Spiteful-Mare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

4.3%

Resolved

Trades

926

lifetime

Volume

$5.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 07-01 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

61% 25% $-58

Crypto

31% — —

Other

8% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		-34	$-4	12¢	$-4	+$0	06-22 00:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	6	$540	161	705	-544	open	—	06-19 08:52
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	6	$532	180	712	-532	open	—	06-19 08:52
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	6	$474	152	542	-389	open	—	06-19 08:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	11	$133	216	106	+110	open	—	04-25 16:10
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	3	$123	112	112	+0	open	—	04-29 05:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	8	$119	171	81	+90	No	$-70	04-25 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$113	109	95	+14	open	—	04-28 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$112	86	71	+15	open	—	04-28 16:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	7	$101	69	69	+0	open	—	04-26 08:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	7	$99	64	64	+0	open	—	04-26 15:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	7	$90	54	54	+0	open	—	04-26 11:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	6	$77	51	51	+0	open	—	04-28 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$76	215	0	+215	open	—	04-28 16:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	6	$75	46	46	+0	open	—	04-24 12:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	6	$71	42	42	+0	open	—	04-25 01:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	7	$70	90	82	+8	open	—	04-25 02:05
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$60	0	581	-581	open	—	06-16 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	9	$57	112	0	+112	open	—	04-28 16:04
btc updown 5m 1772692500	10	$51	68	0	+68	open	—	03-05 06:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$50	188	188	+0	open	—	05-21 04:37
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	6	$42	71	25	+45	open	—	04-30 03:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	4	$42	64	31	+32	open	—	04-29 06:28
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	6	$41	64	25	+38	open	—	04-28 08:13
btc updown 5m 1772691000	14	$40	67	0	+67	open	—	03-05 06:14
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	6	$37	403	0	+403	open	—	04-23 02:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$36	60	8	+52	open	—	04-27 03:25
btc updown 5m 1772690400	14	$36	160	0	+160	open	—	03-05 06:05
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$35	140	0	+140	open	—	06-23 15:42
btc updown 15m 1771662600	19	$35	71	0	+71	open	—	02-21 08:42
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	6	$34	231	0	+231	open	—	04-23 02:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:40:40	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	487	3¢	$14	0xcfbf29…
07-01 12:39:58	will marco rubio attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204731	Yes	BUY	282	1¢	$2	0x12670f…
07-01 12:39:22	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0xfc5769…
07-01 12:38:53	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	225	3¢	$6	0x5bbb38…
07-01 12:34:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb0f0f8…
06-28 05:03:17	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	1¢	$2	0x0297f0…
06-23 15:46:38	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x503a02…
06-23 15:46:26	will jared kushner attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204741	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x582b03…
06-23 15:46:17	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa1dc24…
06-23 15:46:10	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xc0a439…
06-23 15:45:53	will marco rubio attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204731	Yes	BUY	218	2¢	$5	0xe70888…
06-23 15:43:05	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x03c032…
06-23 15:42:32	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4df985…
06-22 00:40:56	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	326	3¢	$10	0xa57330…
06-22 00:40:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	3¢	$9	0x3ced4b…
06-22 00:39:49	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x31caff…
06-22 00:38:37	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0xf71855…
06-22 00:29:17	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0xf5e2eb…
06-22 00:29:05	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	34	13¢	$4	0x6c59b5…
06-22 00:28:53	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0xbb0654…
06-19 08:52:29	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	82	61¢	$50	0xfe1349…
06-19 08:52:19	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	92	67¢	$62	0xb49c84…
06-19 08:52:11	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	152	61¢	$93	0x7ad6d8…
06-19 08:44:20	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	88	67¢	$59	0xf18ea6…
06-19 08:43:40	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	79	60¢	$47	0xa8a205…
06-16 04:49:19	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x5fcab6…
06-16 04:49:15	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x50e6f4…
06-16 04:49:10	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xc2630d…
06-16 04:48:13	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2acc9e…
06-16 04:42:48	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	581	10¢	$60	0xd0f650…
06-16 04:26:13	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x8831c4…
06-16 04:26:06	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x37e2de…
06-16 04:26:00	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x5876f5…
06-15 15:28:19	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x3574f0…
06-15 15:27:52	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1b2408…
06-15 15:27:37	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa16eb7…
06-15 15:27:25	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb38bf9…
06-09 01:12:07	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	389	88¢	$341	0x0c73b4…
06-09 01:12:00	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	532	70¢	$371	0xd9d14b…
06-09 01:11:49	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	544	74¢	$403	0x5e49cf…
05-26 09:05:29	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x690e87…
05-25 03:00:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xf3b87e…
05-25 02:59:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0xc82cf8…
05-21 04:37:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	188	11¢	$20	0x63d676…
05-14 02:26:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x0836ba…
05-14 02:22:19	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa0e319…
05-14 02:21:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc87f2b…
05-14 02:20:29	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0b5e32…
05-14 02:20:19	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf8bf38…
05-14 02:19:59	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x5b9704…
05-14 02:19:47	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x20848c…
05-11 01:59:49	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x118a33…
05-11 01:59:33	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef9640…
05-11 01:59:26	Will Trump say "Blackwell" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x504eb1…
05-06 13:38:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x9075af…
05-01 13:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x2c4c83…
05-01 13:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x378505…
05-01 13:29:26	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xf8df06…
05-01 13:28:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xe3a8e9…
05-01 13:28:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xe56dab…
05-01 13:28:04	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1e6ba1…
05-01 13:27:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6ba471…
05-01 13:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x28a82c…
05-01 13:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x18d5f7…
05-01 08:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x2fcdcd…
05-01 00:45:40	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe10981…
04-30 12:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x92fcfa…
04-30 06:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd12e34…
04-30 06:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x35539b…
04-30 06:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x394294…
04-30 04:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9db941…
04-30 04:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb3e0c7…
04-30 04:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x69037e…
04-30 04:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x8d0efe…
04-30 04:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2153c8…
04-30 04:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x34fbb8…
04-30 04:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf4576c…
04-30 04:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcb9dc5…
04-30 04:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4d94d8…
04-30 04:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1d4192…
04-30 03:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9beb0b…
04-30 03:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5b31f8…
04-30 03:55:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x565511…
04-30 03:52:26	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xf56b39…
04-29 06:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xfee13b…
04-29 06:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x18a6f9…
04-29 06:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1162b6…
04-29 06:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xeee3d4…
04-29 06:34:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6222dc…
04-29 06:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x391b71…
04-29 06:28:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	31	97¢	$31	0xa9ce24…
04-29 05:16:38	Saint-Malo: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Nguyen Tan	Lucie Nguyen Tan	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x54ce63…
04-29 05:07:28	Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Reign Above	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xdb3b06…
04-29 03:57:08	Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x834081…
04-29 02:28:36	Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Wanted Goons	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x49f5e3…
04-29 02:28:16	Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Reign Above	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x871079…
04-29 02:28:04	Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Wanted Goons	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xa56e95…
04-29 02:27:48	Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Reign Above	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd3c8a2…
04-29 02:27:08	Counter-Strike: regain vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	Wanted Goons	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xecdf76…
04-29 02:25:50	Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs	LPH Gaming	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0b3e5f…