Weary-Appetiser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.85K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

9,213

Trades

19,135

lifetime

Volume

$59.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-30 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 195 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% -$1,738

Other

1% 28% -$58

Sports

0% 36% -$20

Politics

0% 24% -$23

Tech

0% 10% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-5	-$4	84¢	$-4	-$1	05-14 16:29
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	05-14 16:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-3	-$1	36¢	$-1	$0	05-14 17:09
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-6	-$1	15¢	$-1	+$0	05-14 17:09
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	-14	-$1	2¢	$-0	+$1	05-14 16:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-17	-$1	1¢	$-0	+$1	05-14 17:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	-2	-$1	3¢	$-0	+$1	05-06 18:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	22	$116	114	54	+60	Up	+$1	04-26 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	35	$110	116	102	+14	Down	-$3	04-26 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	8	$83	42	42	+0	Up	+$0	04-26 11:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:45 UTC	3	$77	73	53	+19	Down	+$17	04-13 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	24	$75	78	72	+6	Down	-$1	04-26 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 05:40 UTC	3	$75	41	41	+0	Up	+$7	03-29 05:46
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:05 UTC	15	$67	231	0	+231	Up	-$54	03-19 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 09:05 UTC	13	$67	141	122	+19	Down	+$6	04-08 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:25 UTC	5	$67	191	0	+191	Up	-$41	03-19 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	16	$67	64	61	+3	Down	+$2	05-17 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:55 UTC	12	$66	65	63	+2	Down	+$7	04-12 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 09:10 UTC	15	$63	99	95	+4	Down	+$6	04-08 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:30 UTC	8	$63	95	92	+3	Down	+$8	03-29 15:33
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 08:45 UTC	4	$62	137	0	+137	Up	+$58	03-19 08:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:05 UTC	10	$59	67	55	+12	Down	+$15	04-13 18:08
atp ruiz butvila 2026 03 27	4	$58	113	113	+0	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	-$2	03-27 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	22	$57	113	0	+113	Up	-$4	04-26 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 15:45 UTC	5	$56	161	0	+161	Up	+$88	03-19 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 15:35 UTC	8	$56	58	48	+10	Down	+$3	03-29 15:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 16:05 UTC	12	$56	142	0	+142	Down	-$29	03-19 16:08
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 08:30 UTC	12	$53	175	0	+175	Down	+$106	03-19 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 04:40 UTC	2	$52	173	0	+173	Up	+$114	03-18 04:41
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 09:15 UTC	11	$52	53	51	+2	Up	+$3	03-16 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 04:45 UTC	2	$52	172	0	+172	Down	+$114	03-18 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	18	$52	65	50	+15	Down	-$2	04-26 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 16:10 UTC	14	$51	59	47	+12	Up	-$1	04-04 16:13
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 18:45 UTC	8	$50	102	0	+102	Down	-$38	03-19 18:47
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC	7	$50	162	0	+162	Down	-$28	03-19 19:31
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 20:40 UTC	4	$49	106	0	+106	Down	+$47	03-19 20:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 16:15 UTC	4	$49	74	72	+2	Up	-$9	03-29 16:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:08:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3b6581…
10-30 08:17:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x0dbdd8…
10-30 00:47:09	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xadeec3…
10-29 19:32:07	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x401fa1…
10-29 12:17:10	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x343ecd…
10-28 16:08:04	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9b6ead…
10-27 10:02:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9ac581…
10-27 09:32:06	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xce32b2…
10-25 04:08:05	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x9b6a6f…
10-24 20:08:05	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x7ae3ba…
10-24 18:32:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbf0c60…
10-24 14:32:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa15edf…
10-24 14:02:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9741fd…
10-24 11:47:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd09872…
10-24 04:32:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x2de628…
10-24 01:02:06	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc91368…
10-23 23:02:05	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x4d6e0b…
10-23 08:47:06	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x755b6f…
10-23 06:17:12	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3dd171…
10-23 05:02:06	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x42b480…
10-22 23:47:06	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x18f6b0…
10-22 19:32:06	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8b652…
10-22 12:47:08	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xe31769…
10-20 10:47:06	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf1b1d7…
10-20 08:17:08	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x3b564a…
10-20 05:47:08	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x487553…
10-18 18:47:08	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xcffce0…
10-18 14:47:08	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x096cdb…
10-18 09:08:05	solana up or down october 18 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7d462e…
10-17 23:17:12	Solana Up or Down - October 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x4bdfc2…
10-17 20:08:05	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x080009…
10-17 16:47:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb65ba3…
10-17 15:32:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x6b1f55…
10-16 23:47:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x88c354…
10-16 19:47:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa2d56e…
10-16 17:32:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x0a5508…
10-16 17:08:04	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x30e06a…
10-16 16:17:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x244e72…
10-16 00:08:06	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xa1d33e…
10-15 04:32:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x87bfa1…
10-14 16:47:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa82ebd…
10-13 10:47:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x66b900…
10-13 04:32:06	Solana Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x7a9415…
10-12 22:32:08	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4f1321…
10-12 21:17:09	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x2525a4…
10-12 19:32:06	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x67e951…
10-12 17:02:09	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xbb4d35…
10-12 16:08:05	Solana Up or Down - October 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x82301e…
10-10 00:08:05	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xcfcfd7…
10-09 07:17:10	Solana Up or Down - October 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x54729b…
10-09 03:47:05	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc71cbe…
10-09 00:08:05	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x157a7c…
10-08 10:32:06	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x52c61a…
10-08 08:17:08	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb5278e…
10-08 06:17:10	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1b5cb4…
10-08 05:02:08	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb68c83…
10-08 04:17:07	Solana Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x675599…
10-08 03:08:04	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xa840be…
10-07 21:47:04	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe99783…
10-07 20:02:08	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x0c9acd…
10-07 13:17:08	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xfece8b…
10-07 06:17:09	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5d00a3…
10-07 04:47:09	Solana Up or Down - October 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6458da…
10-06 23:47:08	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x93ba77…
10-06 04:08:06	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x572c17…
10-06 00:02:08	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x21c96a…
10-05 21:17:11	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4ae5bb…
10-03 16:08:05	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa02b83…
10-03 15:17:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x60a42f…
10-03 12:08:08	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-03 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$3	0x40b86c…
10-03 10:47:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0e5d68…
10-03 08:47:09	Solana Up or Down - October 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb1204d…
10-03 03:02:09	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x06d58f…
10-02 20:08:05	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x45a448…
10-01 15:47:32	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x312b92…
10-01 14:17:32	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7f4f0c…
10-01 13:32:26	Solana Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2b0f47…
09-30 14:32:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6f926a…
09-30 12:02:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3fcb32…
09-29 17:32:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeb62f6…
09-29 16:08:17	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-29 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x78ccf7…
09-29 01:47:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x33d382…
09-28 19:47:36	Solana Up or Down - September 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x48f6ae…
09-28 12:47:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x89d0c6…
09-28 08:08:18	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x02770c…
09-27 20:08:14	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x037a39…
09-27 04:08:15	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8bfb32…
09-27 00:08:11	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x3ac265…
09-24 09:02:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x8c529e…
09-23 16:32:27	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x00e4e4…
09-23 14:03:04	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4d8a74…
09-22 20:08:13	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x119014…
09-22 04:08:13	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-22 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x9644df…
09-20 17:17:36	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf039aa…
09-20 11:32:30	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x686239…
09-20 10:02:22	Solana Up or Down - September 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xfc87e0…
09-20 03:47:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-20 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3e1ea3…
09-18 15:08:15	Solana Up or Down - September 18, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x32209d…
09-17 16:08:13	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa7ada5…
09-16 17:47:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x14a06e…