Long-Stuff 0xb48b1a…c504eb
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$856
Unrealized P&L
+$2.36K
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,143
lifetime
Volume
$440.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$15.5K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-29 17:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
51% 75% $-855
Other
39% 0% $-1
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -4,000 $-3,942 100¢ $-3996 $-54 06-11 20:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4,000 $2,960 100¢ $4.0K +$1,022 06-15 15:51
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2,002 $1,461 84¢ $1.7K +$210 06-12 00:17
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,166 $402 100¢ $1.2K +$760 06-18 19:23
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +1,358 $1,127 82¢ $1.1K $-7 06-29 17:43
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +852 $800 100¢ $851 +$51 06-04 13:04
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +661 $436 98¢ $651 +$215 06-14 02:18
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +657 $513 74¢ $486 $-26 06-27 12:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +630 $271 66¢ $413 +$142 06-18 18:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,018 $-590 34¢ $-351 +$239 05-28 16:26
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +300 $258 100¢ $299 +$41 05-31 22:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +551 $287 45¢ $248 $-39 06-27 02:43
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +313 $238 72¢ $226 $-13 06-16 12:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -16 $-12 48¢ $-8 +$4 06-15 07:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +7 $6 75¢ $6 $-0 06-12 19:15
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +246 $103 0¢ $0 $-102 06-16 07:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +91 $96 0¢ $0 $-96 06-02 11:45
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-7 100¢ $0 +$7 06-19 16:42