Realized P&L
-$248
Unrealized P&L
+$568
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
2,295
lifetime
Volume
$373.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$163
Open exposure
$4.52K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-26 19:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
70% 50% $-254
Other
25% 100% +$6
Tech
2%
Sports
2%
Crypto
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +1,000 $860 100¢ $997 +$137 06-05 06:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $665 86¢ $855 +$190 06-21 04:50
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No -900 $-881 90¢ $-807 +$74 06-16 07:36
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +400 $375 100¢ $399 +$24 06-20 08:40
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +300 $291 100¢ $300 +$9 06-22 11:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +300 $269 99¢ $298 +$29 06-26 12:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -270 $-290 100¢ $-270 +$20 06-24 00:18
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +200 $146 100¢ $200 +$54 06-09 17:45
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +200 $196 100¢ $200 +$4 06-26 19:17
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +200 $172 100¢ $199 +$27 06-08 05:30