Realized P&L
+$13.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
222
Trades
798
lifetime
Volume
$340.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$426
Open exposure
$8.17K
14 positions
First seen
2026-07-17
last 10-27 02:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
37% 50% -$4,866
Sports
36% 62% +$18,099
Politics
26% 43% +$341
Tech
1% 100% +$14
Crypto
0% 20% -$525
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,267 $1,600 78¢ $1.8K +$179 10-05 01:12
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,462 $1,223 80¢ $1.2K -$53 10-14 20:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,332 $950 81¢ $1.1K +$124 10-05 20:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,176 $992 82¢ $970 -$22 10-27 02:33
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +1,052 $984 87¢ $919 -$66 10-18 21:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +649 $600 92¢ $594 -$6 10-26 02:20
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +591 $540 86¢ $511 -$29 10-05 20:41
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +370 $298 80¢ $298 +$0 10-25 22:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +230 $364 94¢ $216 -$148 10-18 17:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +313 $215 68¢ $211 -$4 10-25 22:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +135 $112 85¢ $115 +$3 10-26 02:22
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +145 $100 78¢ $112 +$12 10-25 22:32
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +120 $100 84¢ $101 +$1 10-25 22:34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +152 $100 64¢ $98 -$2 10-26 02:21