Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$50
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
145
470 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$8.30K
$23.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$1.04K
23 positions
First seen
2026-09-05
last 11-03 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
49% 60% +$113
Sports
26% — —
Politics
16% 0% -$286
Crypto
7% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +722 $653 84¢ $603 -$50 09-06 05:10
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +106 $89 86¢ $91 +$2 11-01 02:48
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +189 $100 46¢ $86 -$14 09-06 19:15
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +87 $55 85¢ $74 +$19 10-27 03:13
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? No +137 $77 49¢ $67 -$10 11-03 05:21
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +161 $61 30¢ $47 -$13 11-03 01:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +78 $34 36¢ $28 -$6 11-01 12:45
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +67 $31 35¢ $23 -$8 10-29 12:12
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +210 $18 8¢ $16 -$2 10-28 00:57
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +3 $2 92¢ $3 +$1 10-27 19:00
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +2 $1 83¢ $1 +$1 10-10 15:39
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$20 92¢ $1 +$21 10-07 00:06
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? No +2 -$1 20¢ $0 +$2 10-08 20:26
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1 $0 52¢ $0 +$0 09-23 18:27
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? Yes +0 -$13 9¢ $0 +$13 09-15 13:22
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +1 $5 5¢ $0 -$5 09-15 23:58
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1 $5 4¢ $0 -$5 09-07 16:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-27 11:23
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 09-11 04:47
Discord IPO before 2027? No +0 -$2 93¢ $0 +$2 09-30 21:30
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes +0 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 10-01 10:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +0 -$5 86¢ $0 +$5 11-02 13:05
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 11-01 07:31