Realized P&L
-$856
Unrealized P&L
+$786
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,797
lifetime
Volume
$385.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$138
Open exposure
$8.73K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 21:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
50% 75% $-855
Other
39% 0% $-1
Crypto
6%
Tech
3%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +2,000 $1,966 98¢ $2.0K +$3 06-08 19:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +2,446 $966 76¢ $1.8K +$880 06-08 14:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +5,894 $1,176 16¢ $972 $-203 06-09 06:47
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +852 $800 96¢ $815 +$15 06-04 13:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +822 $794 98¢ $810 +$16 06-04 22:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,002 $701 72¢ $716 +$15 06-08 11:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +2,212 $708 20¢ $431 $-276 06-02 10:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +569 $311 64¢ $367 +$56 06-09 21:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,018 $-590 32¢ $-321 +$270 05-28 16:26
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +300 $258 96¢ $289 +$31 05-31 22:21
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -200 $-255 94¢ $-187 +$68 06-06 14:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +91 $96 10¢ $9 $-88 06-02 11:45