Vivacious-Sediment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$171.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$8.47K

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,142

lifetime

Volume

$869.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$761

Open exposure

$118.0K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-21 10:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

58% 80% +$134,606

Crypto

25% 47% +$37,284

Tech

14% — —

Politics

3% 75% -$346

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+174,814	$123,669	66¢	$114.5K	-$9,166	09-21 10:49
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-3,508	-$3,431	99¢	$-3475	-$44	07-29 13:59
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	-4	-$3	98¢	$-4	$0	07-29 14:00
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	+0	-$736	96¢	$0	+$736	07-29 22:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	40	$237.4K	100,000	154,466	-54,466	No	+$12,930	06-26 09:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	229	$123.7K	174,814	0	+174,814	open	—	09-21 10:49
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	218	$101.1K	62,805	61,804	+1,001	No	+$22,902	03-29 05:15
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	102	$53.1K	100,173	0	+100,173	No	+$47,076	03-14 18:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	34	$41.4K	60,000	0	+60,000	No	+$18,600	04-02 10:59
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	151	$40.3K	68,999	0	+68,999	No	+$28,715	03-14 17:22
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	34	$36.9K	23,767	23,767	+0	open	—	07-30 13:28
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	6	$29.6K	34,000	0	+34,000	No	+$4,420	03-02 20:46
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	55	$22.0K	31,567	0	+31,567	No	+$9,571	03-15 18:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	8	$21.8K	25,986	0	+25,986	No	+$4,197	04-02 13:29
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	23	$21.5K	22,918	0	+22,918	No	+$1,430	01-28 22:52
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	33	$20.2K	11,358	11,358	+0	open	—	07-29 22:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	16	$19.4K	20,860	0	+20,860	No	+$1,460	01-29 18:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$16.0K	50,000	50,000	+0	Yes	-$4,000	09-16 09:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	23	$15.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	+$5,000	05-05 02:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$13.3K	30,312	0	+30,312	No	+$17,012	04-02 16:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	15	$9.9K	0	10,000	-10,000	No	-$50	06-26 03:16
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	4	$7.7K	8,124	0	+8,124	No	+$406	01-27 17:33
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	1	$7.5K	9,837	0	+9,837	No	+$2,361	05-04 17:56
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	4	$5.4K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$1,610	04-07 22:36
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	45	$4.5K	4,763	0	+4,763	No	+$214	01-27 19:52
will hyperliquid hit 38 in january	5	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$520	01-29 21:16
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$4.1K	4,941	0	+4,941	No	+$840	01-29 20:40
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$3.4K	0	3,508	-3,508	open	—	07-29 13:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$2.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$2,650	01-29 19:22
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	30	$1.6K	2,455	2,455	+0	No	+$25	05-01 11:53
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 460 479	1	$1.6K	1,688	0	+1,688	No	+$84	01-26 17:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	3	$1.1K	1,185	0	+1,185	No	+$63	04-29 20:35
ethereum above 2400 on february 1	10	$683	1,400	0	+1,400	No	-$683	02-01 15:27
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$499	297	297	+0	open	—	07-14 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 10:49:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xaff782…
09-21 08:09:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	250	68¢	$170	0xf90ee0…
09-21 07:34:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x569c4b…
09-17 06:26:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x55d855…
09-17 05:55:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xdc6798…
09-17 05:35:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	550	68¢	$374	0xd969cb…
09-17 03:44:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xd8e906…
09-17 03:23:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	174	68¢	$118	0x313781…
09-16 12:47:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x90cc02…
09-16 09:47:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	111	68¢	$76	0xcf6714…
09-16 09:46:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50,000	12¢	$6,000	0x54aee6…
09-11 14:36:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50,000	20¢	$10,000	0x909e44…
09-11 07:51:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1b1e55…
09-11 07:00:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	75	72¢	$54	0x7207ad…
09-11 05:55:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7d61f8…
09-11 01:50:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4,768	72¢	$3,433	0x6112d8…
09-11 01:44:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x9afa80…
09-11 01:38:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xf352d2…
09-10 22:20:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3c42f7…
09-10 21:10:42	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	292	72¢	$210	0x8583a3…
09-10 21:08:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,099	72¢	$791	0xf40bf8…
08-21 13:44:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	82	75¢	$61	0x48ca70…
07-31 13:34:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x27f04b…
07-31 13:34:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	701	59¢	$414	0x1035d9…
07-31 13:31:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xe64f5a…
07-31 13:24:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	57¢	$20	0x47b4e6…
07-31 13:24:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x5d1243…
07-31 13:24:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x1f4955…
07-31 13:04:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x592644…
07-31 11:13:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x99d4ec…
07-31 07:22:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0xdfc78b…
07-31 07:21:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	57¢	$20	0xed20c5…
07-31 07:21:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x1b0a5b…
07-31 07:19:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x5d127f…
07-31 07:14:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x499064…
07-31 07:11:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9127fd…
07-31 07:08:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xb9663d…
07-31 07:00:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xdf4463…
07-31 07:00:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xdaf221…
07-31 07:00:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xabfec0…
07-31 07:00:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0x40e998…
07-31 07:00:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0x3be0bd…
07-31 07:00:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x9a8356…
07-31 07:00:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x68d259…
07-31 07:00:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe6bc70…
07-31 06:55:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	57¢	$20	0x1ad689…
07-31 06:32:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa64848…
07-31 06:31:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5b183c…
07-31 06:08:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	166	57¢	$95	0x803a5b…
07-31 05:27:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa1a475…
07-31 04:05:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xc6cfce…
07-31 03:45:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x1d814c…
07-31 03:25:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	43	57¢	$24	0xcafc10…
07-31 00:40:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x1c9401…
07-30 22:52:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	934	57¢	$533	0xa25748…
07-30 13:28:41	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15,781	79¢	$12,467	0x6c6aa9…
07-30 09:44:08	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x229eb2…
07-30 09:41:09	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,550	79¢	$2,014	0xbd07c2…
07-30 09:35:59	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,900	79¢	$3,871	0xabcf2d…
07-29 22:31:53	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	9,916	92¢	$9,123	0x1a4dd9…
07-29 20:25:23	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	79¢	$50	0xd5eaaf…
07-29 14:00:06	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0xfa03fc…
07-29 14:00:02	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xc0c2d7…
07-29 13:59:59	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,508	98¢	$3,431	0xf40de4…
07-29 13:59:33	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	1,433	92¢	$1,319	0x46ad97…
07-29 13:59:09	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	467	80¢	$372	0x94e5e3…
07-14 18:13:31	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	945	37¢	$352	0x15d6bb…
07-14 18:12:19	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	297	92¢	$273	0xb28bac…
07-13 20:03:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,679	66¢	$1,108	0x7b7a6d…
07-13 18:14:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x8db38d…
07-13 17:16:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	230	66¢	$152	0xf1eb3a…
07-13 15:08:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,971	66¢	$2,621	0x598564…
07-10 15:42:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	342	66¢	$226	0xf31371…
07-02 14:54:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	19,129	65¢	$12,434	0xe1e759…
07-02 12:44:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	155	65¢	$101	0x74bd55…
07-02 11:52:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x6051ae…
07-02 09:49:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x61c3a9…
07-02 07:52:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0x64173f…
07-02 07:21:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x8ddb34…
07-02 06:42:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x2b0094…
07-02 06:18:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x58acdf…
07-02 06:12:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfa1cb2…
07-02 06:09:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x050503…
07-02 06:06:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xce1c5f…
07-02 05:11:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	65¢	$13	0xeb2f23…
07-02 05:09:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xe42334…
07-02 04:49:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xcdab45…
07-01 22:12:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	57	65¢	$37	0x44f246…
07-01 20:58:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x732d35…
07-01 20:58:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	227	65¢	$147	0x582100…
07-01 13:02:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20,000	67¢	$13,400	0x3e3a3d…
06-26 09:17:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	46,766	100¢	$46,719	0x0a69a9…
06-26 03:16:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	398	100¢	$396	0xdc1888…
06-26 03:10:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,040	100¢	$1,035	0x1218e7…
06-26 03:09:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	496	100¢	$494	0x79f722…
06-26 03:07:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	881	100¢	$877	0x191934…
06-26 03:06:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	415	100¢	$413	0x0b98e8…
06-26 03:05:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	907	100¢	$902	0x9443be…
06-26 03:03:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	989	100¢	$984	0x12a4c8…
06-26 02:47:44	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,221	100¢	$1,215	0xe07365…