Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
8
lifetime
Volume
$21
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$21
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-14 13:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76%
Politics
19%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 05-14 13:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 05-14 13:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 05-14 11:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 05-14 11:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 05-14 11:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 72¢ $1 $-0 05-14 11:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 05-14 11:13
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No +2 $1 44¢ $1 $-0 05-14 13:56