Realized P&L (90d)
-$287
Unrealized P&L
+$282
Hit rate
69.1%
Resolved (90d)
16
Trades (90d)
604
604 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$33.1K
$33.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$4.49K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-05
last 11-13 05:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
41% 56% +$1
Sports
40% — —
Politics
12% 40% -$288
Crypto
5% 50% +$0
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +631 $569 90¢ $571 +$2 11-09 09:38
Will Arkansas win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +439 $388 97¢ $426 +$39 11-12 23:49
Will Duke win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +426 $328 84¢ $360 +$32 10-28 02:17
Will Canada win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? No +241 $209 89¢ $213 +$5 11-06 00:06
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +380 $190 56¢ $213 +$23 11-11 11:23
Will Nottingham Forest be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +227 $178 88¢ $199 +$21 11-12 15:30
Will Florida win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship? No +230 $182 86¢ $197 +$15 10-27 00:05
Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? No +197 $155 98¢ $192 +$38 10-27 18:03
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? Yes +387 $173 46¢ $176 +$4 11-04 19:53
Will Steve Kerr win the 2026-27 NBA Coach of the Year? No +164 $136 98¢ $160 +$24 11-12 12:38
Will Patrick Ngongba II be the first pick in the 2027 NBA Draft? No +165 $144 94¢ $154 +$10 11-10 19:28
Will Palmeiras win the 2026 Copa do Brasil? Yes +161 $68 70¢ $114 +$46 10-31 17:20
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026-27 NHL Metropolitan Division? No +323 $110 34¢ $110 +$0 11-08 11:51
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? Yes +299 $82 35¢ $104 +$22 11-12 03:49
Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? No +116 $108 87¢ $101 -$7 10-26 23:57
Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? No +167 $92 60¢ $100 +$8 11-05 11:17
Will Ty Jerome win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player? No +148 $75 65¢ $96 +$21 11-10 22:28
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +96 $91 97¢ $93 +$3 10-29 08:29
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? Yes +211 $52 42¢ $89 +$37 10-29 09:00
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +106 $89 84¢ $89 $0 11-01 02:48
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +93 $75 91¢ $84 +$10 11-12 03:03
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +189 $100 44¢ $82 -$18 09-06 19:15
Will Mika Zibanejad record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? No +92 $81 89¢ $81 +$1 11-10 06:30
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? No +80 $71 92¢ $73 +$2 10-31 23:31
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? No — +162 $123 44¢ $72 -$51 09-22 23:26
Will Brock Bowers have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +138 $70 52¢ $72 +$1 11-04 00:44
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? No +83 $60 86¢ $71 +$10 10-26 00:06
Will Napoli reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal? No +83 $67 84¢ $70 +$3 11-04 00:18
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? No +216 $91 30¢ $66 -$25 11-12 20:09
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? No +74 $56 87¢ $64 +$8 11-06 05:33