Long-Stuff 0xb48b1a…c504eb
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$856
Unrealized P&L
+$882
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,413
lifetime
Volume
$481.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$141
Open exposure
$15.2K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-21 21:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
50% 75% $-855
Other
39% 0% $-1
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
3% — —
Tech
3% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5,800 $3,087 56¢ $3.2K +$132 07-08 04:32
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,694 $2,495 74¢ $2.8K +$257 07-05 20:23
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +5,122 $2,517 43¢ $2.2K $-314 07-10 04:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,000 $2,375 72¢ $2.1K $-230 07-18 17:20
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1,714 $1,423 80¢ $1.4K $-43 07-14 22:06
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1,157 $888 82¢ $955 +$67 07-06 23:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,931 $529 46¢ $898 +$369 07-21 21:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +630 $271 99¢ $623 +$352 06-18 18:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +782 $545 74¢ $574 +$29 07-20 13:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +313 $238 78¢ $246 +$8 06-16 12:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +551 $287 30¢ $163 $-124 06-27 02:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,018 $-385 1¢ $-12 +$374 07-13 12:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -16 $-12 42¢ $-7 +$5 06-15 07:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +7 $6 74¢ $6 $-0 06-12 19:15