Coordinated-Safe — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

3,332 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$44

$14.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$57

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-10 13:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Other

51% 16% -$1,651

Politics

49% 18% -$892

Crypto

0% 0% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	Yes	+798	$20	3¢	$23	+$3	10-28 06:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+104	$12	10¢	$10	-$3	11-06 13:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+258	$12	4¢	$10	-$3	11-10 13:45
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	+200	$10	4¢	$9	-$1	10-18 13:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+1,714	$12	0¢	$6	-$6	10-26 12:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	26	$1.4K	27,837	966	+26,871	Yes	-$22	03-12 16:11
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	19	$617	875	718	+157	No	+$360	03-03 21:18
will iran strike israel on march 10	18	$416	11,264	253	+11,011	Yes	+$62	03-16 16:19
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	13	$324	30,234	190	+30,044	Yes	+$44	02-09 02:42
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$301	312	312	+0	No	+$201	01-14 20:02
us forces enter iran by january 31	10	$280	3,018	1,885	+1,134	No	-$107	01-31 06:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	6	$237	281	281	+0	No	+$117	06-19 06:34
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	2	$219	161	161	+0	Yes	+$19	01-15 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?	5	$215	197	197	+0	Yes	+$168	07-11 14:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$198	5,680	8,080	-2,400	Yes	-$83	01-31 16:47
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$193	150	150	+0	Yes	+$73	02-28 08:48
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	8	$183	839	839	+0	No	-$82	03-02 14:02
will iran strike oman in march	3	$178	1,378	189	+1,189	Yes	+$18	03-03 07:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	12	$175	4,377	240	+4,137	No	-$16	04-01 15:35
ukraine election called by march 31 2026	10	$166	3,977	3,977	+0	No	-$156	03-31 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 19?	12	$153	124	124	+0	Yes	+$57	07-19 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?	10	$153	129	129	+0	Yes	+$85	07-10 17:06
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	5	$148	1,247	1,247	+0	No	-$116	01-26 09:01
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 29?	6	$138	106	106	+0	Yes	+$61	07-29 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4?	3	$138	128	128	+0	Yes	+$116	08-04 16:32
will the us strike syria next 492	2	$137	330	330	+0	No	+$17	01-21 17:45
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	3	$134	901	0	+901	No	-$134	03-04 15:45
us forces enter iran by march 7	6	$129	5,690	0	+5,690	No	-$129	03-07 21:45
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	2	$126	233	233	+0	No	+$14	01-20 19:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$125	17,600	17,600	+0	Yes	-$44	04-08 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 12?	2	$104	94	94	+0	Yes	+$84	08-12 18:51
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	7	$102	3,001	3,001	+0	No	+$12	01-14 22:13
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 31?	3	$98	97	97	+0	Yes	+$88	07-31 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12?	6	$93	214	214	+0	No	+$81	06-12 16:00
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	8	$92	8,369	3,552	+4,817	Yes	-$28	01-26 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 13:45:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x38a080…
11-10 13:32:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$4	0xb111b1…
11-10 13:21:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xe09c09…
11-10 09:05:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$10	0x8480f2…
11-10 08:28:27	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	712	0¢	$2	0xcc1f20…
11-09 16:14:51	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0x3ffd59…
11-08 20:58:57	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x37a016…
11-06 13:22:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x3fe03f…
11-03 23:54:13	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x82b74d…
11-03 23:25:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xaa6c89…
11-03 21:05:18	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	70	6¢	$4	0x3d1f43…
11-03 12:48:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x96115c…
11-03 05:52:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	49	79¢	$39	0xee10f3…
11-03 05:51:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xa33ea8…
10-30 17:31:45	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xd0e95a…
10-28 12:35:22	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	105	46¢	$48	0x13fad1…
10-28 06:52:22	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xd52a3c…
10-28 04:52:55	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	Yes	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0xa182e2…
10-27 15:55:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x5d4846…
10-27 15:54:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	908	2¢	$21	0xcd9d4f…
10-26 21:06:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,700	0¢	$3	0xfa12a9…
10-26 12:26:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,714	1¢	$12	0x6ee6ef…
10-20 18:30:21	Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x2fb393…
10-18 13:13:11	Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x0a1fb4…
10-18 10:06:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,333	0¢	$10	0x234259…
10-14 15:08:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	241	3¢	$7	0x5109c4…
10-14 14:31:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xb44afc…
10-14 14:30:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	667	3¢	$20	0xf1a176…
10-14 13:13:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	1¢	$20	0x4e3457…
10-12 10:47:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	12¢	$7	0xdb3685…
10-11 21:17:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	3¢	$7	0xc5322d…
10-11 14:22:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	2¢	$5	0x31a916…
10-11 14:22:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0x4ddeb5…
10-11 14:22:19	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	1¢	$1	0xe40dbe…
10-11 14:21:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$5	0xce4c1c…
10-09 22:52:53	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x0bb0b4…
10-09 19:38:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,584	0¢	$8	0x5bfd0b…
09-19 12:04:03	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	1,056	1¢	$7	0xb9e78a…
09-19 11:22:24	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	484	1¢	$4	0x5e2bea…
09-19 07:19:39	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xd574aa…
09-18 12:51:17	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	556	2¢	$10	0xbf1041…
09-11 12:49:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	91	21¢	$19	0x99aaa2…
09-07 10:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x519faf…
09-06 13:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x41975b…
09-06 13:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x79df5a…
09-05 14:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x505e2e…
09-05 13:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	115	7¢	$8	0xa0abb6…
09-04 19:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0xbfbf03…
09-04 19:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 4?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x3cbdf4…
09-04 19:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 4?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe59db4…
09-04 18:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xb193dd…
09-04 18:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xde6c79…
09-04 18:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc19af9…
09-04 18:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 4?	No	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x9b83ca…
09-04 18:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x24e7ae…
09-04 18:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4703ad…
09-04 18:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x90c68c…
09-04 18:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8f9027…
09-04 18:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xde2678…
09-04 17:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 4?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x1e0c64…
09-04 17:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	45	0¢	$0	0x147f97…
09-04 17:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xd68011…
09-04 17:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x857562…
09-04 16:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xbea92e…
09-04 15:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	450	2¢	$9	0x23b4c1…
09-04 15:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdf352a…
09-04 15:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x117e41…
09-04 15:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x95223e…
09-04 15:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x163b99…
09-04 15:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xd758a6…
09-04 15:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x83e774…
09-04 14:01:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,178	0¢	$13	0xef9d4a…
09-04 10:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xb30c95…
09-04 10:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x914b35…
09-04 10:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xa34886…
09-04 10:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x0fedef…
09-04 10:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x9edcd6…
09-03 12:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x52afa8…
09-03 08:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x223530…
09-02 10:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xe45237…
08-31 04:06:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,143	1¢	$8	0xb69fe2…
08-29 12:02:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9f2e49…
08-29 12:02:34	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x7d718a…
08-28 13:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0xf968a3…
08-27 14:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x5b38f9…
08-27 14:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x80a52d…
08-27 14:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd3f2ac…
08-27 13:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x98016d…
08-27 12:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0xa0bcc0…
08-27 12:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x3ff545…
08-27 12:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb7cf8d…
08-27 12:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xb302ff…
08-27 10:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf2d9d3…
08-27 10:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5e6b01…
08-27 08:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?	No	BUY	51	53¢	$27	0xf05327…
08-26 15:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfdc9e4…
08-26 14:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$2	0x98d3e2…
08-26 13:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xd7c817…
08-26 13:40:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xc55f69…
08-26 08:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xfb9e70…