Long-Stuff 0xb48b1a…c504eb
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$464
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved
520
Trades
4,749
lifetime
Volume
$664.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$9.32K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 148 days
Categories
Politics
51% 65% +$16,144
Other
36% 49% -$8,264
Sports
7% 38% -$1,156
Crypto
4% 75% +$6,673
Tech
2% 71% +$97
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$262
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1,714 $1,423 91¢ $1.6K +$137 07-14 22:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,500 $1,821 56¢ $1.4K -$433 10-27 18:47
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1,157 $888 94¢ $1.1K +$194 07-06 23:18
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +1,200 $780 86¢ $1.0K +$258 07-16 08:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -1,212 -$877 78¢ $-939 -$63 09-15 02:57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -1,150 -$853 68¢ $-776 +$77 09-14 21:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -701 -$666 86¢ $-606 +$60 08-16 12:32
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +600 $528 100¢ $600 +$72 10-22 01:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +300 $207 98¢ $294 +$87 10-11 13:17
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +400 $252 68¢ $274 +$22 10-11 17:44
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +2,011 $557 12¢ $231 -$325 08-09 18:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +227 $166 86¢ $195 +$28 09-14 21:04
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +250 $162 67¢ $168 +$5 10-24 20:22
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,200 $352 14¢ $162 -$190 08-25 08:37
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +400 $344 1¢ $4 -$340 10-17 14:53
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026 Yes +443 $53 0¢ $1 -$52 09-26 04:26