Realized P&L
-$620
Unrealized P&L
+$324
Hit rate
84.6%
Resolved
339
Trades
895
lifetime
Volume
$28.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$2.70K
14 positions
First seen
2026-07-07
last 11-06 00:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
76% 61% -$456
Crypto
12% 70% -$199
Politics
10% 75% +$28
Tech
1% 100% +$6
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +1,860 $1,401 88¢ $1.6K +$226 11-05 02:55
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +510 $392 88¢ $449 +$57 09-29 07:48
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +300 $285 98¢ $295 +$9 07-18 12:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +110 $92 92¢ $101 +$9 11-01 03:24
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? No +100 $88 88¢ $88 +$0 11-01 14:11
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +55 $35 70¢ $38 +$4 10-19 02:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +110 $26 34¢ $38 +$12 10-16 19:35
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026? No +20 $14 87¢ $17 +$4 11-02 04:34
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +20 $16 74¢ $15 -$1 11-02 03:05
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 11-05 00:07
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 09-21 09:28
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes +10 $3 64¢ $6 +$3 10-10 16:24
Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 10-10 16:24
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 10-10 16:24