Expensive-Carry — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,070 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$64.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-21 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

100% 90% -$134

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?	7	$754	379	379	+0	Yes	+$4	05-09 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 10?	4	$531	268	268	-0	No	+$4	05-10 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?	7	$501	251	251	+0	No	+$1	05-09 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 6?	7	$497	250	250	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 4?	5	$489	246	246	+0	Yes	+$3	05-04 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?	3	$433	220	220	+0	No	+$7	05-07 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 9?	17	$426	215	215	+0	Yes	+$3	05-09 15:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	12	$401	211	211	+0	Yes	-$9	05-04 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?	2	$398	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 6?	13	$387	198	198	+0	Yes	+$7	05-06 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on May 7?	9	$376	195	195	+0	Yes	-$5	05-07 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 5?	10	$365	189	189	+0	Yes	+$10	05-05 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 7?	7	$359	183	183	+0	Yes	+$6	05-07 08:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	6	$358	181	181	+0	No	+$4	05-11 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 10?	4	$334	169	167	+1	No	+$2	05-10 05:00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	6	$333	168	168	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 17:46
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on May 7?	11	$331	172	172	+0	No	-$2	05-07 11:49
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 10?	3	$330	166	166	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	14	$330	168	168	+0	No	+$3	05-11 07:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 4?	9	$318	168	168	+0	No	-$10	05-04 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?	7	$317	160	160	-0	No	+$1	05-09 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?	7	$311	158	158	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 7?	3	$310	156	156	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?	23	$310	156	156	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on May 7?	4	$309	155	155	+0	No	+$2	05-07 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 7?	23	$305	155	155	+0	No	+$2	05-07 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?	9	$303	155	155	+0	Yes	+$4	05-04 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	8	$299	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 10?	2	$299	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	05-10 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?	2	$298	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 15:37:41	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xd2ed01…
06-15 17:55:52	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	189	0¢	$1	0xf82de3…
06-15 17:53:13	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	189	3¢	$5	0x67a1b9…
06-15 17:52:48	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	142	79¢	$112	0x825020…
06-15 17:50:43	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x89b29f…
05-20 02:37:00	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$16	0x43a40c…
05-12 07:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 12?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x243c62…
05-12 07:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 12?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xe60ba9…
05-12 07:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd200fe…
05-12 07:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xedeb3d…
05-12 06:35:29	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	144	6¢	$9	0x08dd58…
05-12 06:35:26	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	101	6¢	$6	0xda2e13…
05-12 06:35:26	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xca3f8e…
05-12 06:35:26	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x99e64f…
05-12 05:22:27	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	420	6¢	$26	0x49b56f…
05-12 05:20:11	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	6¢	$7	0x3ea846…
05-12 05:19:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	76	6¢	$4	0xf57cd0…
05-12 05:19:37	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0xc3a3f2…
05-12 05:19:27	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd4eb18…
05-12 05:19:27	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0x915020…
05-11 19:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8f7b3c…
05-11 17:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbf9132…
05-11 17:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$67	0xa123ba…
05-11 17:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x151e93…
05-11 17:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x400799…
05-11 17:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 11?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x8f174a…
05-11 17:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x838bdd…
05-11 15:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1590dd…
05-11 15:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x278593…
05-11 15:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xff80e5…
05-11 15:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0xc917f0…
05-11 15:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xeec781…
05-11 15:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xa258e7…
05-11 15:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xf4585c…
05-11 15:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 11?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5d315a…
05-11 15:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x80bda2…
05-11 15:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x129ac6…
05-11 15:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x34c367…
05-11 15:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8c41c1…
05-11 07:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd16740…
05-11 07:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$73	0x8eb9ee…
05-11 07:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xc64c4a…
05-11 07:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc127c2…
05-11 07:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x72f80f…
05-11 07:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4fe9c9…
05-11 07:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x34502d…
05-11 07:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3df3f0…
05-11 07:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x086bda…
05-11 07:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb3a492…
05-11 07:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc56fd3…
05-11 07:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x1941d9…
05-11 07:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x806de2…
05-11 07:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$91	0xc57e82…
05-11 07:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	73	50¢	$37	0x0c9c7f…
05-11 07:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x700f7b…
05-11 07:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xfdf0d8…
05-11 07:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x6a0a69…
05-11 07:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x090ff6…
05-11 07:08:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x7afd9e…
05-11 07:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x1c54bd…
05-11 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xe26a6f…
05-11 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x5d1198…
05-11 07:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xce3680…
05-11 06:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc56eb6…
05-11 06:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2c0776…
05-11 06:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6b0721…
05-11 06:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd9743d…
05-11 06:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc5083a…
05-11 06:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb2ac95…
05-11 06:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xc62513…
05-11 06:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7352b8…
05-11 06:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0xd7a027…
05-11 06:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x6bab1e…
05-11 06:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x7770d6…
05-11 06:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$24	0xb0d871…
05-11 06:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4e1528…
05-11 05:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 11?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x5fd202…
05-11 04:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 11?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x872039…
05-11 04:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 11?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x8429f7…
05-11 04:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 11?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3a8ef6…
05-11 04:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 11?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x610575…
05-11 04:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 11?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x5df147…
05-11 03:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf86f29…
05-11 03:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 11?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe80727…
05-11 03:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0x66de0b…
05-11 03:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xbc93b7…
05-11 03:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0x6e7b73…
05-11 03:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5f3999…
05-11 03:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x873d7e…
05-11 03:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x0b28ef…
05-11 03:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x7d845e…
05-11 03:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf2baef…
05-11 03:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x9d77ba…
05-11 03:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x8560c6…
05-11 03:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 11?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x50dcca…
05-11 03:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcd0d9a…
05-11 03:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5b0b54…
05-11 03:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x72ddc8…
05-11 03:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 11?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x5be4c8…
05-11 02:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb4dfdc…