Realized P&L (30d)
-$62
Unrealized P&L
+$258
Hit rate
36.4%
Resolved (30d)
6
Trades (30d)
321
573 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$19.5K
$31.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$5.35K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-05
last 11-11 13:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
43% 57% +$53
Sports
38% — —
Politics
12% 40% -$288
Crypto
5% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arkansas win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +1,031 $959 95¢ $979 +$20 11-11 10:18
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +631 $569 91¢ $574 +$5 11-09 09:38
Will Duke win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +426 $328 84¢ $360 +$32 10-28 02:17
Will Nottingham Forest be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +364 $300 88¢ $320 +$20 11-07 23:52
Will Steve Kerr win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year? No +300 $270 97¢ $292 +$22 11-09 09:45
Will Canada win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? No +241 $209 89¢ $213 +$5 11-06 00:06
Will Florida win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +230 $182 86¢ $197 +$15 10-27 00:05
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +380 $190 49¢ $187 -$4 11-11 11:23
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? Yes +387 $173 44¢ $168 -$4 11-04 19:53
Will Miami win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +173 $161 96¢ $167 +$6 11-11 00:28
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +205 $176 79¢ $163 -$13 11-11 04:17
Will Patrick Ngongba II be the first pick in the 2027 NBA Draft? No +165 $144 95¢ $156 +$12 11-10 19:28
Will Arizona win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +151 $133 95¢ $143 +$9 11-11 14:25
Will Palmeiras win the 2026 Copa do Brasil? Yes +161 $68 68¢ $110 +$43 10-31 17:20
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division? No +323 $110 34¢ $110 +$0 11-08 11:51
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No +116 $108 87¢ $101 -$7 10-26 23:57
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? No +167 $92 60¢ $100 +$8 11-05 11:17
Will Ty Jerome win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player? No +148 $75 64¢ $95 +$20 11-10 22:28
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +96 $91 97¢ $93 +$3 10-29 08:29
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +106 $89 85¢ $90 +$1 11-01 02:48
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +211 $52 42¢ $89 +$37 10-29 09:00
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +189 $100 44¢ $82 -$18 09-06 19:15
Will Mika Zibanejad record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? No +92 $81 89¢ $81 +$1 11-10 06:30
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? No — +80 $71 91¢ $73 +$2 10-31 23:31
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? No +83 $60 86¢ $71 +$10 10-26 00:06
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +145 $58 48¢ $70 +$12 09-11 21:17
Will Napoli reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? No +83 $67 84¢ $70 +$3 11-04 00:18
Will Como reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? No +83 $65 83¢ $69 +$4 11-07 04:09
Will Sassuolo be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? No +80 $61 80¢ $64 +$3 11-03 11:53
Will Real Betis finish top 8 in UCL league phase? No +83 $48 74¢ $61 +$13 10-26 20:12