x48df43…
08-10 14:49:13	will keith kellogg visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126053	Yes	SELL	99	68¢	$68	0x2ec27a…
08-10 12:37:16	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xecddfd…
08-10 12:31:42	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x4b883e…
08-10 12:30:36	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	58¢	$10	0xfb4477…
08-10 12:27:12	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xf18f70…
08-10 12:27:06	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xe1d6a0…
08-10 12:27:06	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x8312d8…
08-10 11:19:10	Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?	No	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0xcff838…
08-10 09:06:28	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	45¢	$54	0x1909d5…
08-10 08:23:36	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	No	SELL	17	79¢	$13	0x1374b5…
08-09 12:38:00	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	31	79¢	$24	0xb5457e…
08-09 08:41:42	Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x7c9217…
08-08 21:35:54	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	72¢	$41	0x8c713a…
08-08 18:23:51	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$7	0x15fa15…
08-08 17:03:06	will databricks valuation hit high 190b by december 31	Yes	SELL	38	78¢	$29	0xd5bd45…
08-08 15:56:30	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x7ebbd3…
08-08 15:20:28	Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	116	85¢	$98	0xf11de3…
08-08 12:08:43	will maia sandu visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126050	No	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0x91077d…
08-08 12:07:46	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0xfa7611…
08-08 06:59:03	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x503da6…
08-08 06:58:54	us bank failure by december 31 2026 20260720194747677	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x6a26af…
08-08 05:56:43	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0xce27ae…
08-08 03:06:10	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0xe38c02…
08-07 15:06:34	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	35	66¢	$23	0xab0977…
08-07 14:47:13	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x0473c3…
08-07 11:49:03	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x67bb3d…
08-07 11:46:58	Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0xaf283c…
08-07 09:52:45	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	No	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0xf51145…
08-07 06:47:30	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x4a37b8…
08-07 06:47:28	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	46	60¢	$28	0x0b16c7…
08-07 06:42:15	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x212454…
08-07 04:00:28	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x6d8d9b…
08-07 03:54:46	Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x886071…
08-07 03:38:00	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xdc9712…
08-06 22:01:12	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	67¢	$22	0x2c2794…
08-06 20:42:33	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	SELL	22	73¢	$16	0xdbc96f…
08-06 20:42:21	will thom tillis vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926671	Yes	SELL	92	73¢	$67	0xd77ae8…
08-06 20:31:29	anthony fauci charged by december 31 20260729165802089	No	SELL	95	67¢	$64	0xf52e99…
08-06 19:57:35	Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x027dc4…
08-06 19:45:47	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	No	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0xb1c2c3…
08-06 18:46:26	Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x222448…
08-06 17:53:36	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0xf3dfba…